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Serie C - Girone C · GIRONE C - 38 · SUN 26 APR · 16:00 LOCAL
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FOGGIA
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME
SALERNITANA
⚽ 45+3' K. de Boer
GOALS
⚽ 6' K. de Boer ⚽ 37' F. Ferrari ⚽ 71' E. Quirini
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
FOG
1 – 1
SAL
most likely scoreline · 13.7% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 38%
FT 1 – 3
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
FOG WIN 32%
DRAW 38%
SAL WIN 30%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 12

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 62% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 62% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Salernitana goal at 6' gives them early advantage, but data thinness and live volatility limit confidence; draw likely.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY FOGGIA CHALLENGED
32%
Salernitana scored within 6 minutes — early away threat established
CONTEXT
Foggia recent form weak (last match L); Salernitana in form (W)
CONTEXT
Minimal historical data and no season stats — confidence constrained
CONTEXT
WHY SALERNITANA CHALLENGED
30%
Salernitana scored within 6 minutes — early away threat established
CONTEXT
Foggia recent form weak (last match L); Salernitana in form (W)
CONTEXT
Minimal historical data and no season stats — confidence constrained
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Salernitana scored within 6 minutes — early away threat established
  • Foggia recent form weak (last match L); Salernitana in form (W)
  • Minimal historical data and no season stats — confidence constrained
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 6' K. DE BOER ⚽ 37' F. FERRARI ⚽ 48' K. DE BOER ⚽ 71' E. QUIRINI
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.4
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
·
1
13.7
13.5
6.7
2.2
0.6
0.1
·
2
6.9
6.8
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.3
2.3
1.1
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.6
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 13.7%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 13.4%
2 — 0 6.9%
Top 5 = 61.0% · rest 39.0%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.82
70.0%
1.43
+27.1%
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.85
32.0%
3.13
+23.1%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.22
38.0%
2.63
+22.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.82
58.0%
1.72
+5.4%
Over 2.5 Goals
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.98
52.0%
1.92
+2.9%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.19
68.0%
1.47
-19.1%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.25
62.0%
1.61
-22.5%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.86
30.0%
3.33
-44.2%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.