GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Europa Conference League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 13 AUG · 15:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
FK TOBOL KOSTANAY
3'
0 – 0
FK PARTIZAN
⚽ 7' Islam Chesnokov
GOALS
⚽ 47' Stefan Mitrović ⚽ 90+2' Chaka Traorè
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
LIVE-ADJUSTED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
FK
1 – 1
FK
most likely scoreline · 13.8% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 38%
LIVE · 3' 0 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTS FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

LIVE-ADJUSTED
FK WIN 28%
DRAW 38%
FK WIN 34%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 12

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 62% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 62% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Early 0-0 in first leg of two-match tie; Partizan favoured but Tobol capable at home.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY FK TOBOL KOSTANAY CHALLENGED
28%
H2H shows Partizan 3-0 win last week but 0-0 earlier this week suggests defensive caution
+25.0%
Partizan away form poor (WLLLD) despite recent WWWLL overall form
+20.0%
Tobol home draw form + Europa Conference parity; likely low-scoring affair
+15.0%
WHY FK PARTIZAN CHALLENGED
34%
H2H shows Partizan 3-0 win last week but 0-0 earlier this week suggests defensive caution
+25.0%
Partizan away form poor (WLLLD) despite recent WWWLL overall form
+20.0%
Tobol home draw form + Europa Conference parity; likely low-scoring affair
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • H2H shows Partizan 3-0 win last week but 0-0 earlier this week suggests defensive caution
  • Partizan away form poor (WLLLD) despite recent WWWLL overall form
  • Tobol home draw form + Europa Conference parity; likely low-scoring affair
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 7' ISLAM CHES ⚽ 47' STEFAN MIT ⚽ 92' CHAKA TRAO 3' PROJECTION
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.8%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.8
7.0
2.4
0.6
0.1
·
1
13.3
13.5
6.9
2.4
0.6
0.1
·
2
6.5
6.6
3.4
1.2
0.3
0.1
·
3
2.1
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 1 13.8%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
1 — 0 13.3%
0 — 2 7.0%
Top 5 = 61.2% · rest 38.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.40
38.0%
2.63
+29.3%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.60
66.0%
1.52
+5.9%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.35
72.0%
1.39
-3.1%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.58
58.0%
1.72
-8.4%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.00
28.0%
3.57
-15.9%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.27
62.0%
1.61
-21.5%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.18
34.0%
2.94
-25.8%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.71
42.0%
2.38
-28.1%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.