GOALSENSE
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J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 12 · FRI, 24 APR · 10:00 LOCAL
FC TOKYO
2ND · 37 PTS · LAST 5:
D L D W L
FT
5 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 3-1
MITO HOLLYHOCK
L L L L L
· 9TH · 18 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 35' Marcelo Ryan ⚽ 43' Kein Sato ⚽ 45' Marcelo Ryan (P) ⚽ 68' Sei Muroya ⚽ 74' Ryunosuke Sato
GOALS
⚽ 17' Danilo Cardoso ⚽ 70' Koki Ando
Marcelo Ryan
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Marcelo Ryan
FC Tokyo · 83 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 🅰 1 assist · 12% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.94
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.77
49%
BALL POSSESSION %
51%
21
TOTAL SHOTS
9
10
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
82%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
7
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Danilo Cardoso · assist Mizuki Arai
    MIT
  2. 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Marcelo Ryan · assist Alexander Scholz
    FC
  3. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Takumi Mase
    MIT
  4. 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kein Sato
    FC
  5. 45'
    Goal · Penalty
    Marcelo Ryan
    FC
  6. 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Danilo Cardoso
    MIT
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Keita Endo · assist Teruhito Nakagawa
    FC
  8. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Mizuki Arai · assist Yamamota Hayata
    MIT
  9. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Arata Watanabe · assist Ryo Nemoto
    MIT
  10. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Takumi Mase · assist Sho Omori
    MIT
  11. 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sei Muroya
    FC
  12. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Matheus Leiria · assist Koki Ando
    MIT
  13. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alexander Scholz · assist Rio Omori
    FC
  14. 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Koki Ando
    MIT
  15. 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ryunosuke Sato · assist Marcelo Ryan
    FC
  16. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Taishi Semba · assist Yuto Yamashita
    MIT
  17. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kein Sato · assist Fuki Yamada
    FC
  18. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Marcelo Ryan · assist Leon Nozawa
    FC
  19. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Hayato Inamura · assist Masato Morishige
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FC TOKYO AVG 7.9
MITO HOLLYHOCK AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.9
xG
0.8
21.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
10.0
ON TARGET
3.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
4.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
49.0%
POSSESSION %
51.0%
456.0
PASSES
490.0
82.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
1.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
3.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FC TOKYO 14 shots
Marcelo Ryan
3/8
Ryunosuke Sato
1/2
Kein Sato
1/2
Sei Muroya
2/2
MITO HOLLYHOCK 2 shots
Koki Ando
1/1
Tada Keisuke
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.94 – 0.77
2.4 1.8 1.2 0.6 2.9 0.0 HT 35' 43' 45' 68' 74' 17' 70' H 2.94 A 0.77 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2
4-4-2
4-4-2
81
KIM SEUNG
 7.6
42
KENTO HAS
17
HAYATO IN
24
ALEXANDER
 7.0
2
SEI MUROY
22
KEITA END
27
KYOTA TOK
18
KENTO HAS
 7.5
16
KEIN SATO
 8.3
23
RYUNOSUKE
 9.3
9
MARCELO R
34
KONOSUKE
6
TAKAHIRO
17
KENTA ITA
2
DANILO CA
25
TAKUMI MA
 6.6
14
MIZUKI AR
 6.7
3
KOSHI OSA
19
TAISHI SE
70
MATHEUS L
10
ARATA WAT
 6.5
29
TADA KEIS
SUBSTITUTES · FC TOKYO
15
Rio Omori
D
39
Teruhito Nak...
F
10
Keigo Higash...
M
55
Divine Chine...
F
71
Fuki Yamada
M
8
Takahiro Ko
M
3
Masato Moris...
D
1
Hayate Tanak...
G
28
Leon Nozawa
F
COACH: Rikizo Matsuhashi
SUBSTITUTES · MITO HOLLYHOCK
24
Kiichi Yamaz...
M
44
Koya Okuda
F
9
Ryo Nemoto
F
4
Takeshi Ushi...
D
39
Yamamota Hay...
M
7
Sho Omori
D
48
Yuto Yamashi...
M
21
Shuhei Matsu...
G
33
Koki Ando
M
COACH: Daisuke Kimori
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MIT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Kamimura
—
FC MANAGER
Rikizo Matsuhashi
head coach
MIT MANAGER
Daisuke Kimori
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
FC WINS
1
DRAWS
1
MIT WINS
50%
25%
25%
10 – 6
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
4.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 1 / 4
14 Mar 2026
Mito Hollyhock
1 – 1
FC Tokyo
D
FC TOKYO LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D W L
MITO HOLLYHOCK LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 5–2 · result locked
FC TOKYO #2
Won · already at 37 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
MITO HOLLYHOCK #7
Lost · already at 18 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 13th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Hayato Inamura
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Marcelo Ryan
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kein Sato
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Taishi Semba
  • 74'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ryunosuke Sato
  • 70'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Koki Ando
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alexander Scholz
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Matheus Leiria
  • 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sei Muroya
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Takumi Mase
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Arata Watanabe
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Mizuki Arai
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Keita Endo
  • HALF TIME · 3 – 1
  • 45'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Danilo Cardoso
    Foul
  • 45'
    Goal · Penalty · Marcelo Ryan
  • 43'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kein Sato
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Takumi Mase
    Foul
  • 35'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Marcelo Ryan
  • 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Danilo Cardoso
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
FC TOKYO WIN
1.72
58.1% implied
↑ best 1.77
DRAW
3.43
29.2% implied
↑ best 3.56
MITO HOLLYHOCK WIN
5.05
19.8% implied
↑ best 5.47
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
10Bet 1.70 3.40 5.40
1xBet 1.73 3.45 5.00
888Sport 1.73 3.40 4.60
Bet365 1.70 3.50 5.25
Betano 1.70 3.40 5.30
Betfair 1.62 3.40 5.00
BetVictor 1.73 3.50 5.25
Dafabet 1.75 3.55 5.20
Marathonbet 1.72 3.44 5.00
Pinnacle 1.75 3.56 5.47
SBO 1.72 3.38 4.80
Unibet 1.77 3.40 4.40
William Hill 1.73 3.25 5.00

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.39 U 2.78
2.5 O 2.23 U 1.63
3.5 O 4.12 U 1.20
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.06 10 bks
NO
1.68 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.56
Away -0.5 2.13
Away -0.75 1.85
Away -1 1.58
Away -1.25 1.42
Away -1.5 1.34
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.