GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · FC PORTO 78% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SUN, 09 AUG · 17:00 LOCAL
FC PORTO
1ST · 88 PTS · LAST 5:
W L W W W
66'
2 – 0
HT · 2-0
ALVERCA
L D L W L
· 11TH · 39 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 9' André Silva (P) ⚽ 44' Gabri Veiga (P)
GOALS
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Alverca · 60'

LIVE
ALVERCA FC PORTO

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

FC PORTO ALVERCA
⚽ 44' FC PORTO ALVERCA 36' 51' 66'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 66'

1.79
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.58
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
6
TOTAL SHOTS
12
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
87%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
4
CORNERS
7
KEY EVENTS 9 events
  1. 8'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matheus Mendes
    ALV
  2. 9'
    Goal · Penalty
    André Silva
    FC
  3. 43'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nabil Touaizi
    ALV
  4. 44'
    Goal · Penalty
    Gabri Veiga
    FC
  5. 52'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yaya Bojang
    ALV
  6. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    William Gomes · assist Borja Sainz
    FC
  7. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alan Varela · assist Pablo Rosario
    FC
  8. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Vivaldo · assist Samy Jr Merheg
    ALV
  9. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yaya Bojang · assist Francisco Chissumba
    ALV
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.8
xG
1.6
6.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
4.0
ON TARGET
4.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
0.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
285.0
PASSES
236.0
87.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
7.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
7.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
4.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FC PORTO 2 shots
André Silva
1/1
Jakub Kiwior
0/1
ALVERCA 4 shots
Chiquinho
0/1
Davy Gui
1/1
Figueiredo
0/1
Vivaldo
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.79 – 1.58
1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 1.8 0.0 HT 9' 44' H 1.79 A 1.58 KO 30' 60' 66'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 44%
56% A
4
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 3-4-3
4-3-3
3-4-3
99
DIOGO COS
 6.9
12
ZAIDU SAN
 7.5
4
JAKUB KIW
5
JAN BEDNA
52
MARTIM FE
10
GABRI VEI
22
ALAN VARE
 7.2
8
VICTOR FR
 7.0
11
PEPê
 8.2
19
ANDRé SIL
7
WILLIAM G
31
MATHEUS M
33
BASTIEN M
4
YAYA BOJA
14
STEVEN BA
 6.5
12
ISAAC JAM
 6.6
6
DAVY GUI
25
IAN LUCCA
2
NABIL TOU
 6.6
22
FIGUEIRED
 6.3
9
VIVALDO
 7.3
10
CHIQUINHO
SUBSTITUTES · FC PORTO
6
Stephen Eust...
M
13
Pablo Rosari...
M
16
Hwang In-beo...
M
27
Deniz Gül
F
57
Duarte Cunha
F
86
Rodrigo Mora
M
21
Dominik Prpi...
D
74
Francisco Mo...
D
18
Nehuén Pérez
D
24
João Costa
G
50
João Afonso
G
17
Borja Sainz
F
COACH: Francesco Farioli
SUBSTITUTES · ALVERCA
18
Zakaria Kass...
M
19
Marco Essimi
F
17
Samy Jr Merh...
F
11
Cédric Nuozz...
F
55
Francisco Ch...
D
30
Abderrahmane...
M
8
Vasco Moreir...
M
15
Ikker dos Sa...
D
20
Diogo Spence...
D
21
Sergi Gómez
D
91
Jhonatan
G
27
Toni Tamarit
F
COACH: Sergio Ferreira
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ALV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Luís Godinho, Portugal
—
FC MANAGER
Francesco Farioli
head coach
ALV MANAGER
Sergio Ferreira
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
FC WINS
0
DRAWS
0
ALV WINS
100%
4 – 0
TOTAL GOALS · 2 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 2
02 May 2026
FC Porto
1 – 0
Alverca
W
22 Dec 2025
Alverca
0 – 3
FC Porto
W
FC PORTO LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W W W
ALVERCA LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L W L
LIVE IMPACT Currently 2–0 · scenario projection
FC PORTO #1
If win holds: 91 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
ALVERCA #11
If loss holds: 39 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yaya Bojang
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Vivaldo
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alan Varela
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · William Gomes
  • 52'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yaya Bojang
    Tripping
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 44'
    Goal · Penalty · Gabri Veiga
  • 43'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nabil Touaizi
    Holding
  • 9'
    Goal · Penalty · André Silva
  • 8'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matheus Mendes
    Roughing
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
FC PORTO WIN
1.20
83.3% implied
↑ best 1.24
DRAW
6.46
15.5% implied
↑ best 7.50
ALVERCA WIN
13.43
7.4% implied
↑ best 16.00

Market favors FC Porto. AI projects FC PORTO 78% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FC PORTO 78% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.22 6.20 11.50 -0.1%
1xBet 1.20 7.50 15.00 +2.7%
888Sport 1.20 6.50 13.00 +0.6%
Bet365 1.22 5.75 13.00 -1.4%
Betano 1.24 6.70 15.00 +1.1%
Betfair 1.18 6.50 16.00 +0.6%
BetVictor 1.18 5.75 13.00 -1.4%
Dafabet 1.22 6.60 14.00 +0.8%
Marathonbet 1.18 6.55 13.25 +0.7%
Pinnacle 1.21 6.94 12.79 +1.6%
SBO 1.20 5.99 12.52 -0.7%
Superbet 1.22 6.40 12.00 +0.4%
Unibet 1.19 6.50 14.00 +0.6%
William Hill 1.20 6.50 13.00 +0.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.18 U 4.49
2.5 O 1.62 U 2.25
3.5 O 2.56 U 1.48
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.32 11 bks
NO
1.55 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 5.94
Away -0.5 4.18
Away -0.75 3.86
Away -1 3.40
Away -1.25 2.54
Away -1.5 2.18
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.