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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · FC LUGANO 45%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Europa Conference League · 2ND QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 23 JUL · 18:30 LOCAL
FC LUGANO
2'
0 – 0
DUKAGJINI
⚽ 31' Renato Steffen
GOALS
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · FC Lugano · 89'

LIVE
DUKAGJIN FC LUGAN

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

FC LUGAN DUKAGJIN
FC LUGANO DUKAGJINI 0' 1' 2'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 2'

72%
BALL POSSESSION %
28%
24
TOTAL SHOTS
12
7
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
91%
PASS ACCURACY %
74%
7
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 21'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mattia Zanotti
    FC
  2. 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Renato Steffen · assist Kevin Behrens
    FC
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Iljasa Zulfiu · assist G. Elezaj
    DUK
  4. 49'
    Card · Yellow Card
    E. Basri
    DUK
  5. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    A. Merlaku · assist Meris Maliqi
    DUK
  6. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ezgjan Alioski · assist Dereck Moncada
    FC
  7. 79'
    Card · Yellow Card
    G. Elezaj
    DUK
  8. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Daniel Dos Santos · assist Ahmed Kendouci
    FC
  9. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kevin Behrens · assist Joel Bichsel
    FC
  10. 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kushtrim Gashi · assist A. Rexhaj
    DUK
  11. 83'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kevin Behrens
    FC
  12. 87'
    Card · Red Card
    A. Rexhaj
    DUK
  13. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jeudi Stevenson · assist Arbër Bytyqi
    DUK
  14. 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Yanis Cimignani · assist Elias Pihlström
    FC
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
24.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
7.0
ON TARGET
3.0
11.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
6.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
72.0%
POSSESSION %
28.0%
621.0
PASSES
241.0
91.0%
PASS ACCURACY
74.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
3.0
5.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
17.0
FOULS
12.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FC LUGANO 9 shots
Renato Steffen
3/4
Antonios Papadopoulos
1/2
Anto Grgić
0/1
Uran Bislimi
0/1
Lars Lukas Mai
1/1
DUKAGJINI 3 shots
Mergim Pefqeli
1/2
Vitor Hugo
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 4-4-2
3-4-2-1
4-4-2
16
DAVID VON
 7.3
6
ANTONIOS
 8.0
17
LARS LUKA
46
MATTIA ZA
7
EZGJAN AL
 8.3
8
ANTO GRGI
 8.2
25
URAN BISL
21
YANIS CIM
27
DANIEL DO
 8.7
11
RENATO ST
91
KEVIN BEH
 7.9
77
VITOR HUG
 6.6
44
TUN BARDH
 7.9
14
EGZON SIN
 7.2
5
ELTON BAS
10
ALTIN MER
8
KUSHTRIM
47
DIENIT IS
23
ILJASA ZU
99
JEUDI STE
 7.3
17
MERGIM PE
SUBSTITUTES · FC LUGANO
30
Dereck Monca...
F
24
Elias Pihlst...
F
23
Gjan Ajdin
M
22
Beckham Cast...
F
14
Ahmed Kendou...
M
18
Joel Bichsel
D
4
Damian Kelvi...
D
39
Ahmadou Ndia...
G
28
Felix Gebhar...
G
32
Nicolo Puddu
M
COACH: Mattia Croci-Torti
SUBSTITUTES · DUKAGJINI
98
Meris Maliqi
F
66
Engjell Syle...
M
7
Granit Eleza...
F
33
Luan
D
22
Arbër Bytyqi
D
3
Melos Zenuna...
D
16
Kenan Haxhih...
G
9
Kron Thaci
F
COACH: A. Dallku
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

DUK · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Viktor Shimusik, Belarus
—
FC MANAGER
Mattia Croci-Torti
head coach
DUK MANAGER
A. Dallku
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
FC WINS
1
DRAWS
0
DUK WINS
100%
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 89'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Yanis Cimignani
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jeudi Stevenson
  • 87'
    Card · Red Card · A. Rexhaj
  • 83'
    Card · Yellow Card · Kevin Behrens
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kushtrim Gashi
  • 80'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kevin Behrens
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Daniel Dos Santos
  • 79'
    Card · Yellow Card · G. Elezaj
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ezgjan Alioski
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · A. Merlaku
  • 49'
    Card · Yellow Card · E. Basri
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Iljasa Zulfiu
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Renato Steffen
  • 21'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mattia Zanotti
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
FC LUGANO WIN
1.15
87% implied
↑ best 1.18
DRAW
6.80
14.7% implied
↑ best 8.73
DUKAGJINI WIN
15.46
6.5% implied
↑ best 27.00

Market favors FC Lugano. AI projects FC LUGANO 45%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FC LUGANO 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.15 6.50 16.00 +16.8%
1xBet 1.17 6.65 14.40 +17.0%
Bet365 1.18 6.25 15.00 +16.3%
Betano 1.18 6.20 14.50 +16.1%
Betfair 1.11 7.00 15.00 +17.7%
BetVictor 1.14 7.00 17.00 +17.7%
Dafabet 1.16 6.80 15.00 +17.3%
Marathonbet 1.14 7.50 15.00 +18.7%
Pinnacle 1.09 8.73 27.00 +20.5%
SBO 1.13 5.51 10.12 +13.9%
Superbet 1.16 6.50 14.00 +16.6%
Unibet 1.16 6.75 15.00 +17.2%
William Hill 1.17 7.00 13.00 +17.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.16 U 4.57
2.5 O 1.56 U 2.30
3.5 O 2.41 U 1.50
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.44 10 bks
NO
1.49 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 8.08
Away -0.5 4.55
Away -0.75 3.94
Away -1 3.68
Away -1.25 2.83
Away -1.5 2.32
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.