GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · FC JUAREZ 38%
CONF 42 FULL ANALYSIS →
Liga MX · APERTURA - 3 · SAT, 01 AUG · 03:00 LOCAL
FC JUAREZ
12TH · 19 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W L L
FT
1 – 5
FULL TIME HT · 1-3
U.N.A.M. - PUMAS
W L L D W
· 1ST · 36 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 45+4' José Luis Rodríguez
GOALS
⚽ 18' Juninho (P) ⚽ 22' Juninho ⚽ 40' Robert Morales ⚽ 48' Juninho ⚽ 83' Guillermo Martínez
Juninho
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Juninho
U.N.A.M. - Pumas · 65 mins
⚽ 3 goals · 12% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.40
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.70
49%
BALL POSSESSION %
51%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
10
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
78%
PASS ACCURACY %
80%
2
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 18'
    Goal · Penalty
    Juninho
    U.N
  2. 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Juninho · assist Robert Morales
    U.N
  3. 27'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jesús Murillo · assist Monchu
    FC
  4. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Robert Morales · assist Uriel Antuna
    U.N
  5. 45'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal
    José Luis Rodríguez · assist Jairo Torres
    FC
  6. 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Juninho · assist Robert Morales
    U.N
  7. 52'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Haret Ortega · assist Ricardo Juárez
    FC
  8. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Uriel Antuna
    U.N
  9. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Denzell Garcia · assist Ettson Ayón
    FC
  10. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    José Luis Rodríguez · assist Raymundo Fulgencio
    FC
  11. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Óscar Estupiñán · assist Jan Carmona
    FC
  12. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Sebastián Córdova · assist Alan Medina
    U.N
  13. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Juninho · assist Adalberto Carrasquilla
    U.N
  14. 74'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Raymundo Fulgencio
    FC
  15. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Uriel Antuna · assist Guillermo Martínez
    U.N
  16. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Robert Morales · assist Luciano Herrera
    U.N
  17. 83'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Guillermo Martínez · assist Adalberto Carrasquilla
    U.N
  18. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Guilherme Castilho
    FC
  19. 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Victor Arteaga · assist Santiago Trigos
    U.N
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FC JUAREZ AVG 6.8
U.N.A.M. - PUMAS AVG 8.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.4
xG
2.7
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
3.0
ON TARGET
5.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
1.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
49.0%
POSSESSION %
51.0%
375.0
PASSES
399.0
78.0%
PASS ACCURACY
80.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
0.0
5.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
14.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FC JUAREZ 5 shots
Ettson Ayón
1/2
Jairo Torres
0/2
José Luis Rodríguez
1/1
U.N.A.M. - PUMAS 5 shots
Juninho
3/3
Robert Morales
1/1
Uriel Antuna
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.40 – 2.70
2.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 2.7 0.0 HT 45' 18' 22' 40' 48' 83' H 0.40 A 2.70 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 42%
58% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
5-4-1
4-2-3-1
1
SEBASTIáN
4
ALEJANDRO
23
HARET ORT
3
JESúS MUR
2
GILBERTO
33
FRANCISCO
 6.9
11
JOSé LUIS
8
GUILHERME
 6.7
5
DENZELL G
 6.9
10
JAIRO TOR
19
ÓSCAR EST
1
KEYLOR NA
 7.3
77
ÁLVARO AN
5
RUBéN DUA
6
NATHAN SI
7
RODRIGO L
45
PEDRO VIT
18
VICTOR AR
 9.7
23
JUNINHO
17
SEBASTIáN
 7.3
21
URIEL ANT
 8.3
31
ROBERT MO
SUBSTITUTES · FC JUAREZ
21
Ricardinho
M
7
Raymundo Ful...
M
201
Jan Carmona
M
183
Leonardo Rod...
M
20
Javier Aquin...
M
27
Guillermo Ru...
G
198
Ricardo Juár...
D
6
Monchu
M
29
Ettson Ayón
F
COACH: Pedro Caixinha
SUBSTITUTES · U.N.A.M. - PUMAS
14
Luciano Herr...
F
8
Adalberto Ca...
M
22
Alan Medina
F
20
Santiago Tri...
M
12
Cristian Cal...
D
2
Pablo Bennev...
D
24
Antonio Leon...
D
34
Angel Azuaje
D
35
Pablo Lara
G
9
Guillermo Ma...
F
COACH: Esteban Solari
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

U.N · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Mario Terrazas Chavez, Mexico
—
FC MANAGER
Pedro Caixinha
head coach
U.N MANAGER
Esteban Solari
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
FC WINS
2
DRAWS
5
U.N WINS
30%
20%
50%
15 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
22 Apr 2026
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4 – 2
FC Juarez
L
24 Sep 2025
FC Juarez
3 – 1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
W
28 Apr 2025
FC Juarez
1 – 1
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
D
12 Apr 2025
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0 – 0
FC Juarez
D
18 Jul 2024
FC Juarez
1 – 2
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
L
FC JUAREZ LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W L L
U.N.A.M. - PUMAS LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–5 · result locked
FC JUAREZ #12
Lost · already at 19 pts
U.N.A.M. - PUMAS #1
Won · already at 36 pts
Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 U.N.A.M. - Pumas 17 10 6 1 +17 36
L D W L D
2 Guadalajara Chivas 17 11 3 3 +16 36
L D W L D
3 Cruz Azul 17 9 6 2 +13 33
W D W D W
4 Pachuca 17 9 4 4 +6 31
L W W W L
5 Toluca 17 8 6 3 +12 30
L L W L L
6 Atlas 17 7 5 5 -2 26
L L W D W
7 Tigres UANL 17 7 4 6 +10 25
L W W D D
8 Club America 17 7 4 6 +3 25
D D L W W
9 Club Tijuana 17 5 8 4 +2 23
D W D W W
10 Leon 17 7 1 9 -10 22
L L W W W
11 Club Queretaro 17 4 8 5 -4 20
W D D W D
12 FC Juarez 17 5 4 8 -6 19
W L L L D
13 Monterrey 17 5 3 9 -2 18
L W L D L
14 Atletico San Luis 17 5 3 9 -3 18
L W L D W
15 Necaxa 17 5 3 9 -6 18
L D D L W
16 Mazatlán 17 4 3 10 -15 15
L W D L L
17 Puebla 17 3 4 10 -13 13
L L L L D
18 Santos Laguna 17 3 3 11 -18 12
W L L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Victor Arteaga
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Guilherme Castilho
    Foul
  • 83'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Guillermo Martínez
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Robert Morales
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Uriel Antuna
  • 74'
    Card · Yellow Card · Raymundo Fulgencio
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Juninho
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Sebastián Córdova
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Óscar Estupiñán
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · José Luis Rodríguez
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Denzell Garcia
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Uriel Antuna
    Foul
  • 52'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Haret Ortega
  • 48'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Juninho
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 3
  • 45'+4
    Goal · Normal Goal · José Luis Rodríguez
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Robert Morales
  • 27'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jesús Murillo
  • 22'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Juninho
  • 18'
    Goal · Penalty · Juninho
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
FC JUAREZ WIN
2.53
39.5% implied
↑ best 2.65
DRAW
3.38
29.6% implied
↑ best 3.54
U.N.A.M. - PUMAS WIN
2.61
38.3% implied
↑ best 2.75

Market favors FC Juarez. AI projects FC JUAREZ 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FC JUAREZ 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.50 3.45 2.62 +3.0%
1xBet 2.54 3.32 2.60 +1.9%
Bet365 2.60 3.40 2.60 +2.6%
Betano 2.55 3.45 2.65 +3.0%
Betfair 2.55 3.40 2.55 +2.6%
BetVictor 2.55 3.50 2.55 +3.4%
Dafabet 2.55 3.50 2.70 +3.4%
Marathonbet 2.54 3.32 2.60 +1.9%
Pinnacle 2.65 3.54 2.68 +3.8%
SBO 2.43 3.13 2.51 +0.1%
Superbet 2.52 3.40 2.65 +2.6%
Unibet 2.40 3.40 2.75 +2.6%
William Hill 2.45 3.10 2.50 -0.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.02
2.5 O 1.75 U 2.04
3.5 O 2.78 U 1.40
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.58 10 bks
NO
2.23 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.65
Away -0.5 1.51
Away -0.75 1.35
Away -1 1.21
Away -1.25 1.18
Away -1.5 1.15
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.