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Liga MX · APERTURA - 1 · SAT, 18 JUL · 03:00 LOCAL
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FC JUAREZ
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME
PUEBLA
GOALS
⚽ 11' Ignacio Maestro Puch
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
FC
1 – 0
PUE
most likely scoreline · 17.1% probability
AI PICKS FC JUAREZ TO WIN 52%
FT 0 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
FC WIN 52%
DRAW 32%
PUE WIN 16%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 84% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 84% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Early in match at 0-0; Juarez home form advantage and Puebla's poor away record lean slightly home, but low data and scoreline make draw live.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY FC JUAREZ FAVORED
52%
Only 2 minutes played — scoreline and remaining 88 min dominate; early draw baseline 30-35%
+25.0%
WHY PUEBLA CHALLENGED
16%
Early in match at 0-0; Juarez home form advantage and Puebla's poor away record lean slightly home, but low data and scoreline make draw live.
+30.0%
Juarez home form (WWWDL) vs Puebla away form (LLLLL) — stark contrast favours Juarez
+20.0%
No season stats available; recent overall form shows Juarez WLLWW vs Puebla LLLLL (confidence capped)
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Only 2 minutes played — scoreline and remaining 88 min dominate; early draw baseline 30-35%
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 11' IGNACIO MA
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 17.1%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.4
4.3
1.1
0.2
·
·
1
17.1
13.0
4.9
1.3
0.2
·
·
2
9.7
7.4
2.8
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
3.7
2.8
1.1
0.3
·
·
·
4
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 17.1%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.0%
0 — 1 11.4%
2 — 0 9.7%
Top 5 = 66.1% · rest 33.9%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.91
32.0%
3.13
+25.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.16
48.0%
2.08
+3.9%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.17
84.0%
1.19
-2.1%
—
HOME to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.66
52.0%
1.92
-13.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.21
68.0%
1.47
-17.5%
—
AWAY to Win
13 bookmakers · pre-match avg
4.75
16.0%
6.25
-24.1%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.69
38.0%
2.63
-35.6%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.67
28.0%
3.57
-53.2%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.