KEY EVENTS
13 events
-
20'FCCard · Yellow CardK. Smith
-
26'SANGoal · Normal GoalDaniel Munie · assist T. Werner
-
34'FCGoal · Normal GoalBryan Josías Ramírez León · assist Evander
-
46'SANSubst · Substitution 1N. Fernandez · assist I. Harkes
-
57'SANGoal · Normal GoalT. Werner · assist Preston Judd
-
60'SANSubst · Substitution 2Vitor Costa · assist J. Ricketts
-
70'FCSubst · Substitution 1K. Mboma Dem · assist T. Barlow
-
70'FCSubst · Substitution 2K. Smith · assist T. Hadebe
-
73'SANSubst · Substitution 3O. Bouda · assist Jack Skahan
-
80'FCGoal · Normal GoalT. Barlow · assist Evander
-
82'SANSubst · Substitution 4B. Kikanovic · assist Jack Jasinski
-
82'SANSubst · Substitution 5R. Vieira · assist Dave Romney
-
82'FCGoal · Normal GoalEvander
MATCH STATS
H vs A
Final stats for this fixture were not recorded.
⚡ ATTACK SHARE
zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs
6
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
3-4-1-2 vs 4-3-3

4-3-3

18
R. CELENT
11
S. GIDI
12
M. ROBINS
24
K. SMITH
29
BRYAN JOS
5
O. NWOBOD
20
P. BUCHA
66
E. ECHENI
10
EVANDER
9
K. DENKEY
17
K. MBOMA
1
ANGUS GUN
28
B. KIKANO
5
DANIEL MU
18
R. ROBERT
87
VITOR COS
20
N. FERNAN
14
R. VIEIRA
34
BEAU LERO
7
O. BOUDA
19
PRESTON J
11
T. WERNER

16
T. Barlow
F
99
A. Jabbari
F
27
B. Anunga
M
2
A. Powell
D
15
T. Hadebe
D
88
A. Chirila
D
4
N. Hagglund
D
13
E. Louro
G
14
Kristian Fle...
F
COACH:
Pat Noonan

3
P. Marie
D
16
Jack Skahan
M
6
I. Harkes
M
79
D. Johnson
F
2
J. Ricketts
D
4
Dave Romney
D
17
Jack Jasinsk...
D
31
Francesco Mo...
G
9
Luka Jovanov...
F
COACH:
Bruce Arena
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3
⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
V. Rivas
—
FC MANAGER
Pat Noonan
head coach
SAN MANAGER
Bruce Arena
head coach

2
FC WINS
1
DRAWS

1
SAN WINS
50%
25%
25%
10
–
3
TOTAL GOALS · 4 MEETINGS
3.25
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS
SHOWING 3 / 4
FC CINCINNATI
LAST 5 OVERALL
D
W
D
L
W
SAN JOSE EARTHQUAKES
LAST 5 OVERALL
L
L
L
D
L
MATCH IMPACT
Final 4–2 · result locked

Won · already at 31 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)

Lost · already at 33 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT
FULL TABLE →
| # | TEAM | P | W | D | L | GD | PTS | FORM |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Vancouver Whitecaps
|
20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | +27 | 40 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
| 1 |
Nashville SC
|
21 | 15 | 4 | 2 | +26 | 49 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
| 2 |
Houston Dynamo
|
21 | 12 | 2 | 7 | +4 | 38 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 |
Inter Miami
|
21 | 11 | 6 | 4 | +9 | 39 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
| 3 |
Los Angeles FC
|
22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | +14 | 35 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
| 3 |
Chicago Fire
|
20 | 11 | 3 | 6 | +11 | 36 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 4 |
New England Revolution
|
21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | +7 | 34 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
| 4 |
San Jose Earthquakes
|
21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +6 | 33 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
| 5 |
FC Dallas
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +4 | 33 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
| 5 |
Charlotte
|
21 | 9 | 5 | 7 | +6 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
| 6 |
St. Louis City
|
21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | +3 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
| 6 |
FC Cincinnati
|
21 | 8 | 7 | 6 | +2 | 31 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 7 |
Colorado Rapids
|
21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | +2 | 28 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 7 |
New York City FC
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +5 | 27 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
| 8 |
New York Red Bulls
|
21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | -12 | 26 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
| 8 |
Real Salt Lake
|
20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | +2 | 28 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
| 9 |
Portland Timbers
|
21 | 8 | 4 | 9 | +1 | 28 |
D
W
L
W
W
|
| 9 |
Orlando City SC
|
21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | -17 | 24 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 10 |
Minnesota United FC
|
21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | -2 | 28 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 10 |
Toronto FC
|
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -6 | 24 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 11 |
San Diego
|
21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | +5 | 27 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
| 11 |
DC United
|
21 | 5 | 9 | 7 | -8 | 24 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
| 12 |
Philadelphia Union
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -7 | 21 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
| 12 |
Los Angeles Galaxy
|
22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | -5 | 26 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
| 13 |
Seattle Sounders
|
20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 25 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
| 13 |
CF Montreal
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -10 | 21 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
| 14 |
Austin
|
21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | -14 | 21 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
| 14 |
Columbus Crew
|
21 | 5 | 5 | 11 | -6 | 20 |
L
L
L
D
W
|
| 15 |
Sporting Kansas City
|
20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | -30 | 15 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
| 15 |
Atlanta United FC
|
20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | -12 | 18 |
W
W
L
L
D
|
UCL Qualification
Europa / Conference
Relegation
COMMENTARY
-
82'
Goal · Normal Goal · Evander
-
82'
Subst · Substitution 5 · R. Vieira
-
82'
Subst · Substitution 4 · B. Kikanovic
-
80'
Goal · Normal Goal · T. Barlow
-
73'
Subst · Substitution 3 · O. Bouda
-
70'
Subst · Substitution 2 · K. Smith
-
70'
Subst · Substitution 1 · K. Mboma Dem
-
60'
Subst · Substitution 2 · Vitor Costa
-
57'
Goal · Normal Goal · T. Werner
-
46'
Subst · Substitution 1 · N. Fernandez
- HALF TIME · 1 – 1
-
34'
Goal · Normal Goal · Bryan Josías Ramírez León
-
26'
Goal · Normal Goal · Daniel Munie
-
20'
Card · Yellow Card · K. Smith
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
FC CINCINNATI WIN
1.86
53.8% implied
↑ best 1.93
DRAW
4.21
23.8% implied
↑ best 4.33
SAN JOSE EARTHQU WIN
3.48
28.7% implied
↑ best 3.80
Market favors FC Cincinnati. AI projects FC CINCINNATI 48% · value bet Over 2.5.
MATCH WINNER ODDS
avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS
FC CINCINNATI 48%
· EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
| BOOKMAKER | 1 | X | 2 | EDGE |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.87 | 4.10 | 3.45 | +2.6% |
| 888Sport | 1.80 | 4.33 | 3.30 | +3.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 4.00 | 3.80 | +2.0% |
| Betano | 1.87 | 4.10 | 3.65 | +2.6% |
| Betfair | 1.87 | 4.20 | 3.60 | +3.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.87 | 4.33 | 3.30 | +3.9% |
| Dafabet | 1.91 | 4.30 | 3.55 | +3.7% |
| Marathonbet | 1.83 | 4.20 | 3.50 | +3.2% |
| Pinnacle | 1.93 | 4.27 | 3.56 | +3.6% |
| SBO | 1.87 | 4.09 | 3.23 | +2.6% |
| Superbet | 1.90 | 4.20 | 3.50 | +3.2% |
| Unibet | 1.85 | 4.25 | 3.45 | +3.5% |
| William Hill | 1.80 | 4.33 | 3.30 | +3.9% |
Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.
📊 OTHER MARKETS
avg across bookmakers
Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5
O 1.07
U 8.10
2.5
O 1.27
U 3.61
3.5
O 1.70
U 2.13
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.29
10 bks
NO
3.37
10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25
2.22
Away -0.5
1.92
Away -0.75
1.75
Away -1
1.55
Away -1.25
1.45
Away -1.5
1.37
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT
historical line movement
How the market shifted before kick-off
Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.