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Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · GROUP 2 - 34 · SUN 26 APR · 16:15 LOCAL
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FC CARTAGENA
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME
GIMNASTIC
⚽ 90+1' P. De Blasis
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
FC
1 – 1
GIM
most likely scoreline · 14.4% probability
AI PICKS FC CARTAGENA TO WIN 40%
FT 1 – 0
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
FC WIN 40%
DRAW 35%
GIM WIN 25%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 75% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 75% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Early 0-0 in first half; data thin. Slight home edge but low confidence — treat cautiously.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY FC CARTAGENA FAVORED
40%
Match at 16 minutes — scoreline neutral, too early to signal form
CONTEXT
No season stats or home/away splits available — baseline home advantage only
CONTEXT
Gimnastic won last, Cartagena lost — weak recent signal in low-confidence scenario
CONTEXT
WHY GIMNASTIC CHALLENGED
25%
Match at 16 minutes — scoreline neutral, too early to signal form
CONTEXT
No season stats or home/away splits available — baseline home advantage only
CONTEXT
Gimnastic won last, Cartagena lost — weak recent signal in low-confidence scenario
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Match at 16 minutes — scoreline neutral, too early to signal form
  • No season stats or home/away splits available — baseline home advantage only
  • Gimnastic won last, Cartagena lost — weak recent signal in low-confidence scenario
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 91' P. DE BLAS
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.4%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.7
6.0
1.9
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.4
13.5
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.6
7.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.7
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.4%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.7%
2 — 0 7.6%
Top 5 = 61.7% · rest 38.3%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Over 2.5 Goals
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.22
52.0%
1.92
+15.2%
Both Teams Score — YES
7 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.96
58.0%
1.72
+13.9%
Draw
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.12
35.0%
2.86
+9.2%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.76
60.0%
1.67
+5.5%
AWAY to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.77
25.0%
4.00
-5.7%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.20
75.0%
1.33
-9.9%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.28
65.0%
1.54
-16.8%
—
HOME to Win
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.95
40.0%
2.50
-22.1%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.