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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · FAR RABAT 38%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
CAF Champions League · FINAL · SUN, 24 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
FAR RABAT
LAST 5:
L D D
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
MAMELODI SUNDOWNS
W D W W D
· LAST 5
⚽ 40' Mohamed Rabie Hrimat (P) ⚽ 75' Mohamed Rabie Hrimat (P)
GOALS
⚽ 45+7' Teboho Mokoena
Youssef El Fahli
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Youssef El Fahli
FAR Rabat · 94 mins
· 11% pass acc
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.26
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.42
52%
BALL POSSESSION %
48%
10
TOTAL SHOTS
6
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
78%
PASS ACCURACY %
76%
8
CORNERS
0
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 4'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brayan Léon Muñiz
    MAM
  2. 4'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Marouane Louadni
    FAR
  3. 20'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mohamed Rabie Hrimat
    FAR
  4. 37'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Divine Lunga
    MAM
  5. 40'
    Goal · Penalty
    Mohamed Rabie Hrimat
    FAR
  6. 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Anas Bach
    FAR
  7. 45'+7
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Teboho Mokoena · assist Tashreeq Matthews
    MAM
  8. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kutlwano Letlhaku · assist Marcelo Allende
    MAM
  9. 51'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Abdelfettah Hadraf
    FAR
  10. 53'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jayden Adams
    MAM
  11. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Nuno Santos · assist Arthur Sales
    MAM
  12. 75'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Mohamed Rabie Hrimat · assist Mohamed Rabie Hrimat
    FAR
  13. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ahmed Hammoudan · assist Mohssine Bourika
    FAR
  14. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Brayan Léon Muñiz · assist Lebo Mothiba
    MAM
  15. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Tashreeq Matthews · assist Grant Kekana
    MAM
  16. 89'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Keanu Cupido
    MAM
  17. 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Reda Slim · assist Jalal-Eddine El Khfiyef
    FAR
  18. 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Tó Carneiro · assist Jamal Ech-Chammakh
    FAR
  19. 90'+9
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Arthur Sales · assist Themba Zwane
    MAM
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
FAR RABAT AVG 7.2
MAMELODI SUNDOWNS AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.3
xG
0.4
10.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
4.0
ON TARGET
3.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
52.0%
POSSESSION %
48.0%
344.0
PASSES
361.0
78.0%
PASS ACCURACY
76.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
0.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
13.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
5.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
FAR RABAT 4 shots
Youssef El Fahli
0/1
Reda Slim
1/1
Ahmed Hammoudan
1/1
Abdelfettah Hadraf
0/1
MAMELODI SUNDOWNS 1 shots
Teboho Mokoena
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.26 – 0.42
1.8 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 40' 75' 45' H 2.26 A 0.42 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-3-2-1
4-2-3-1
4-3-2-1
6.7
16
AHMED RED
2
Tó CARNEI
4
FALLOU FO
15
MAROUANE
3
ANAS BACH
8
KHALID AI
34
MOHAMED R
 6.9
11
AHMED HAM
 6.9
40
ABDELFETT
 7.3
10
REDA SLIM
 8.0
7
YOUSSEF E
 7.5
30
RONWEN WI
29
DIVINE LU
 7.0
3
KHULUMANI
24
KEANU CUP
 7.2
25
KHULISO M
8
JAYDEN AD
 7.7
4
TEBOHO MO
16
KUTLWANO
17
TASHREEQ
10
NUNO SANT
12
BRAYAN Lé
SUBSTITUTES · FAR RABAT
17
Hamza Khabba
F
26
Nolan Mbemba
M
19
Jalal-Eddine...
M
14
Taoufik Razk...
F
24
Nouh Mohamed...
D
23
Jamal Ech-Ch...
D
5
Yunis Abdelh...
D
1
Ayoub El Kha...
G
9
Mohssine Bou...
F
COACH: Alexandre Santos
SUBSTITUTES · MAMELODI SUNDOWNS
35
Lebo Mothiba
F
18
Themba Zwane
M
20
Grant Kekana
D
33
Thato Sibiya
D
37
Kegan Johann...
D
1
Denis Onyang...
G
9
Arthur Sales
F
11
Marcelo Alle...
M
13
Iqraam Rayne...
F
COACH: Miguel Cardoso
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
FAR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MAM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
O. A. Artan
—
FAR MANAGER
Alexandre Santos
head coach
MAM MANAGER
Miguel Cardoso
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
FAR WINS
2
DRAWS
1
MAM WINS
66.7%
33.3%
2 – 3
TOTAL GOALS · 3 MEETINGS
1.67
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 3
17 May 2026
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 – 0
FAR Rabat
L
19 Jan 2025
Mamelodi Sundowns
1 – 1
FAR Rabat
D
07 Dec 2024
FAR Rabat
1 – 1
Mamelodi Sundowns
D
FAR RABAT LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D
MAMELODI SUNDOWNS LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W D
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+9
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Arthur Sales
  • 90'+6
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Tó Carneiro
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Reda Slim
  • 89'
    Card · Yellow Card · Keanu Cupido
    Tripping
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Tashreeq Matthews
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Brayan Léon Muñiz
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ahmed Hammoudan
  • 75'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Mohamed Rabie Hrimat
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Nuno Santos
  • 53'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jayden Adams
    Foul
  • 51'
    Card · Yellow Card · Abdelfettah Hadraf
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kutlwano Letlhaku
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'+7
    Goal · Normal Goal · Teboho Mokoena
  • 45'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Anas Bach
    Holding
  • 40'
    Goal · Penalty · Mohamed Rabie Hrimat
  • 37'
    Card · Yellow Card · Divine Lunga
    Foul
  • 20'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mohamed Rabie Hrimat
    Holding
  • 4'
    Card · Yellow Card · Marouane Louadni
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 4'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brayan Léon Muñiz
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
FAR RABAT WIN
2.33
42.9% implied
↑ best 2.39
DRAW
3.02
33.1% implied
↑ best 3.15
MAMELODI SUNDOWN WIN
3.04
32.9% implied
↑ best 3.50

Market favors FAR Rabat. AI projects FAR RABAT 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS FAR RABAT 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.36 3.10 2.90 +2.7%
1xBet 2.31 3.14 3.10 +3.2%
Bet365 2.35 3.10 2.88 +2.7%
Betano 2.37 3.00 3.15 +1.7%
Betfair 2.30 3.00 2.88 +1.7%
BetVictor 2.38 3.13 3.00 +3.1%
Dafabet 2.39 3.15 3.00 +3.3%
Marathonbet 2.29 3.14 3.08 +3.2%
Pinnacle 2.39 2.97 3.23 +1.3%
SBO 2.24 2.80 2.66 -0.7%
Superbet 2.37 2.90 3.10 +0.5%
Unibet 2.23 2.95 3.50 +1.1%
William Hill 2.30 2.90 3.00 +0.5%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.44 U 2.64
2.5 O 2.35 U 1.53
3.5 O 4.44 U 1.17
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.00 10 bks
NO
1.72 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.77
Away -0.5 1.57
Away -0.75 1.40
Away -1 1.23
Away -1.25 1.17
Away -1.5 1.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.