GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · PSV EINDHOVEN 40%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · SAT, 15 AUG · 18:00 LOCAL
EXCELSIOR
13TH · 38 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D W W
61'
1 – 2
HT · 0-1
PSV EINDHOVEN
D W W D W
· 1ST · 84 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 54' Casper Widell
GOALS
⚽ 5' Ruben van Bommel ⚽ 56' Ricardo Pepi
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · PSV Eindhoven · 56'

LIVE
PSV EIND EXCELSIO

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

EXCELSIO PSV EIND
⚽ 54' ⚽ 56' EXCELSIOR PSV EINDHO 31' 46' 61'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 61'

0.14
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.02
45%
BALL POSSESSION %
55%
3
TOTAL SHOTS
5
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
83%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
1
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 5 events
  1. 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ruben van Bommel
    PSV
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Aymen Sliti · assist Nolan Martens
    EXC
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ilano Silva Timas · assist Osman Turay
    EXC
  4. 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Casper Widell · assist Irakli Yegoian
    EXC
  5. 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ricardo Pepi · assist Sergiño Dest
    PSV
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.1
xG
1.0
3.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
1.0
ON TARGET
4.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
1.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
45.0%
POSSESSION %
55.0%
302.0
PASSES
359.0
83.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
3.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
4.0
FOULS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
EXCELSIOR 2 shots
Casper Widell
1/1
Aymen Sliti
0/1
PSV EINDHOVEN 4 shots
Ricardo Pepi
1/2
Sergiño Dest
1/1
Ruben van Bommel
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.14 – 1.02
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.0 HT 54' 5' 56' H 0.14 A 1.02 KO 30' 60' 61'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
3
EVENTS LOGGED
2
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
1
STIJN VAN
15
SIMON JAN
14
JAN PLUG
 6.9
4
CASPER WI
3
RICK MEIS
6
DANIEL VA
 7.3
8
IRAKLI YE
 6.9
20
LENNARD H
21
ILANO SIL
 6.7
19
DAVID GAR
 6.6
7
AYMEN SLI
32
MATěJ KOV
17
MAURO JúN
4
ARMANDO O
 6.7
6
RYAN FLAM
 7.6
8
SERGIñO D
 6.9
23
JOEY VEER
10
PAUL WANN
 7.3
7
RUBEN VAN
20
GUUS TIL
5
IVAN PERI
 7.5
9
RICARDO P
SUBSTITUTES · EXCELSIOR
28
Nesto Groen
F
9
Mario Domíng...
F
30
Alireza Jaha...
F
18
Valentin Sul...
M
24
Giuliano Cai...
M
22
Osman Turay
D
5
Stan Henderi...
D
17
Nolan Marten...
D
16
Celton Biai
G
23
Yaqub Finey
M
COACH: Ruben den Uil
SUBSTITUTES · PSV EINDHOVEN
27
Dennis Man
F
24
Kodai Sano
M
37
Amir Bouhamd...
F
21
Sven Mijnans
M
25
Kiliann Sild...
D
3
Yarek Gasior...
D
38
Fabian Merié...
D
1
Nick Olij
G
41
Khadim Ngom
G
19
Esmir Bajrak...
F
COACH: Peter Bosz
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
EXC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

PSV · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Nagtegaal
—
EXC MANAGER
Ruben den Uil
head coach
PSV MANAGER
Peter Bosz
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
EXC WINS
0
DRAWS
10
PSV WINS
100%
8 – 39
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
4.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
10 Jan 2026
PSV Eindhoven
5 – 1
Excelsior
L
27 Sep 2025
Excelsior
1 – 2
PSV Eindhoven
L
02 Apr 2024
Excelsior
0 – 2
PSV Eindhoven
L
13 Jan 2024
PSV Eindhoven
3 – 1
Excelsior
L
08 Apr 2023
PSV Eindhoven
4 – 0
Excelsior
L
EXCELSIOR LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W W
PSV EINDHOVEN LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W D W
LIVE IMPACT Currently 1–2 · scenario projection
EXCELSIOR #13
If loss holds: 38 pts
PSV EINDHOVEN #1
If win holds: 87 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 +56 84
W W D W W
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 +26 65
W D W W D
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 +24 59
W L D D D
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 +19 58
L W D D W
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 +21 56
D L D W W
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 +13 53
W W W L W
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 +7 52
D D D D W
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 +4 51
D L W W L
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 +4 48
W W L L D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 -22 43
L L D L L
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 -14 39
L W L L D
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 +1 38
L L D D D
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 -13 38
W D W W D
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 -6 37
W W D W L
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 -27 37
L L W L D
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 -20 32
L D L W L
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 -23 29
D W L L D
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 -50 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ricardo Pepi
  • 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Casper Widell
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ilano Silva Timas
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Aymen Sliti
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ruben van Bommel
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
EXCELSIOR WIN
5.85
17.1% implied
↑ best 6.47
DRAW
4.70
21.3% implied
↑ best 5.00
PSV EINDHOVEN WIN
1.47
68% implied
↑ best 1.57

Market favors PSV Eindhoven. AI projects PSV EINDHOVEN 40%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PSV EINDHOVEN 40% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.55 4.65 1.57 +10.5%
1xBet 6.43 4.68 1.49 +12.4%
888Sport 5.50 4.40 1.44 +9.8%
Bet365 6.25 4.75 1.48 +12.0%
Betano 5.80 5.00 1.53 +12.0%
Betfair 6.00 4.50 1.44 +11.3%
BetVictor 5.75 5.00 1.44 +12.0%
Dafabet 5.80 5.00 1.50 +12.0%
Marathonbet 6.25 4.55 1.44 +12.0%
Pinnacle 6.47 4.83 1.48 +12.5%
SBO 5.51 4.76 1.44 +11.0%
Unibet 6.25 4.60 1.44 +12.0%
William Hill 5.50 4.40 1.44 +9.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.08 U 7.13
2.5 O 1.33 U 3.15
3.5 O 1.87 U 1.91
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.44 10 bks
NO
2.63 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.12
Away -0.5 1.14
Away -0.75 1.05
Away -1 1.01
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.16
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.