GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · MANCHESTER CITY 62%
CONF 68 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 35 · MON, 04 MAY · 19:00 LOCAL
EVERTON
13TH · 49 PTS · LAST 5:
L L D L L
FT
3 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
MANCHESTER CITY
L D W W W
· 2ND · 78 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 68' Thierno Barry ⚽ 73' Jake O'Brien ⚽ 81' Thierno Barry
GOALS
⚽ 43' Jérémy Doku ⚽ 83' Erling Haaland ⚽ 90+7' Jérémy Doku
Thierno Barry
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Thierno Barry
Everton · 32 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 1% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

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Premier League: Everton vs Manchester City
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HIGHLIGHTS! Everton 3-3 Man City | Doku rescues p…
Premier League: Everton vs Manchester City
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

63%
BALL POSSESSION %
135%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
20
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
138%
PASS ACCURACY %
551%
5
CORNERS
9
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 43'
    Goal · 0-1
    Jérémy Doku · assist Rayan Cherki
    MAN
  2. 45'
    Card · Foul
    EVE
  3. 48'
    Card · Foul
    Beto
    EVE
  4. 53'
    Card · Foul
    EVE
  5. 64'
    Subst
    Thierno Barry · assist Beto
    EVE
  6. 68'
    Goal · 1-1
    Thierno Barry
    EVE
  7. 73'
    Goal · 2-1
    Jake O'Brien · assist James Garner
    EVE
  8. 74'
    Card · Argument
    Gianluigi Donnarumma
    MAN
  9. 74'
    Subst
    Phil Foden · assist Antoine Semenyo
    MAN
  10. 75'
    Subst
    Mateo Kovacic  · assist Nico González
    MAN
  11. 81'
    Goal · 3-1
    Thierno Barry · assist Merlin Röhl
    EVE
  12. 83'
    Goal · 3-2
    Erling Haaland · assist Mateo Kovacic 
    MAN
  13. 86'
    Card · Foul
    Jake O'Brien
    EVE
  14. 87'
    Subst
    Omar Marmoush · assist Bernardo Silva  
    MAN
  15. 90'+2
    Subst
    Carlos Alcaraz · assist Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall
    EVE
  16. 90'+2
    Subst
    Nathan Patterson · assist Merlin Röhl
    EVE
  17. 90'+6
    Subst
    Harrison Armstrong · assist Tim Iroegbunam
    EVE
  18. 90'+7
    Goal · 3-3
    Jérémy Doku · assist Marc Guéhi
    MAN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
EVERTON AVG 7.3
MANCHESTER CITY AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
20.0
6.0
ON TARGET
4.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
6.0
BLOCKED
8.0
POSSESSION
63.0%
POSSESSION %
135.0%
200.0
PASSES
610.0
138.0%
PASS ACCURACY
551.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
9.0
24.0
OFFSIDES
18.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
5.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
EVERTON 3 shots
Thierno Barry
2/2
Jake O'Brien
1/1
MANCHESTER CITY 5 shots
Antoine Semenyo
0/2
Jérémy Doku
1/1
Erling Haaland
1/1
Mateo Kovačić
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 61%
39% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
JORDAN PI
16
VITALIY M
 6.9
5
MICHAEL K
6
JAMES TAR
 7.0
15
JAKE O'BR
 6.9
37
JAMES GAR
 6.9
42
TIM IROEG
10
ILIMAN ND
22
KIERNAN D
34
MERLIN Rö
9
BETO
25
GIANLUIGI
33
NICO O'RE
15
MARC GUéH
45
A. KHUSAN
27
MATHEUS N
 6.9
20
BERNARDO
14
NICO GONZ
 8.6
11
JéRéMY DO
10
RAYAN CHE
 6.7
42
ANTOINE S
 7.3
9
ERLING HA
SUBSTITUTES · EVERTON
24
Carlos Alcar...
M
45
Harrison Arm...
M
20
Tyler Diblin...
M
7
Dwight McNei...
F
23
Séamus Colem...
D
2
Nathan Patte...
D
12
Mark Travers
G
11
Thierno Barr...
F
19
Tyrique Geor...
F
COACH: Leighton Baines
SUBSTITUTES · MANCHESTER CITY
47
Phil Foden
M
26
Savinho
F
8
Mateo Kovači...
M
4
Tijjani Reij...
M
6
Nathan Aké
D
5
John Stones
D
21
R. Aït-Nouri
D
1
James Traffo...
G
7
Omar Marmous...
F
COACH: Pep Guardiola
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
EVE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
M. Oliver
—
EVE MANAGER
Leighton Baines
head coach
MAN MANAGER
Pep Guardiola
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
EVE WINS
2
DRAWS
8
MAN WINS
20%
80%
3 – 23
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
18 Oct 2025
Manchester City
2 – 0
Everton
L
19 Apr 2025
Everton
0 – 2
Manchester City
L
26 Dec 2024
Manchester City
1 – 1
Everton
D
10 Feb 2024
Manchester City
2 – 0
Everton
L
27 Dec 2023
Everton
1 – 3
Manchester City
L
EVERTON LAST 5 OVERALL
L L D L L
MANCHESTER CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–3 · result locked
EVERTON #13
Lost · already at 49 pts
MANCHESTER CITY #2
Lost · already at 78 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 +44 85
W W W W W
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 +42 78
L D W W D
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 +19 71
W W D W W
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 +7 65
W W D L L
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 +10 60
D L D L W
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
D D W W D
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 -6 54
W W D D L
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 +6 53
L L W L W
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 +3 53
D D L W L
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 +6 52
L W D L L
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 -4 52
W D L L W
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 -2 49
L W D W L
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 -3 49
L L D D L
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 -7 47
L W D W D
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 -10 45
L D L D L
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 -3 44
D L D W W
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 -9 41
W L D W W
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 -19 39
W L L L W
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 -37 22
D L D L L
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 -41 20
D D L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+7
    Goal · 3-3 · Jérémy Doku
    6th Goal
  • 90'+6
    Subst · Harrison Armstrong
    7th Substitution
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Nathan Patterson
    6th Substitution
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Carlos Alcaraz
    5th Substitution
  • 87'
    Subst · Omar Marmoush
    4th Substitution
  • 86'
    Card · Foul · Jake O'Brien
    5th Yellowcard
  • 83'
    Goal · 3-2 · Erling Haaland
    5th Goal
  • 81'
    Goal · 3-1 · Thierno Barry
    4th Goal
  • 75'
    Subst · Mateo Kovacic 
    3rd Substitution
  • 74'
    Subst · Phil Foden
    2nd Substitution
  • 74'
    Card · Argument · Gianluigi Donnarumma
    4th Yellowcard
  • 73'
    Goal · 2-1 · Jake O'Brien
    3rd Goal
  • 68'
    Goal · 1-1 · Thierno Barry
    2nd Goal
  • 64'
    Subst · Thierno Barry
    1st Substitution
  • 53'
    Card · Foul
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 48'
    Card · Foul · Beto
    2nd Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'
    Card · Foul
    1st Yellowcard
  • 43'
    Goal · 0-1 · Jérémy Doku
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
EVERTON WIN
6.54
15.3% implied
↑ best 7.10
DRAW
4.67
21.4% implied
↑ best 4.88
MANCHESTER CITY WIN
1.46
68.5% implied
↑ best 1.52

Market favors Manchester City. AI projects MANCHESTER CITY 62%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS MANCHESTER CITY 62% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 6.40 4.55 1.44 +0.4%
1xBet 6.65 4.88 1.52 +1.5%
888Sport 6.00 4.50 1.44 -0.2%
Bet365 6.50 4.75 1.44 +0.9%
Betano 7.10 4.60 1.50 +1.9%
Betfair 7.00 4.60 1.44 +1.7%
BetVictor 6.50 4.75 1.45 +0.9%
Dafabet 6.20 4.80 1.50 +1.2%
Marathonbet 6.55 4.80 1.49 +1.2%
Pinnacle 6.78 4.69 1.48 +1.3%
SBO 6.38 4.53 1.43 +0.3%
Unibet 7.00 4.70 1.42 +1.7%
William Hill 6.00 4.50 1.44 -0.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.18 U 4.75
2.5 O 1.60 U 2.36
3.5 O 2.46 U 1.52
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.73 10 bks
NO
2.04 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.13
Away -0.5 1.11
Away -0.75 1.05
Away -1 1.01
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.16
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.