GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DRAW 38%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · FRI, 07 AUG · 19:15 LOCAL
ESTORIL
10TH · 39 PTS · LAST 5:
L D D L L
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
FAMALICAO
W D D W D
· 5TH · 56 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 72' Yanis Begraoui
GOALS
⚽ 32' Georgios Koutsias
Yanis Begraoui
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Yanis Begraoui
Estoril · 92 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 12% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.99
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.14
50%
BALL POSSESSION %
50%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
5
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
7
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Georgios Koutsias · assist Gil Dias
    FAM
  2. 53'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ricard Sánchez
    EST
  3. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    André Lacximicant · assist Fabrício Garcia
    EST
  4. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ricard Sánchez · assist Pedro Carvalho
    EST
  5. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Pedro Santos · assist T. Szucs
    FAM
  6. 72'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yanis Begraoui · assist Pedro Carvalho
    EST
  7. 76'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Rodrigo Pinheiro
    FAM
  8. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Sorriso · assist Romeo Beney
    FAM
  9. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Gil Dias · assist Óscar Aranda
    FAM
  10. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Xeka · assist Jandro Orellana
    EST
  11. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Georgios Koutsias · assist Umar Abubakar
    FAM
  12. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Antef Tsoungui · assist Tiago Brito
    EST
  13. 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card
    Romeo Beney
    FAM
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
ESTORIL AVG 7.2
FAMALICAO AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
1.1
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
3.0
ON TARGET
2.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
3.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
50.0%
POSSESSION %
50.0%
422.0
PASSES
429.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
5.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
12.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
ESTORIL 2 shots
Yanis Begraoui
1/1
Rafik Guitane
0/1
FAMALICAO 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.99 – 1.14
0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.1 0.0 HT 72' 32' H 0.99 A 1.14 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 46%
54% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
JOEL ROBL
 6.9
3
FERNANDO
15
ISMAEL SI
4
FERRO
 6.9
2
RICARD Sá
5
ANTEF TSO
8
XEKA
7
ANDRé LAC
12
JOãO CARV
 6.9
99
RAFIK GUI
 7.9
14
YANIS BEG
25
LAZAR CAR
 6.9
28
PEDRO BON
4
FINN VAN
 7.0
3
LéO REALP
17
RODRIGO P
 6.9
14
MATHIAS D
6
TOM VAN D
 7.2
7
SORRISO
10
PEDRO SAN
23
GIL DIAS
70
GEORGIOS
SUBSTITUTES · ESTORIL
80
Luis Gomes
M
6
Jandro Orell...
M
90
Tiago Brito
M
98
Fabrício Gar...
F
42
Jordan Arnol...
D
18
Gonçalo Cost...
D
55
Tiago Parent...
D
22
Pedro Carval...
D
31
Diogo Dias
G
16
Martin Turk
G
17
Peixinho
F
COACH: Vasco Matos
SUBSTITUTES · FAMALICAO
21
Tamás Szűcs
M
19
Paulo Moreir...
M
18
Romeo Beney
F
91
Rudi Almeida
F
8
Marcos Peña
M
11
Óscar Aranda
F
2
Gustavo Garc...
D
36
Matheus Matt...
D
30
Vojin Serafi...
D
5
Leny Meyer
D
1
Ivan Zlobin
G
9
Umar Abubaka...
F
COACH: Carlos Carvalhal
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
EST · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FAM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Miguel Andre Monteiro Fonseca, Portugal
—
EST MANAGER
Vasco Matos
head coach
FAM MANAGER
Carlos Carvalhal
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
EST WINS
1
DRAWS
6
FAM WINS
30%
10%
60%
7 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.10
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
26 Apr 2026
Estoril
0 – 1
Famalicao
L
14 Dec 2025
Famalicao
4 – 0
Estoril
L
12 Apr 2025
Famalicao
3 – 0
Estoril
L
01 Dec 2024
Estoril
2 – 1
Famalicao
W
28 Apr 2024
Estoril
1 – 0
Famalicao
W
ESTORIL LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D L L
FAMALICAO LAST 5 OVERALL
W D D W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–1 · result locked
ESTORIL #10
Lost · already at 39 pts
FAMALICAO #5
Lost · already at 56 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Card · Yellow Card · Romeo Beney
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Antef Tsoungui
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Georgios Koutsias
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Xeka
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Gil Dias
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Sorriso
  • 76'
    Card · Yellow Card · Rodrigo Pinheiro
  • 72'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yanis Begraoui
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Pedro Santos
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ricard Sánchez
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · André Lacximicant
  • 53'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ricard Sánchez
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 32'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Georgios Koutsias
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
ESTORIL WIN
2.84
35.2% implied
↑ best 3.00
DRAW
3.20
31.3% implied
↑ best 3.35
FAMALICAO WIN
2.48
40.3% implied
↑ best 2.60

Market favors Famalicao. AI projects DRAW 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DRAW 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.75 3.30 2.48 +7.7%
1xBet 2.95 3.25 2.60 +7.2%
888Sport 2.90 3.00 2.45 +4.7%
Bet365 2.70 3.30 2.55 +7.7%
Betano 2.75 3.35 2.57 +8.1%
Betfair 2.88 3.10 2.50 +5.7%
BetVictor 2.70 3.20 2.45 +6.8%
Dafabet 2.90 3.35 2.50 +8.1%
Marathonbet 2.84 3.12 2.50 +5.9%
Pinnacle 2.90 3.26 2.59 +7.3%
SBO 2.82 3.12 2.19 +5.9%
Superbet 2.82 3.30 2.55 +7.7%
Unibet 3.00 3.20 2.35 +6.8%
William Hill 2.90 3.00 2.45 +4.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.30 U 3.29
2.5 O 1.99 U 1.80
3.5 O 3.43 U 1.28
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.73 11 bks
NO
2.01 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.56
Away -0.5 1.42
Away -0.75 1.29
Away -1 1.15
Away -1.25 1.11
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.