GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
Ligue 1 · REGULAR SEASON - 28 · SUN 26 APR · 16:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
DOUANES
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME
SONABEL
⚽ 38' H. Compaore ⚽ 42' K. Nikiema
GOALS
⚽ 59' A. Kone
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
DOU
0 – 0
SON
most likely scoreline · 16.5% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 52%
FT 2 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 0 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
DOU WIN 28%
DRAW 52%
SON WIN 20%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 12

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 48% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 48% 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Goalless at 35'; H2H pattern (3 of 5 draws 0-0) + both teams poor recent form suggest draw likely.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY DOUANES CHALLENGED
28%
0-0 at halfway point; H2H shows 3 of last 5 meetings ended 0-0
CONTEXT
Douanes home form weak (LLWW) despite playing at home
CONTEXT
SONABEL away form poor (WWLL) — recent deterioration on road
CONTEXT
WHY SONABEL CHALLENGED
20%
0-0 at halfway point; H2H shows 3 of last 5 meetings ended 0-0
CONTEXT
Douanes home form weak (LLWW) despite playing at home
CONTEXT
SONABEL away form poor (WWLL) — recent deterioration on road
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 0-0 at halfway point; H2H shows 3 of last 5 meetings ended 0-0
  • Douanes home form weak (LLWW) despite playing at home
  • SONABEL away form poor (WWLL) — recent deterioration on road
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 38' H. COMPAOR ⚽ 42' K. NIKIEMA ⚽ 59' A. KONE
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.5%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
16.5
14.4
6.3
1.8
0.4
0.1
·
1
15.4
13.4
5.8
1.7
0.4
0.1
·
2
7.2
6.2
2.7
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
2.2
1.9
0.8
0.2
·
·
·
4
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 0 16.5%
1 — 0 15.4%
0 — 1 14.4%
1 — 1 13.4%
2 — 0 7.2%
Top 5 = 66.8% · rest 33.2%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
5 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.70
52.0%
1.92
+40.5%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
5 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.53
72.0%
1.39
+10.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
5 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.24
80.0%
1.25
-0.5%
—
AWAY to Win
5 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.32
20.0%
5.00
-33.6%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
5 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.35
48.0%
2.08
-35.2%
—
HOME to Win
5 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.25
28.0%
3.57
-37.1%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
3 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.44
24.0%
4.17
-41.4%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
4 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.15
18.0%
5.56
-43.3%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.