GOALSENSE
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Primera B Metropolitana · REGULAR SEASON - 13 · SUN 26 APR · 16:00 LOCAL
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DEPORTIVO ARMENIO
FT
1 – 1
FULL TIME
SAN MARTíN BURZACO
⚽ 43' N. Herrera Jonathan
GOALS
⚽ 45+2' I. Serpa
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 42/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
DEP
1 – 0
SAN
most likely scoreline · 16.0% probability
AI PICKS DRAW TO WIN 42%
FT 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
DEP WIN 38%
DRAW 42%
SAN WIN 20%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 12

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 58% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 58% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Early, scoreless match in tight league; H2H history favors draws; marginal home edge from venue only.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY DEPORTIVO ARMENIO CHALLENGED
38%
Only 4 minutes played — live state near-neutral (0-0)
CONTEXT
H2H pattern: 3 of last 5 were draws (1-1 twice, 0-0 once)
CONTEXT
Home form slight edge (DWDDW vs away form DLDDL), but recent form mixed for both
CONTEXT
WHY SAN MARTíN BURZACO CHALLENGED
20%
Only 4 minutes played — live state near-neutral (0-0)
CONTEXT
H2H pattern: 3 of last 5 were draws (1-1 twice, 0-0 once)
CONTEXT
Home form slight edge (DWDDW vs away form DLDDL), but recent form mixed for both
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Only 4 minutes played — live state near-neutral (0-0)
  • H2H pattern: 3 of last 5 were draws (1-1 twice, 0-0 once)
  • Home form slight edge (DWDDW vs away form DLDDL), but recent form mixed for both
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 43' N. HERRERA ⚽ 47' I. SERPA
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 16.0%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
12.4
5.2
1.4
0.3
·
·
1
16.0
13.3
5.5
1.5
0.3
·
·
2
8.6
7.1
3.0
0.8
0.2
·
·
3
3.1
2.5
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 16.0%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.3%
0 — 1 12.4%
2 — 0 8.6%
Top 5 = 65.2% · rest 34.8%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Over 2.5 Goals
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.81
48.0%
2.08
+34.9%
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.64
42.0%
2.38
+10.9%
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.29
80.0%
1.25
+2.9%
—
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.43
38.0%
2.63
-7.5%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.45
62.0%
1.61
-9.9%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.23
35.0%
2.86
-22.0%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.33
58.0%
1.72
-22.6%
—
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.07
20.0%
5.00
-38.6%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.