GOALSENSE
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Copa Libertadores · GROUP STAGE - 3 · WED 29 APR · 02:00 LOCAL
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DEPORTES TOLIMA
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
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HOURS
:
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MINS
:
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SECS
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
COQUIMBO UNIDO
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
DEP
1 – 1
COQ
most likely scoreline · 13.7% probability
AI PICKS COQUIMBO UNIDO TO WIN 37%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

PRE-MATCH
DEP WIN 35%
DRAW 28%
COQ WIN 37%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — X2

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 65% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 65% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Early group stage with minimal data; Coquimbo slight edge based on table position and recent away win.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY DEPORTES TOLIMA CHALLENGED
35%
Coquimbo ahead on points (4 vs 1) and superior goal differential (+2 vs -2)
CONTEXT
Tolima recent loss vs Coquimbo's away win — momentum favors away team
CONTEXT
Only 1–2 matches per team so far; small-sample form unreliable
CONTEXT
WHY COQUIMBO UNIDO FAVORED
37%
Coquimbo ahead on points (4 vs 1) and superior goal differential (+2 vs -2)
CONTEXT
Tolima recent loss vs Coquimbo's away win — momentum favors away team
CONTEXT
Only 1–2 matches per team so far; small-sample form unreliable
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Coquimbo ahead on points (4 vs 1) and superior goal differential (+2 vs -2)
  • Tolima recent loss vs Coquimbo's away win — momentum favors away team
  • Only 1–2 matches per team so far; small-sample form unreliable
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.7%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
13.7
6.9
2.3
0.6
0.1
·
1
13.4
13.5
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
·
2
6.6
6.7
3.4
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
3
2.2
2.2
1.1
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.5
0.6
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 1 13.7%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
1 — 0 13.4%
0 — 2 6.9%
Top 5 = 61.0% · rest 39.0%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
AWAY to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.97
37.0%
2.70
+46.7%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.42
52.0%
1.92
+25.7%
Both Teams Score — YES
8 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.06
58.0%
1.72
+19.7%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.77
65.0%
1.54
+14.9%
HOME or AWAY (12)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.32
72.0%
1.39
-4.7%
—
Draw
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.12
28.0%
3.57
-12.7%
—
HOME or Draw (1X)
10 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.23
63.0%
1.59
-22.4%
—
HOME to Win
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.01
35.0%
2.86
-29.7%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.