GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · RAAL LA LOUVIèRE 41%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
Jupiler Pro League · RELEGATION GROUP - 35 · SUN, 03 MAY · 17:15 LOCAL
DENDER
16TH · 19 PTS · LAST 5:
D L L L L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
RAAL LA LOUVIèRE
W L L L L
· 15TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 34' Mohamed Berte ⚽ 43' Bruny Nsimba (P)
GOALS
⚽ 31' Pape Moussa Fall
Pape Moussa Fall
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Pape Moussa Fall
RAAL La Louvière · 91 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 12% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Jupiler Pro League: Dender vs RAAL La Louvière
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

125%
BALL POSSESSION %
100%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
13
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
276%
PASS ACCURACY %
288%
4
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Pape Moussa Fall
    RAA
  2. 32'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Alireza Jahanbakhsh · assist Bruny Nsimba
    DEN
  3. 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Mohamed Berte · assist Desmond Acquah
    DEN
  4. 43'
    Goal · Penalty
    Bruny Nsimba
    DEN
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Bryan Soumaré · assist Jerry Afriyie
    RAA
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alexis Beka Beka · assist Majeed Ashimeru
    RAA
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Desmond Acquah · assist Ragnar Oratmangoen
    DEN
  8. 47'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nachon Nsingi
    RAA
  9. 53'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ragnar Oratmangoen
    DEN
  10. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Luc De Fougerolles · assist Junior Marsoni Sambu Mansoni​
    DEN
  11. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Nachon Nsingi · assist Samuel Gueulette
    RAA
  12. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jordi Liongola · assist Thierry Lutonda
    RAA
  13. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Malcolm Viltard · assist Roman Kvet
    DEN
  14. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Bruny Nsimba · assist Amine Daali
    DEN
  15. 88'
    Card · Red Card
    B. De Kerf
    DEN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
DENDER AVG 7.3
RAAL LA LOUVIèRE AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
2.0
ON TARGET
5.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
1.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
125.0%
POSSESSION %
100.0%
378.0
PASSES
374.0
276.0%
PASS ACCURACY
288.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
5.0
19.0
OFFSIDES
17.0
DISCIPLINE
20.0
FOULS
10.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
4.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
DENDER 1 shots
Mohamed Berte
1/1
RAAL LA LOUVIèRE 6 shots
Nolan Gillot
2/3
Pape Moussa Fall
1/2
Jerry Afriyie
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 60%
40% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-3 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-3
3-4-2-1
30
GUILLAUME
 7.3
7
BRYAN GON
44
LUC DE FO
6
BO DE KER
15
KRZYSZTOF
 7.3
24
MALCOLM V
18
NATHAN RO
5
LUC MARIJ
27
ALIREZA J
 7.5
90
MOHAMED B
 7.0
23
DESMOND A
1
CELESTIN
13
MAXENCE M
99
YLLAN OKO
4
WAGANE FA
 6.6
3
NOLAN GIL
6
ALEXIS BE
23
JOëL ITO
11
JORDI LIO
27
NACHON NS
28
BRYAN SOU
 7.6
7
PAPE MOUS
SUBSTITUTES · DENDER
16
Roman Kvet
M
67
Nail Moutha-...
D
45
Amine Daali
M
46
Elnora Lembi
D
1
Louis Fortin
G
70
Junior Marso...
D
11
Ragnar Oratm...
F
77
Bruny Nsimba
F
9
David Toshev...
F
COACH: Yannick Ferrera
SUBSTITUTES · RAAL LA LOUVIèRE
15
Sami Lahssai...
M
5
Thierry Luto...
D
91
Soumaela Tra...
D
25
Djibril Lame...
D
21
Marcos Herná...
G
8
Samuel Gueul...
M
22
Jerry Afriyi...
F
18
Majeed Ashim...
M
20
Noah Makembo...
M
COACH: Frederic Taquin
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
DEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

RAA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
B. Verbeke
—
DEN MANAGER
Yannick Ferrera
head coach
RAA MANAGER
Frederic Taquin
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
DEN WINS
1
DRAWS
1
RAA WINS
60%
20%
20%
5 – 5
TOTAL GOALS · 5 MEETINGS
2.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 3 / 5
06 Apr 2026
RAAL La Louvière
0 – 1
Dender
W
05 Dec 2025
RAAL La Louvière
1 – 2
Dender
W
28 Sep 2025
Dender
0 – 0
RAAL La Louvière
D
DENDER LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L L L
RAAL LA LOUVIèRE LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
DENDER #4
Won · already at 25 pts
Relegation Playoffs
RAAL LA LOUVIèRE #3
Lost · already at 34 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Club Brugge KV 40 28 4 8 +46 57
W D W W W
1 Zulte Waregem 36 13 9 14 0 48
W W W W W
1 Union St. Gilloise 30 19 9 2 +33 66
W D L W L
1 Genk 40 15 14 11 +4 38
W D D W L
2 Standard Liege 40 16 9 15 -2 37
L W D W W
2 Club Brugge KV 30 20 3 7 +23 63
W D W W W
2 Cercle Brugge 36 10 11 15 -5 41
L L W W W
2 Union St. Gilloise 40 25 11 4 +39 53
W D L W L
3 Charleroi 40 14 9 17 0 34
W D L W W
3 St. Truiden 30 18 3 9 +12 57
W L D L W
3 RAAL La Louvière 36 7 13 16 -15 34
W L L L L
3 St. Truiden 40 22 5 13 +15 43
W L D L W
4 Anderlecht 40 15 10 15 -3 33
L W D D L
4 Dender 36 5 10 21 -31 25
D L L W L
4 Gent 30 13 6 11 +6 45
L D D D L
4 KVC Westerlo 40 14 10 16 -7 33
L L W L D
5 Antwerp 40 13 9 18 -5 31
W D L L L
5 KV Mechelen 30 12 9 9 +2 45
L D D L W
5 Gent 40 13 12 15 -4 29
L D D D L
6 KV Mechelen 40 13 12 15 -13 29
L D D L W
6 Anderlecht 30 12 8 10 +4 44
L W D D L
6 OH Leuven 40 10 10 20 -19 23
L D W L D
7 Genk 30 11 9 10 -1 42
W D D W L
8 Standard Liege 30 11 7 12 -8 40
L W D W W
9 KVC Westerlo 30 10 9 11 -4 39
L L W L D
10 Antwerp 30 9 8 13 -1 35
W D L L L
11 Charleroi 30 9 7 14 -4 34
W D L W W
12 OH Leuven 30 9 7 14 -11 34
L D W L D
13 Zulte Waregem 30 8 8 14 -9 32
W W W W W
14 Cercle Brugge 30 7 10 13 -8 31
L L W W W
15 RAAL La Louvière 30 6 13 11 -7 31
W L L L L
16 Dender 30 3 10 17 -27 19
D L L W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 88'
    Card · Red Card · B. De Kerf
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Bruny Nsimba
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Malcolm Viltard
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jordi Liongola
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Nachon Nsingi
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Luc De Fougerolles
  • 53'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ragnar Oratmangoen
  • 47'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nachon Nsingi
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Desmond Acquah
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alexis Beka Beka
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Bryan Soumaré
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 43'
    Goal · Penalty · Bruny Nsimba
  • 34'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Mohamed Berte
  • 32'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Alireza Jahanbakhsh
  • 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Pape Moussa Fall
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
DENDER WIN
2.62
38.2% implied
↑ best 2.70
DRAW
3.49
28.7% implied
↑ best 3.61
RAAL LA LOUVIèRE WIN
2.51
39.8% implied
↑ best 2.63

Market favors RAAL La Louvière. AI projects RAAL LA LOUVIèRE 41%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS RAAL LA LOUVIèRE 41% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.60 3.55 2.50 +1.0%
1xBet 2.66 3.58 2.55 +1.8%
Bet365 2.60 3.50 2.50 +1.0%
Betano 2.65 3.60 2.52 +1.3%
Betfair 2.50 3.50 2.40 -0.6%
BetVictor 2.60 3.50 2.50 +1.0%
Dafabet 2.70 3.55 2.48 +0.7%
Marathonbet 2.60 3.48 2.50 +1.0%
Pinnacle 2.70 3.61 2.60 +2.5%
SBO 2.53 3.25 2.46 +0.3%
Unibet 2.65 3.40 2.63 +3.0%
William Hill 2.62 3.30 2.45 +0.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 3.98
2.5 O 1.75 U 2.05
3.5 O 2.86 U 1.38
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.59 9 bks
NO
2.22 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.62
Away -0.5 1.49
Away -0.75 1.34
Away -1 1.19
Away -1.25 1.14
Away -1.5 1.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.