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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · DC UNITED 38%
CONF 18 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SAT 25 APR · 23:30 LOCAL
DC UNITED
10TH · 12 PTS · LAST 5:
D D D L L
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
ORLANDO CITY SC
W L D W W
· 14TH · 7 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 10' Jackson Hopkins ⚽ 84' Louis Munteanu ⚽ 90' Kye Rowles
GOALS
⚽ 56' Justin Ellis ⚽ 67' Tyrese Spicer
Louis Munteanu
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Louis Munteanu
DC United · 100 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 16% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 7 CLIPS

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Major League Soccer: DC United vs Orlando City
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Major League Soccer: DC United vs Orlando City
Major League Soccer: DC United vs Orlando City
Major League Soccer: DC United vs Orlando City
Major League Soccer: DC United vs Orlando City
Major League Soccer: DC United vs Orlando City
Major League Soccer: DC United vs Orlando City
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.34
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.35
39%
BALL POSSESSION %
61%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
8
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
72%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
7
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 21 events
  1. 4'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Iago Silva
    ORL
  2. 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jackson Hopkins · assist Keisuke Kurokawa
    DC
  3. 21'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lucas Bartlett
    DC
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Aaron Herrera · assist Jared Stroud
    DC
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Zakaria Taifi · assist Griffin Dorsey
    ORL
  6. 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Justin Ellis
    ORL
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tiago Souza · assist Tyrese Spicer
    ORL
  8. 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Tyrese Spicer
    ORL
  9. 73'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Luis Otávio
    ORL
  10. 75'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Louis Munteanu
    DC
  11. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jackson Hopkins · assist Jacob Murrell
    DC
  12. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Silvan Hefti · assist Nikola Markovic
    DC
  13. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Justin Ellis · assist Tahir Reid-Brown
    ORL
  14. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brandon Servania
    DC
  15. 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Louis Munteanu · assist Nikola Markovic
    DC
  16. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Luis Otávio · assist Wilder Cartagena
    ORL
  17. 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kye Rowles · assist Jacob Murrell
    DC
  18. 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jared Stroud
    DC
  19. 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card
    Keisuke Kurokawa
    DC
  20. 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4
    João Peglow · assist Conner Antley
    DC
  21. 90'+8
    Card · Yellow Card
    Wilder Cartagena
    ORL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
DC UNITED AVG 7.4
ORLANDO CITY SC AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.3
xG
1.4
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
8.0
ON TARGET
5.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
3.0
BLOCKED
0.0
POSSESSION
39.0%
POSSESSION %
61.0%
299.0
PASSES
471.0
72.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
8.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
14.0
5.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
3.0
GK SAVES
5.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
DC UNITED 7 shots
Louis Munteanu
3/4
Kye Rowles
1/2
Jackson Hopkins
1/1
ORLANDO CITY SC 5 shots
Justin Ellis
3/3
Tyrese Spicer
1/1
Martín Ojeda
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.34 – 1.35
1.1 0.8 0.5 0.3 1.4 0.0 HT 10' 84' 90' 56' 67' H 1.34 A 1.35 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 57%
43% A
12
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 5-3-2
4-4-2
5-3-2
1
SEAN JOHN
6
KEISUKE K
 7.5
15
KYE ROWLE
3
LUCAS BAR
5
SILVAN HE
7
JOãO PEGL
23
BRANDON S
4
MATTI PEL
 7.0
22
AARON HER
 8.0
11
LOUIS MUN
 7.7
25
JACKSON H
 6.7
71
MAXIME CR
77
IVáN ANGU
3
ADRIAN MA
6
ROBIN JAN
57
IAGO SILV
19
ZAKARIA T
11
TIAGO SOU
 6.7
5
LUIS OTáV
8
BRAIAN OJ
 6.9
10
MARTíN OJ
 6.9
22
JUSTIN EL
SUBSTITUTES · DC UNITED
48
Gavin Turner
M
30
Caden Clark
M
24
Jordan Farr
G
26
Alex Bono
G
12
Conner Antle...
D
17
Jacob Murrel...
F
27
Nikola Marko...
D
8
Jared Stroud
M
77
Hosei Kijima
M
COACH: Rene Weiler
SUBSTITUTES · ORLANDO CITY SC
23
Harvey Saraj...
F
25
Colin Guske
M
21
Nolan Miller
D
12
Javier Otero
G
16
Wilder Carta...
M
29
Tahir Reid-B...
D
14
Tyrese Spice...
F
24
Griffin Dors...
D
44
Bernardo Rhe...
F
COACH: Oscar Pareja
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
DC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ORL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Chris Penso, USA
—
DC MANAGER
Rene Weiler
head coach
ORL MANAGER
Oscar Pareja
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
DC WINS
2
DRAWS
5
ORL WINS
30%
20%
50%
16 – 22
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
13 Sep 25
DC United
1 – 1
Orlando City SC
D
22 Mar 25
Orlando City SC
4 – 1
DC United
L
06 Jul 24
Orlando City SC
5 – 0
DC United
L
13 Apr 24
DC United
2 – 3
Orlando City SC
L
22 Apr 23
Orlando City SC
1 – 3
DC United
W
DC UNITED LAST 5 OVERALL
D D D L L
ORLANDO CITY SC LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
DC UNITED #10
Won · already at 12 pts
ORLANDO CITY SC #14
Lost · already at 7 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 San Jose Earthquakes 10 9 0 1 +19 27
W W W W W
1 Nashville SC 9 7 1 1 +15 22
W W W L W
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 9 8 0 1 +20 24
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 10 5 4 1 +4 19
D W W D D
3 Los Angeles FC 10 6 2 2 +11 20
W D L L W
3 Chicago Fire 9 5 2 2 +9 17
W D W W W
4 New England Revolution 9 5 1 3 +5 16
D W W W W
4 Seattle Sounders 8 6 1 1 +8 19
W W W D W
5 Minnesota United FC 10 5 2 3 -3 17
L W W W W
5 Charlotte 10 4 2 4 0 14
L L W L W
6 Real Salt Lake 9 5 1 3 +3 16
L L W W D
6 Toronto FC 10 3 4 3 -2 13
L D D D W
7 Colorado Rapids 10 4 1 5 +4 13
L D L W L
7 New York City FC 10 3 3 4 +3 12
L D L L D
8 Columbus Crew 10 3 3 4 +1 12
W W L D W
8 FC Dallas 10 3 4 3 +3 13
L L D D W
9 Houston Dynamo 9 4 0 5 -6 12
L W W L L
9 FC Cincinnati 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D D L
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 10 3 3 4 -1 12
W L D W L
10 DC United 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D L L
11 San Diego 10 3 2 5 0 11
L L L L L
11 New York Red Bulls 10 3 3 4 -9 12
L D L D W
12 CF Montreal 9 3 0 6 -7 9
W W L L L
12 Portland Timbers 9 3 1 5 -6 10
W L W L D
13 Austin 10 2 4 4 -5 10
W L D L D
13 Atlanta United FC 10 2 1 7 -8 7
W L L L L
14 St. Louis City 9 1 3 5 -7 6
L L D D W
14 Orlando City SC 10 2 1 7 -17 7
L W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 9 1 1 7 -18 4
L L L L L
15 Philadelphia Union 10 1 2 7 -8 5
L D D W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+8
    Card · Yellow Card · Wilder Cartagena
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4 · João Peglow
  • 90'+4
    Card · Yellow Card · Keisuke Kurokawa
  • 90'+2
    Card · Yellow Card · Jared Stroud
  • 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kye Rowles
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Luis Otávio
  • 84'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Louis Munteanu
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brandon Servania
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Justin Ellis
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Silvan Hefti
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jackson Hopkins
  • 75'
    Card · Yellow Card · Louis Munteanu
  • 73'
    Card · Yellow Card · Luis Otávio
  • 67'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Tyrese Spicer
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tiago Souza
  • 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Justin Ellis
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Zakaria Taifi
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Aaron Herrera
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 21'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lucas Bartlett
  • 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jackson Hopkins
  • 4'
    Card · Yellow Card · Iago Silva
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
DC UNITED WIN
1.86
53.8% implied
↑ best 2.05
DRAW
3.57
28% implied
↑ best 3.75
ORLANDO CITY SC WIN
4.02
24.9% implied
↑ best 4.37

Market favors DC United. AI projects DC UNITED 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS DC UNITED 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.84 3.55 4.00 +5.0%
888Sport 2.05 3.30 3.30 +1.7%
Bet365 1.83 3.70 4.20 +6.2%
Betano 1.85 3.65 4.20 +6.2%
Betfair 1.85 3.60 4.00 +5.0%
BetVictor 1.83 3.60 4.10 +5.6%
Dafabet 1.88 3.75 4.20 +6.2%
Marathonbet 1.81 3.60 4.15 +5.9%
Pinnacle 1.86 3.72 4.37 +7.1%
SBO 1.84 3.47 3.92 +4.5%
Unibet 1.91 3.55 3.75 +3.8%
William Hill 1.80 3.40 4.00 +5.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.24 U 3.83
2.5 O 1.81 U 1.98
3.5 O 3.01 U 1.36
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.69 9 bks
NO
2.07 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.35
Away -0.5 1.96
Away -0.75 1.75
Away -1 1.51
Away -1.25 1.40
Away -1.5 1.32
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.