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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · COLUMBUS CREW 48%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SAT, 25 APR · 23:30 LOCAL
COLUMBUS CREW
10TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5:
W D L L L
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
PHILADELPHIA UNION
L D L L D
· 15TH · 7 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 4' Maximilian Arfsten ⚽ 45+3' Maximilian Arfsten
GOALS
Sean Zawadzki
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Sean Zawadzki
Columbus Crew · Captain · 90 mins
· 70% pass acc
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.62
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.95
56%
BALL POSSESSION %
44%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
9
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
73%
2
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Maximilian Arfsten
    COL
  2. 39'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Danley Jean Jacques
    PHI
  3. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
    COL
  4. 45'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Maximilian Arfsten
    COL
  5. 45'+7
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jesus Bueno · assist Jovan Lukić
    PHI
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Philippe Ndinga · assist Ben Bender
    PHI
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Hugo Picard · assist Steven Moreira
    COL
  8. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Cavan Sullivan · assist Indiana Vassilev
    PHI
  9. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jeremy Rafanello · assist Agustin Anello
    PHI
  10. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Diego Rossi · assist J. Thiaré
    COL
  11. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Taha Habroune · assist Dániel Gazdag
    COL
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sekou Tidiany Bangoura · assist Amar Sejdic
    COL
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Maximilian Arfsten · assist Mohamed Farsi
    COL
  14. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Bruno Damiani · assist Ezekiel Alladoh
    PHI
  15. 90'+4
    Card · Red Card
    Japhet Sery Larsen
    PHI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
COLUMBUS CREW AVG 7.6
PHILADELPHIA UNION AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
1.0
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
4.0
ON TARGET
2.0
0.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
56.0%
POSSESSION %
44.0%
499.0
PASSES
391.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
73.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
4.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
18.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
COLUMBUS CREW 2 shots
Maximilian Arfsten
2/2
PHILADELPHIA UNION 1 shots
Ben Bender
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.62 – 0.95
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.0 HT 4' 45' H 0.62 A 0.95 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2
4-4-2
4-4-2
28
PATRICK S
 7.5
18
MALTE AMU
 8.0
25
SEAN ZAWA
 7.2
4
RUDY CAMA
2
ANDRES HE
30
HUGO PICA
7
DYLAN CHA
17
SEKOU TID
 8.0
27
MAXIMILIA
 7.2
16
TAHA HABR
10
DIEGO ROS
 7.5
18
ANDRE BLA
20
PHILIPPE
29
OLWETHU M
 6.7
5
JAPHET SE
26
NATHAN HA
6
CAVAN SUL
 6.9
14
JEREMY RA
8
JESUS BUE
21
DANLEY JE
9
BRUNO DAM
10
MILAN ILO
SUBSTITUTES · COLUMBUS CREW
12
Cesar Ruvalc...
D
21
Yevhen Chebe...
D
1
Nicholas Hag...
G
14
Amar Sejdic
M
23
Mohamed Fars...
D
19
J. Thiaré
F
8
Dániel Gazda...
M
31
Steven Morei...
D
90
Nariman Akhu...
F
COACH: Henrik Rydstrom
SUBSTITUTES · PHILADELPHIA UNION
11
Alejandro Be...
M
2
Geiner Martí...
D
76
Andrew Rick
G
23
Ezekiel Alla...
F
28
Agustin Anel...
F
19
Indiana Vass...
M
16
Ben Bender
M
4
Jovan Lukić
M
51
Malik Jakupo...
F
COACH: Bradley Carnell
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
COL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

PHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
F. Dujic
—
COL MANAGER
Henrik Rydstrom
head coach
PHI MANAGER
Bradley Carnell
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
COL WINS
4
DRAWS
1
PHI WINS
50%
40%
10%
14 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
16 May 2026
Philadelphia Union
1 – 1
Columbus Crew
D
29 Jun 2025
Columbus Crew
1 – 0
Philadelphia Union
W
10 May 2025
Philadelphia Union
2 – 2
Columbus Crew
D
05 Oct 2024
Columbus Crew
3 – 2
Philadelphia Union
W
28 Aug 2024
Philadelphia Union
0 – 1
Columbus Crew
W
COLUMBUS CREW LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L L L
PHILADELPHIA UNION LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
COLUMBUS CREW #10
Won · already at 16 pts
PHILADELPHIA UNION #15
Lost · already at 7 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Red Card · Japhet Sery Larsen
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Bruno Damiani
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Maximilian Arfsten
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Taha Habroune
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Diego Rossi
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jeremy Rafanello
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Cavan Sullivan
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Hugo Picard
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Philippe Ndinga
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 45'+7
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jesus Bueno
  • 45'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal · Maximilian Arfsten
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
  • 39'
    Card · Yellow Card · Danley Jean Jacques
  • 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Maximilian Arfsten
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
COLUMBUS CREW WIN
1.92
52.1% implied
↑ best 1.98
DRAW
3.63
27.5% implied
↑ best 3.90
PHILADELPHIA UNI WIN
3.76
26.6% implied
↑ best 4.20

Market favors Columbus Crew. AI projects COLUMBUS CREW 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS COLUMBUS CREW 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.65 3.70 +4.6%
888Sport 1.80 3.50 4.00 +3.4%
Bet365 1.95 3.70 3.60 +5.0%
Betano 1.98 3.90 3.75 +6.4%
Betfair 1.95 3.60 3.75 +4.2%
BetVictor 1.95 3.60 3.60 +4.2%
Dafabet 1.96 3.75 3.80 +5.3%
Marathonbet 1.90 3.58 3.75 +4.1%
Pinnacle 1.98 3.67 3.90 +4.8%
SBO 1.95 3.45 3.50 +3.0%
Unibet 1.79 3.70 4.20 +5.0%
William Hill 1.91 3.40 3.60 +2.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.94
2.5 O 1.76 U 2.04
3.5 O 2.90 U 1.39
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.64 9 bks
NO
2.13 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.15
Away -0.5 1.89
Away -0.75 1.66
Away -1 1.47
Away -1.25 1.35
Away -1.5 1.30
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.