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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · COLUMBUS CREW 48%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SAT 25 APR · 23:30 LOCAL
COLUMBUS CREW
8TH · 12 PTS · LAST 5:
W L W D W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
PHILADELPHIA UNION
D D L D L
· 15TH · 5 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 4' Maximilian Arfsten ⚽ 45+3' Maximilian Arfsten
GOALS
Sean Zawadzki
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Sean Zawadzki
Columbus Crew · Captain · 90 mins
· 70% pass acc
RATING
8.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Columbus Crew vs Philadelphia Union
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Major League Soccer: Columbus Crew vs Philadelphi…
Major League Soccer: Columbus Crew vs Philadelphi…
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.62
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.95
56%
BALL POSSESSION %
44%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
9
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
73%
2
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Maximilian Arfsten
    COL
  2. 39'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Danley Jean Jacques
    PHI
  3. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
    COL
  4. 45'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Maximilian Arfsten
    COL
  5. 45'+7
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jesus Bueno · assist Jovan Lukić
    PHI
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Philippe Ndinga · assist Ben Bender
    PHI
  7. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Hugo Picard · assist Steven Moreira
    COL
  8. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Cavan Sullivan · assist Indiana Vassilev
    PHI
  9. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jeremy Rafanello · assist Agustin Anello
    PHI
  10. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Diego Rossi · assist Jamal Thiare
    COL
  11. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Taha Habroune · assist Dániel Gazdag
    COL
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sekou Tidiany Bangoura · assist Amar Sejdic
    COL
  13. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Maximilian Arfsten · assist Mohamed Farsi
    COL
  14. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Bruno Damiani · assist Ezekiel Alladoh
    PHI
  15. 90'+4
    Card · Red Card
    Japhet Sery Larsen
    PHI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
COLUMBUS CREW AVG 7.6
PHILADELPHIA UNION AVG 6.9
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
1.0
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
4.0
ON TARGET
2.0
0.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
3.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
56.0%
POSSESSION %
44.0%
499.0
PASSES
391.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
73.0%
SET PIECES
2.0
CORNERS
4.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
18.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
COLUMBUS CREW 2 shots
Maximilian Arfsten
2/2
PHILADELPHIA UNION 1 shots
Ben Bender
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.62 – 0.95
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.0 HT 4' 45' H 0.62 A 0.95 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2
4-4-2
4-4-2
28
PATRICK S
 7.5
18
MALTE AMU
 8.0
25
SEAN ZAWA
 7.2
4
RUDY CAMA
2
MARCELO H
30
HUGO PICA
7
DYLAN CHA
17
SEKOU TID
 8.0
27
MAXIMILIA
 7.2
16
TAHA HABR
10
DIEGO ROS
 7.5
18
ANDRE BLA
20
PHILIPPE
29
OLWETHU M
 6.7
5
JAPHET SE
26
NATHAN HA
6
CAVAN SUL
 6.9
14
JEREMY RA
 6.7
8
JESUS BUE
21
DANLEY JE
9
BRUNO DAM
10
MILAN ILO
SUBSTITUTES · COLUMBUS CREW
12
Cesar Ruvalc...
D
21
Yevhen Chebe...
D
1
Nicholas Hag...
G
14
Amar Sejdic
M
23
Mohamed Fars...
D
19
Jamal Thiare
F
8
Dániel Gazda...
M
31
Steven Morei...
D
90
Nariman Akhu...
F
COACH: Henrik Rydstrom
SUBSTITUTES · PHILADELPHIA UNION
11
Alejandro Be...
M
2
Geiner Martí...
D
76
Andrew Rick
G
23
Ezekiel Alla...
F
28
Agustin Anel...
F
19
Indiana Vass...
M
16
Ben Bender
M
4
Jovan Lukić
M
51
Malik Jakupo...
F
COACH: Bradley Carnell
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
COL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

PHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Filip Dujic, USA
—
COL MANAGER
Henrik Rydstrom
head coach
PHI MANAGER
Bradley Carnell
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
COL WINS
3
DRAWS
3
PHI WINS
40%
30%
30%
12 – 14
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
29 Jun 25
Columbus Crew
1 – 0
Philadelphia Union
W
10 May 25
Philadelphia Union
2 – 2
Columbus Crew
D
05 Oct 24
Columbus Crew
3 – 2
Philadelphia Union
W
28 Aug 24
Philadelphia Union
0 – 1
Columbus Crew
W
30 Sep 23
Columbus Crew
1 – 1
Philadelphia Union
D
COLUMBUS CREW LAST 5 OVERALL
W L W D W
PHILADELPHIA UNION LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
COLUMBUS CREW #8
Won · already at 12 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
PHILADELPHIA UNION #15
Lost · already at 5 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 San Jose Earthquakes 10 9 0 1 +19 27
W W W W W
1 Nashville SC 9 7 1 1 +15 22
W W W L W
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 9 8 0 1 +20 24
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 10 5 4 1 +4 19
D W W D D
3 Los Angeles FC 10 6 2 2 +11 20
W D L L W
3 Chicago Fire 9 5 2 2 +9 17
W D W W W
4 New England Revolution 9 5 1 3 +5 16
D W W W W
4 Seattle Sounders 8 6 1 1 +8 19
W W W D W
5 Minnesota United FC 10 5 2 3 -3 17
L W W W W
5 Charlotte 10 4 2 4 0 14
L L W L W
6 Real Salt Lake 9 5 1 3 +3 16
L L W W D
6 Toronto FC 10 3 4 3 -2 13
L D D D W
7 Colorado Rapids 10 4 1 5 +4 13
L D L W L
7 New York City FC 10 3 3 4 +3 12
L D L L D
8 Columbus Crew 10 3 3 4 +1 12
W W L D W
8 FC Dallas 10 3 4 3 +3 13
L L D D W
9 Houston Dynamo 9 4 0 5 -6 12
L W W L L
9 FC Cincinnati 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D D L
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 10 3 3 4 -1 12
W L D W L
10 DC United 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D L L
11 San Diego 10 3 2 5 0 11
L L L L L
11 New York Red Bulls 10 3 3 4 -9 12
L D L D W
12 CF Montreal 9 3 0 6 -7 9
W W L L L
12 Portland Timbers 9 3 1 5 -6 10
W L W L D
13 Austin 10 2 4 4 -5 10
W L D L D
13 Atlanta United FC 10 2 1 7 -8 7
W L L L L
14 St. Louis City 9 1 3 5 -7 6
L L D D W
14 Orlando City SC 10 2 1 7 -17 7
L W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 9 1 1 7 -18 4
L L L L L
15 Philadelphia Union 10 1 2 7 -8 5
L D D W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Red Card · Japhet Sery Larsen
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Bruno Damiani
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Maximilian Arfsten
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Taha Habroune
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Diego Rossi
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jeremy Rafanello
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Cavan Sullivan
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Hugo Picard
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Philippe Ndinga
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 45'+7
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jesus Bueno
  • 45'+3
    Goal · Normal Goal · Maximilian Arfsten
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
  • 39'
    Card · Yellow Card · Danley Jean Jacques
  • 4'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Maximilian Arfsten
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
COLUMBUS CREW WIN
1.92
52.1% implied
↑ best 1.98
DRAW
3.63
27.5% implied
↑ best 3.90
PHILADELPHIA UNI WIN
3.76
26.6% implied
↑ best 4.20

Market favors Columbus Crew. AI projects COLUMBUS CREW 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS COLUMBUS CREW 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.90 3.65 3.70 +4.6%
888Sport 1.80 3.50 4.00 +3.4%
Bet365 1.95 3.70 3.60 +5.0%
Betano 1.98 3.90 3.75 +6.4%
Betfair 1.95 3.60 3.75 +4.2%
BetVictor 1.95 3.60 3.60 +4.2%
Dafabet 1.96 3.75 3.80 +5.3%
Marathonbet 1.90 3.58 3.75 +4.1%
Pinnacle 1.98 3.67 3.90 +4.8%
SBO 1.95 3.45 3.50 +3.0%
Unibet 1.79 3.70 4.20 +5.0%
William Hill 1.91 3.40 3.60 +2.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.94
2.5 O 1.76 U 2.04
3.5 O 2.90 U 1.39
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.64 9 bks
NO
2.13 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.15
Away -0.5 1.89
Away -0.75 1.66
Away -1 1.47
Away -1.25 1.35
Away -1.5 1.30
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.