GOALSENSE
SIGN IN
AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · COLUMBUS CREW 48% · Value: Over 2.5 62%
CONF 45 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 17 · SAT, 25 JUL · 23:15 LOCAL
COLUMBUS CREW
14TH · 20 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L D L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
FC CINCINNATI
D W D W W
· 6TH · 31 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 41' J. Thiaré ⚽ 45+6' D. Gazdag (P)
GOALS
⚽ 9' K. Denkey
R. Celentano
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
R. Celentano
FC Cincinnati · 87 mins
· 10% pass acc
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.29
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.80
53%
BALL POSSESSION %
47%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
11
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
91%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
4
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    K. Denkey · assist Evander
    FC
  2. 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    J. Thiaré · assist D. Chambost
    COL
  3. 45'+6
    Goal · Penalty
    D. Gazdag
    COL
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Sekou Tidiany Bangoura · assist André Gomes
    COL
  5. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    K. Mboma Dem · assist T. Barlow
    FC
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    E. Echenique · assist Bryan Josías Ramírez León
    FC
  7. 66'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matt Miazga
    FC
  8. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Matt Miazga · assist K. Smith
    FC
  9. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    K. Denkey · assist A. Jabbari
    FC
  10. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    D. Chambost · assist T. Karumanchi
    COL
  11. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    J. Thiaré · assist Hugo Picard
    COL
  12. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    O. Nwobodo · assist B. Anunga
    FC
  13. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    D. Gazdag · assist C. Adams
    COL
  14. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    S. Moreira · assist M. Amundsen
    COL
  15. 90'+4
    Card · Red Card
    G. Valenzuela
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
COLUMBUS CREW AVG 7.5
FC CINCINNATI AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.3
xG
0.8
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
6.0
ON TARGET
5.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
53.0%
POSSESSION %
47.0%
523.0
PASSES
452.0
91.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
6.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
4.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
COLUMBUS CREW 8 shots
D. Gazdag
2/3
J. Thiaré
1/3
D. Chambost
0/1
Maximilian Arfsten
1/1
FC CINCINNATI 7 shots
Evander
1/4
K. Denkey
2/3
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.29 – 0.80
1.8 1.4 0.9 0.5 2.3 0.0 HT 41' 45' 9' H 2.29 A 0.80 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 47%
53% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 3-4-3
3-4-2-1
3-4-3
28
P. SCHULT
25
S. ZAWADZ
4
RUDY CAMA
31
S. MOREIR
 7.3
27
MAXIMILIA
17
SEKOU TID
 8.3
7
D. CHAMBO
23
M. FARSI
 7.3
8
D. GAZDAG
16
T. HABROU
 7.2
19
J. THIARé
 8.7
18
R. CELENT
12
M. ROBINS
21
MATT MIAZ
11
S. GIDI
66
E. ECHENI
 7.2
5
O. NWOBOD
22
G. VALENZ
20
P. BUCHA
 7.0
10
EVANDER
 7.6
9
K. DENKEY
17
K. MBOMA
SUBSTITUTES · COLUMBUS CREW
90
Nariman Akhu...
F
20
André Gomes
M
14
A. Sejdić
M
30
Hugo Picard
M
50
T. Karumanch...
M
45
Owen Presthu...
D
12
Cesar Ruvalc...
D
18
M. Amundsen
D
1
N. Hagen
G
46
Chase Adams
F
COACH: Laurent Courtois
SUBSTITUTES · FC CINCINNATI
16
T. Barlow
F
27
B. Anunga
M
29
Bryan Josías...
D
15
T. Hadebe
D
4
N. Hagglund
D
24
K. Smith
D
2
A. Powell
D
13
E. Louro
G
99
A. Jabbari
F
COACH: Pat Noonan
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
COL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Chapman
—
COL MANAGER
Laurent Courtois
head coach
FC MANAGER
Pat Noonan
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
COL WINS
2
DRAWS
3
FC WINS
50%
20%
30%
19 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
08 Nov 2025
FC Cincinnati
2 – 1
Columbus Crew
L
02 Nov 2025
Columbus Crew
4 – 0
FC Cincinnati
W
27 Oct 2025
FC Cincinnati
1 – 0
Columbus Crew
L
12 Jul 2025
FC Cincinnati
2 – 4
Columbus Crew
W
17 May 2025
Columbus Crew
1 – 1
FC Cincinnati
D
COLUMBUS CREW LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D L
FC CINCINNATI LAST 5 OVERALL
D W D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
COLUMBUS CREW #14
Won · already at 20 pts
FC CINCINNATI #6
Lost · already at 31 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+4
    Card · Red Card · G. Valenzuela
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · S. Moreira
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · D. Gazdag
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · O. Nwobodo
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · J. Thiaré
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · D. Chambost
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · K. Denkey
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Matt Miazga
  • 66'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matt Miazga
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · E. Echenique
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · K. Mboma Dem
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Sekou Tidiany Bangoura
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 45'+6
    Goal · Penalty · D. Gazdag
  • 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal · J. Thiaré
  • 9'
    Goal · Normal Goal · K. Denkey
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
COLUMBUS CREW WIN
2.04
49% implied
↑ best 2.11
DRAW
3.85
26% implied
↑ best 4.00
FC CINCINNATI WIN
3.26
30.7% implied
↑ best 3.45

Market favors Columbus Crew. AI projects COLUMBUS CREW 48% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS COLUMBUS CREW 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.04 3.75 3.25 -0.7%
Bet365 2.00 3.80 3.30 -0.3%
Betano 2.10 4.00 3.35 +1.0%
Betfair 2.05 3.90 3.25 +0.4%
BetVictor 2.05 3.90 3.10 +0.4%
Dafabet 2.06 3.95 3.35 +0.7%
Marathonbet 2.03 3.78 3.18 -0.5%
Pinnacle 2.11 3.89 3.30 +0.6%
SBO 1.96 3.83 3.16 -0.1%
Superbet 2.05 3.85 3.30 +0.0%
Unibet 1.92 3.95 3.45 +0.7%
William Hill 2.05 3.60 3.10 -0.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.14 U 5.58
2.5 O 1.47 U 2.62
3.5 O 2.17 U 1.68
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.42 9 bks
NO
2.68 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.01
Away -0.5 1.79
Away -0.75 1.59
Away -1 1.46
Away -1.25 1.33
Away -1.5 1.30
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.