GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · PORTUGAL 40% · Value: BTTS Yes 61%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · GROUP STAGE - 3 · SAT, 27 JUN · 23:30 LOCAL
COLOMBIA
1ST · 7 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W W
FT
0 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
PORTUGAL
L W W D W
· 7TH · 1 PTS · LAST 5
Diogo Costa
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Diogo Costa
Portugal · 90 mins
· 15% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.63
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.69
55%
BALL POSSESSION %
45%
24
TOTAL SHOTS
13
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
89%
PASS ACCURACY %
91%
5
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Rúben Neves · assist João Neves
    POR
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    João Cancelo · assist Diogo Dalot
    POR
  3. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Jhon Córdoba · assist Luis Javier Suárez
    COL
  4. 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jefferson Lerma · assist Richard Ríos
    COL
  5. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    João Félix · assist Rafael Leão
    POR
  6. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Vitinha · assist Samú Costa
    POR
  7. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Jhon Arias · assist Kevin Castaño
    COL
  8. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    James Rodríguez · assist J. Quintero
    COL
  9. 86'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Gustavo Puerta
    COL
  10. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Santiago Arias · assist Daniel Muñoz
    COL
  11. 90'+2
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Davinson Sánchez
    COL
  12. 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Nuno Mendes · assist Matheus Nunes
    POR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
COLOMBIA AVG 7.5
PORTUGAL AVG 7.6
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
0.7
24.0
TOTAL SHOTS
13.0
6.0
ON TARGET
2.0
11.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
7.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
55.0%
POSSESSION %
45.0%
545.0
PASSES
446.0
89.0%
PASS ACCURACY
91.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
2.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
6.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
COLOMBIA 2 shots
James Rodríguez
1/1
Davinson Sánchez
0/1
PORTUGAL 2 shots
Bruno Fernandes
1/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.63 – 0.69
1.3 1 0.7 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT H 1.63 A 0.69 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
7.5
12
CAMILO VA
22
DEIVER MA
 7.3
3
JHON LUCU
 7.3
23
DAVINSON
 7.3
4
SANTIAGO
14
GUSTAVO P
16
JEFFERSON
11
JHON ARIA
7
LUIS DíAZ
9
JHON CóRD
 8.2
10
JAMES ROD
 8.3
1
DIOGO COS
25
NUNO MEND
 7.3
13
RENATO VE
 7.5
3
RúBEN DIA
20
JOãO CANC
 7.3
23
VITINHA
21
RúBEN NEV
11
JOãO FéLI
 7.5
8
BRUNO FER
18
PEDRO NET
7
CRISTIANO
SUBSTITUTES · COLOMBIA
18
Willer Ditta
D
13
Y. Mina
D
26
A. Gómez
F
21
Jaminton Cam...
M
8
J. Carrascal
M
15
J. Portilla
M
17
J. Mojica
D
24
Á. Montero
G
1
D. Ospina
G
2
Daniel Muñoz
D
5
Kevin Castañ...
M
20
J. Quintero
M
25
Luis Javier...
F
6
Richard Ríos
M
19
Cucho Hernán...
F
COACH: Nestor Lorenzo
SUBSTITUTES · PORTUGAL
2
Nélson Semed...
D
4
Tomás Araújo
D
10
Bernardo Sil...
M
16
Francisco Tr...
F
19
Gonçalo Gued...
F
26
Francisco Co...
F
14
Gonçalo Inác...
D
22
Rui Silva
G
12
José Sá
G
6
Matheus Nune...
M
17
Rafael Leão
F
24
Samú Costa
M
15
João Neves
M
5
Diogo Dalot
D
9
Gonçalo Ramo...
F
COACH: Roberto Martinez
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
COL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

POR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Alireza Faghani, Australia
—
COL MANAGER
Nestor Lorenzo
head coach
POR MANAGER
Roberto Martinez
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
COL WINS
1
DRAWS
0
POR WINS
100%
COLOMBIA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W
PORTUGAL LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–0 · result locked
COLOMBIA #1
Lost · already at 7 pts
Round of 32
PORTUGAL #2
Lost · already at 5 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Nuno Mendes
  • 90'+2
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Davinson Sánchez
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Santiago Arias
  • 86'
    Card · Yellow Card · Gustavo Puerta
    Roughing
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · James Rodríguez
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Jhon Arias
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Vitinha
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · João Félix
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jefferson Lerma
  • 60'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Jhon Córdoba
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · João Cancelo
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Rúben Neves
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
COLOMBIA WIN
3.39
29.5% implied
↑ best 3.52
DRAW
3.74
26.7% implied
↑ best 4.00
PORTUGAL WIN
2.06
48.5% implied
↑ best 2.12

Market favors Portugal. AI projects PORTUGAL 40% · value bet BTTS Yes.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS PORTUGAL 40% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.30 3.65 2.04 +1.7%
1xBet 3.52 3.86 2.12 +3.6%
888Sport 3.20 3.50 2.00 +0.8%
Bet365 3.30 3.80 2.05 +1.7%
Betano 3.45 3.80 2.12 +3.0%
Betfair 3.40 3.90 2.05 +2.6%
BetVictor 3.50 3.60 2.00 +3.4%
Marathonbet 3.48 3.82 2.10 +3.3%
Pinnacle 3.37 4.00 2.10 +3.0%
SBO 3.52 3.54 2.06 +3.6%
Unibet 3.35 3.75 2.06 +2.1%
William Hill 3.25 3.60 2.05 +1.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.22 U 4.07
2.5 O 1.72 U 2.13
3.5 O 2.77 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.62 10 bks
NO
2.22 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.43
Away -0.5 1.34
Away -0.75 1.23
Away -1 1.11
Away -1.25 1.09
Away -1.5 1.07
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.