GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–2 · CHICAGO FIRE 48% · Value: Over 2.5 72%
CONF 56 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 11 · SUN, 03 MAY · 00:30 LOCAL
CHICAGO FIRE
4TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W W W
FT
2 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 2-2
FC CINCINNATI
L W W D L
· 7TH · 23 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 16' Hugo Cuypers ⚽ 28' Hugo Cuypers
GOALS
⚽ 24' Evander ⚽ 31' Evander
Evander
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Evander
FC Cincinnati · Captain · 99 mins
⚽ 3 goals · 33% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
10.0
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Chicago Fire vs FC Cincinnati
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

108%
BALL POSSESSION %
72%
32
TOTAL SHOTS
10
10
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
428%
PASS ACCURACY %
357%
10
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 16'
    Goal · 1-0
    Hugo Cuypers · assist Philip Zinckernagel
    CHI
  2. 24'
    Goal · 1-1
    Evander
    FC
  3. 28'
    Goal · 2-1
    Hugo Cuypers · assist Philip Zinckernagel
    CHI
  4. 31'
    Goal · 2-2
    Evander · assist Kenji Mboma Dem
    FC
  5. 46'
    Subst
    Nick Hagglund · assist Tah Anunga
    FC
  6. 56'
    Card · Foul
    Kyle Smith
    FC
  7. 59'
    Subst
    Jonathan Bamba · assist Robin Lod
    CHI
  8. 66'
    Subst
    Matt Miazga · assist Gerardo Valenzuela
    FC
  9. 68'
    Card · Foul
    Kévin Denkey
    FC
  10. 77'
    Subst
    Tom Barlow · assist Kenji Mboma Dem
    FC
  11. 77'
    Subst
    Ayoub Jabbari · assist Kévin Denkey
    FC
  12. 88'
    Subst
    FC
  13. 90'
    Card · Foul
    FC
  14. 90'+1
    Missed Penalty
    Hugo Cuypers
    CHI
  15. 90'+3
    Card · Foul
    CHI
  16. 90'+7
    Penalty · 2-3
    Evander
    FC
  17. 90'+8
    Subst
    Jason Shokalook · assist Jonathan Dean
    CHI
  18. 90'+12
    Card · Time wasting
    A. Chirilă
    FC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CHICAGO FIRE AVG 7.6
FC CINCINNATI AVG 8.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
32.0
TOTAL SHOTS
10.0
10.0
ON TARGET
4.0
14.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
8.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
108.0%
POSSESSION %
72.0%
503.0
PASSES
419.0
428.0%
PASS ACCURACY
357.0%
SET PIECES
10.0
CORNERS
1.0
17.0
OFFSIDES
8.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
5.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
8.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CHICAGO FIRE 18 shots
H. Cuypers
5/7
Philip Zinckernagel
3/5
Anton Salétros
0/3
Maren Haile-Selassie
2/3
FC CINCINNATI 4 shots
Evander
3/3
Bryan Ramirez
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 33%
67% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
12
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-1-2
4-2-3-1
3-4-1-2
1
CHRIS BRA
15
ANDREW GU
4
M. MBOKAZ
3
JACK ELLI
24
JONATHAN
 7.3
6
ANTON SAL
42
DJE TAH D
 6.9
7
MAREN HAI
17
ROBIN LOD
 7.9
11
PHILIP ZI
 8.9
9
H. CUYPER
 9.7
18
ROMAN CEL
11
SAMUEL GI
 7.2
88
ANDREI CH
24
KYLE SMIT
 7.2
29
BRYAN RAM
27
TAH ANUNG
 7.2
22
GERARDO V
20
PAVEL BUC
 10.0
10
EVANDER
9
KéVIN DEN
17
KENJI MBO
SUBSTITUTES · CHICAGO FIRE
35
Sergio Orege...
M
27
Dylan Borso
F
22
Mauricio Pin...
D
12
Puso Ditheja...
F
14
Viktor Radoj...
D
16
Joel Waterma...
D
44
Josh Cohen
G
19
Jonathan Bam...
F
20
Jason Shokal...
F
COACH: Mario Barcena
SUBSTITUTES · FC CINCINNATI
66
Ender Echeni...
F
3
Gilberto Flo...
D
13
Evan Louro
G
55
Ayoub Lajhar
D
99
Ayoub Jabbar...
F
16
Tom Barlow
F
21
Matt Miazga
D
4
Nick Hagglun...
D
37
Stiven Jimen...
M
COACH: Pat Noonan
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Dickerson
—
CHI MANAGER
Mario Barcena
head coach
FC MANAGER
Pat Noonan
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
CHI WINS
2
DRAWS
5
FC WINS
30%
20%
50%
19 – 21
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
4.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
18 Apr 2026
FC Cincinnati
3 – 3
Chicago Fire
D
05 Jul 2025
FC Cincinnati
2 – 1
Chicago Fire
L
20 Apr 2025
Chicago Fire
2 – 3
FC Cincinnati
L
17 Jul 2024
FC Cincinnati
0 – 1
Chicago Fire
W
03 Mar 2024
Chicago Fire
1 – 2
FC Cincinnati
L
CHICAGO FIRE LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W W W
FC CINCINNATI LAST 5 OVERALL
L W W D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–3 · result locked
CHICAGO FIRE #4
Lost · already at 26 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
FC CINCINNATI #7
Won · already at 23 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 16 10 3 3 +21 33
D L W L W
1 Nashville SC 17 12 3 2 +21 39
L W W W W
2 Los Angeles FC 18 10 3 5 +16 33
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 17 11 4 2 +13 37
W W W W W
3 San Jose Earthquakes 17 10 3 4 +15 33
D L W L L
3 New England Revolution 16 9 2 5 +7 29
W D L W L
4 Chicago Fire 16 8 2 6 +8 26
L L W W W
4 Real Salt Lake 16 8 2 6 +4 26
L L D W W
5 Houston Dynamo 16 8 2 6 -1 26
W D D W L
5 New York City FC 17 7 4 6 +7 25
W W L D W
6 FC Dallas 17 7 5 5 +7 26
L D W W L
6 Charlotte 17 7 4 6 +3 25
W D W W L
7 St. Louis City 17 7 4 6 0 25
W W W W D
7 FC Cincinnati 17 6 5 6 -1 23
L W W D L
8 New York Red Bulls 17 6 4 7 -11 22
L L W D W
8 Seattle Sounders 16 7 3 6 -1 24
L L L L L
9 Minnesota United FC 17 6 5 6 -5 23
D L D L L
9 DC United 17 5 7 5 -3 22
W D D D L
10 Portland Timbers 17 6 3 8 -1 21
W D W L L
10 Orlando City SC 17 6 2 9 -16 20
W W L D W
11 Los Angeles Galaxy 18 5 6 7 -5 21
D L L D W
11 Columbus Crew 17 5 4 8 -2 19
W L W D L
12 Toronto FC 17 3 7 7 -8 16
L D D L L
12 San Diego 17 5 5 7 +3 20
W L L D W
13 Colorado Rapids 17 6 1 10 +1 19
L W L L W
13 CF Montreal 17 4 3 10 -11 15
L L D D L
14 Austin 17 4 5 8 -13 17
L W L L L
14 Philadelphia Union 17 3 4 10 -9 13
W W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 17 4 2 11 -26 14
L W L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 17 3 3 11 -13 12
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+12
    Card · Time wasting · A. Chirilă
    4th Yellowcard
  • 90'+8
    Subst · Jason Shokalook
    7th Substitution
  • 90'+7
    Penalty · 2-3 · Evander
    1st Penalty
  • 90'+3
    Card · Foul
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 90'+1
    Missed Penalty · Hugo Cuypers
    GoalkeeperSave
  • 90'
    Card · Foul
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 88'
    Subst
    6th Substitution
  • 77'
    Subst · Ayoub Jabbari
    5th Substitution
  • 77'
    Subst · Tom Barlow
    4th Substitution
  • 68'
    Card · Foul · Kévin Denkey
    1st Yellowcard
  • 66'
    Subst · Matt Miazga
    3rd Substitution
  • 59'
    Subst · Jonathan Bamba
    2nd Substitution
  • 56'
    Card · Foul · Kyle Smith
    1st Redcard
  • 46'
    Subst · Nick Hagglund
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 2
  • 31'
    Goal · 2-2 · Evander
    4th Goal
  • 28'
    Goal · 2-1 · Hugo Cuypers
    3rd Goal
  • 24'
    Goal · 1-1 · Evander
    2nd Goal
  • 16'
    Goal · 1-0 · Hugo Cuypers
    1st Goal
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
CHICAGO FIRE WIN
1.70
58.8% implied
↑ best 1.75
DRAW
4.19
23.9% implied
↑ best 4.45
FC CINCINNATI WIN
4.21
23.8% implied
↑ best 4.45

Market favors Chicago Fire. AI projects CHICAGO FIRE 48% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHICAGO FIRE 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.66 4.10 4.40 +13.6%
Bet365 1.70 4.20 4.20 +14.2%
Betano 1.75 4.45 4.45 +15.5%
Betfair 1.70 4.10 4.20 +13.6%
BetVictor 1.70 4.20 4.10 +14.2%
Dafabet 1.73 4.40 4.30 +15.3%
Marathonbet 1.68 4.20 4.20 +14.2%
Pinnacle 1.74 4.42 4.23 +15.4%
SBO 1.71 3.97 4.01 +12.8%
Unibet 1.71 4.10 4.25 +13.6%
William Hill 1.67 4.00 4.00 +13.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.12 U 5.97
2.5 O 1.43 U 2.76
3.5 O 2.10 U 1.72
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.43 8 bks
NO
2.60 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.51
Away -0.5 2.14
Away -0.75 1.92
Away -1 1.69
Away -1.25 1.53
Away -1.5 1.42
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.