GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · CHICAGO FIRE 92% · Value: Over 2.5 85%
CONF 84 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 18 · SUN, 02 AUG · 00:30 LOCAL
CHICAGO FIRE
3RD · 36 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W L L
FT
2 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
CHARLOTTE
W D W W D
· 5TH · 32 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 20' R. Lewandowski ⚽ 68' R. Lewandowski
GOALS
⚽ 18' Pep Biel
R. Lewandowski
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
R. Lewandowski
Chicago Fire · 96 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 13% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
9.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Chicago Fire vs Charlotte
Watch on Other ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.59
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.83
46%
BALL POSSESSION %
54%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
14
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
88%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
8
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 10'
    Card · Yellow Card
    A. Saletros
    CHI
  2. 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Pep Biel · assist Idan Toklomati Jorno
    CHA
  3. 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    R. Lewandowski · assist Philip Zinckernagel
    CHI
  4. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Joel Waterman
    CHI
  5. 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    R. Lewandowski · assist R. Lod
    CHI
  6. 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Harry Toffolo · assist D. Schnegg
    CHA
  7. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jonathan Bamba · assist P. Dithejane
    CHI
  8. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    L. Abada · assist R. Aloko
    CHA
  9. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    L. de la Torre · assist B. Bronico
    CHA
  10. 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Idan Toklomati Jorno · assist Archie Goodwin
    CHA
  11. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    R. Lod · assist Maren Haile-Selassie
    CHI
  12. 88'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Dje Tah D'Avilla · assist Mauricio Pineda
    CHI
  13. 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card
    R. Lewandowski
    CHI
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CHICAGO FIRE AVG 7.8
CHARLOTTE AVG 7.1
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.6
xG
0.8
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
5.0
ON TARGET
1.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
5.0
BLOCKED
9.0
POSSESSION
46.0%
POSSESSION %
54.0%
462.0
PASSES
532.0
88.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
8.0
CORNERS
6.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
7.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
0.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CHICAGO FIRE 6 shots
R. Lewandowski
2/3
R. Lod
1/2
Philip Zinckernagel
1/1
CHARLOTTE 4 shots
Pep Biel
1/4
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.59 – 0.83
1.3 1 0.6 0.3 1.6 0.0 HT 20' 68' 18' H 1.59 A 0.83 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 62%
38% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS
1
CHRIS BRA
 7.2
17
R. LOD
 9.6
9
R. LEWAND
19
JONATHAN
6
A. SALETR
42
DJE TAH D
 7.6
11
PHILIP ZI
15
ANDREW GU
 7.5
3
JACK ELLI
 7.2
16
JOEL WATE
2
L. BARROS
1
K. KAHLIN
11
L. ABADA
 6.9
9
IDAN TOKL
 7.5
16
PEP BIEL
28
D. DIANI
 7.2
8
A. WESTWO
 6.9
17
L. DE LA
15
HARRY TOF
22
H. KESSLE
44
MORRISON
 6.9
14
N. BYRNE
SUBSTITUTES · CHICAGO FIRE
35
Sergio Orege...
M
5
Sam Rogers
D
14
V. Radojevic
D
24
Jonathan Dea...
D
44
Josh Cohen
G
7
Maren Haile-...
M
22
Mauricio Pin...
D
12
P. Dithejane
F
20
Jason Shokal...
F
COACH: Mario Barcena
SUBSTITUTES · CHARLOTTE
20
Baye Couliba...
M
35
Will Cleary
D
4
A. Privett
D
21
T. Miller
G
7
Archie Goodw...
F
13
B. Bronico
M
37
R. Aloko
F
23
D. Schnegg
D
25
Tyger Smalls
F
COACH: Dean Smith
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CHI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CHA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Freemon
—
CHI MANAGER
Mario Barcena
head coach
CHA MANAGER
Dean Smith
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
CHI WINS
1
DRAWS
5
CHA WINS
33.3%
11.1%
55.6%
16 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
3.67
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 9
29 Jun 2025
Chicago Fire
3 – 2
Charlotte
W
17 May 2025
Charlotte
1 – 4
Chicago Fire
W
02 Oct 2024
Charlotte
4 – 3
Chicago Fire
L
16 May 2024
Chicago Fire
0 – 1
Charlotte
L
08 Oct 2023
Chicago Fire
0 – 2
Charlotte
L
CHICAGO FIRE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W L L
CHARLOTTE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–1 · result locked
CHICAGO FIRE #3
Won · already at 36 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
CHARLOTTE #5
Lost · already at 32 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Yellow Card · R. Lewandowski
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Dje Tah D'Avilla
  • 88'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · R. Lod
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Idan Toklomati Jorno
  • 86'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · L. de la Torre
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · L. Abada
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jonathan Bamba
  • 69'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Harry Toffolo
  • 68'
    Goal · Normal Goal · R. Lewandowski
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Joel Waterman
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal · R. Lewandowski
  • 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Pep Biel
  • 10'
    Card · Yellow Card · A. Saletros
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
CHICAGO FIRE WIN
1.52
65.8% implied
↑ best 1.55
DRAW
4.61
21.7% implied
↑ best 4.85
CHARLOTTE WIN
5.41
18.5% implied
↑ best 5.80

Market favors Chicago Fire. AI projects CHICAGO FIRE 92% · value bet Over 2.5.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHICAGO FIRE 92% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.51 4.40 5.50 +25.8%
888Sport 1.50 4.60 5.00 +25.3%
Bet365 1.53 4.50 5.75 +26.6%
Betano 1.55 4.75 5.80 +27.5%
Betfair 1.50 4.50 5.50 +25.3%
BetVictor 1.50 4.60 5.50 +25.3%
Dafabet 1.54 4.80 5.40 +27.1%
Marathonbet 1.49 4.65 5.40 +24.9%
Pinnacle 1.52 4.85 5.69 +26.2%
SBO 1.50 4.45 5.13 +25.3%
Superbet 1.53 4.70 5.30 +26.6%
Unibet 1.53 4.50 5.30 +26.6%
William Hill 1.50 4.60 5.00 +25.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.11 U 6.06
2.5 O 1.42 U 2.78
3.5 O 2.06 U 1.74
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.51 10 bks
NO
2.39 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 3.07
Away -0.5 2.50
Away -0.75 2.27
Away -1 1.99
Away -1.25 1.74
Away -1.5 1.58
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.