GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–3 · NOTTINGHAM FOREST 97%
CONF 94 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 35 · MON, 04 MAY · 14:00 LOCAL
CHELSEA
10TH · 52 PTS · LAST 5:
L W D L L
FT
1 – 3
FULL TIME HT · 0-2
NOTTINGHAM FOREST
D L D L W
· 16TH · 44 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 90+3' João Pedro
GOALS
⚽ 2' Taiwo Awoniyi  ⚽ 52' Taiwo Awoniyi 
Taiwo Awoniyi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Taiwo Awoniyi
Nottingham Forest · 97 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 5% pass acc · 2 shots on
RATING
8.7
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Premier League: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest
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Premier League: Chelsea vs Nottingham Forest
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

140%
BALL POSSESSION %
54%
21
TOTAL SHOTS
6
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
591%
PASS ACCURACY %
259%
10
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 21 events
  1. 2'
    Goal · 0-1
    Taiwo Awoniyi  · assist Dilane Bakwa
    NOT
  2. 10'
    Card · Foul
    Morato
    NOT
  3. 13'
    Var
    João Pedro
    NOT
  4. 14'
    Card · Foul
    Malo Gusto
    CHE
  5. 15'
    Penalty · 0-2
    Igor Jesus
    NOT
  6. 45'+5
    Subst
    Neco Williams · assist Zach Abbott
    NOT
  7. 45'+9
    Subst
    Liam Delap · assist Jesse Derry
    CHE
  8. 45'+10
    Missed Penalty
    Cole Palmer
    CHE
  9. 46'
    Subst
    Elliot Anderson · assist Nicolás Domínguez
    NOT
  10. 46'
    Subst
    Nikola Milenković · assist Jair Cunha 
    NOT
  11. 46'
    Subst
    Morgan Gibbs-White · assist Igor Jesus
    NOT
  12. 46'
    Subst
    Levi Colwill  · assist Tosin Adarabioyo
    CHE
  13. 52'
    Goal · 0-3
    Taiwo Awoniyi  · assist Morgan Gibbs-White
    NOT
  14. 58'
    Subst
    Andrey Santos · assist Roméo Lavia
    CHE
  15. 66'
    Subst
    Chris Wood  · assist Morgan Gibbs-White
    NOT
  16. 66'
    Subst
    Filip Jørgensen · assist Robert Sánchez
    CHE
  17. 75'
    Var
    João Pedro
    CHE
  18. 78'
    Card · Foul
    Moisés Caicedo
    CHE
  19. 78'
    Card · Argument
    Liam Delap
    CHE
  20. 80'
    Subst
    Omari Hutchinson  · assist Dilane Bakwa
    NOT
  21. 90'+3
    Goal · 1-3
    João Pedro · assist Marc Cucurella
    CHE
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CHELSEA AVG 7.4
NOTTINGHAM FOREST AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS CHE vs A
ATTACK
21.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
5.0
ON TARGET
4.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
1.0
8.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
140.0%
POSSESSION %
54.0%
649.0
PASSES
325.0
591.0%
PASS ACCURACY
259.0%
SET PIECES
10.0
CORNERS
1.0
14.0
OFFSIDES
22.0
DISCIPLINE
12.0
FOULS
10.0
3.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
1.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CHELSEA 4 shots
João Pedro
1/2
Enzo Fernández
0/2
NOTTINGHAM FOREST 2 shots
Taiwo Awoniyi
2/2
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
CHE 48%
52% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
11
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
1
ROBERT Sá
3
MARC CUCU
4
TOSIN ADA
23
TREVOH CH
27
MALO GUST
 7.0
25
MOISéS CA
 6.9
45
ROMéO LAV
55
JESSE DER
 7.7
8
ENZO FERN
10
COLE PALM
 7.9
20
JOãO PEDR
 7.9
26
MATZ SELS
25
LUCA NETZ
4
MORATO
23
JAIR
44
ZACH ABBO
24
JAMES MCA
16
NICOLáS D
22
RYAN YATE
 7.2
29
D. BAKWA
 8.7
9
TAIWO AWO
19
IGOR JESU
SUBSTITUTES · CHELSEA
21
Jorrel Hato
D
24
Reece James
D
29
Wesley Fofan...
D
34
Josh Acheamp...
D
12
Filip Jørgen...
G
17
Andrey Santo...
M
6
Levi Colwill
D
9
Liam Delap
F
14
Dário Essugo
M
COACH: Calum McFarlane
SUBSTITUTES · NOTTINGHAM FOREST
11
Chris Wood
F
21
Omari Hutchi...
F
17
Eric da Silv...
F
27
Stefan Orteg...
G
10
M. Gibbs-Whi...
M
8
Elliot Ander...
M
31
N. Milenkovi...
D
3
Neco William...
D
20
Lorenzo Lucc...
F
COACH: Vitor Pereira
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CHE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NOT · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Taylor
—
CHE MANAGER
Calum McFarlane
head coach
NOT MANAGER
Vitor Pereira
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
CHE WINS
3
DRAWS
1
NOT WINS
60%
30%
10%
20 – 8
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
18 Oct 2025
Nottingham Forest
0 – 3
Chelsea
W
25 May 2025
Nottingham Forest
0 – 1
Chelsea
W
06 Oct 2024
Chelsea
1 – 1
Nottingham Forest
D
11 May 2024
Nottingham Forest
2 – 3
Chelsea
W
02 Sep 2023
Chelsea
0 – 1
Nottingham Forest
L
CHELSEA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D L L
NOTTINGHAM FOREST LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D L W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–3 · result locked
CHELSEA #10
Lost · already at 52 pts
NOTTINGHAM FOREST #16
Won · already at 44 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 +44 85
W W W W W
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 +42 78
L D W W D
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 +19 71
W W D W W
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 +7 65
W W D L L
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 +10 60
D L D L W
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
D D W W D
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 -6 54
W W D D L
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 +6 53
L L W L W
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 +3 53
D D L W L
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 +6 52
L W D L L
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 -4 52
W D L L W
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 -2 49
L W D W L
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 -3 49
L L D D L
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 -7 47
L W D W D
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 -10 45
L D L D L
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 -3 44
D L D W W
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 -9 41
W L D W W
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 -19 39
W L L L W
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 -37 22
D L D L L
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 -41 20
D D L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+3
    Goal · 1-3 · João Pedro
    3rd Goal
  • 80'
    Subst · Omari Hutchinson 
    10th Substitution
  • 78'
    Card · Argument · Liam Delap
    4th Yellowcard
  • 78'
    Card · Foul · Moisés Caicedo
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 75'
    Var · João Pedro
    Goal disallowed
  • 66'
    Subst · Filip Jørgensen
    8th Substitution
  • 66'
    Subst · Chris Wood 
    9th Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Andrey Santos
    7th Substitution
  • 52'
    Goal · 0-3 · Taiwo Awoniyi 
    2nd Goal
  • 46'
    Subst · Levi Colwill 
    4th Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Morgan Gibbs-White
    6th Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Nikola Milenković
    5th Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Elliot Anderson
    3rd Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 45'+10
    Missed Penalty · Cole Palmer
    GoalkeeperSave
  • 45'+9
    Subst · Liam Delap
    2nd Substitution
  • 45'+5
    Subst · Neco Williams
    1st Substitution
  • 15'
    Penalty · 0-2 · Igor Jesus
    1st Penalty
  • 14'
    Card · Foul · Malo Gusto
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 13'
    Var · João Pedro
    Penalty awarded
  • 10'
    Card · Foul · Morato
    1st Yellowcard
  • 2'
    Goal · 0-1 · Taiwo Awoniyi 
    1st Goal
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
CHELSEA WIN
1.70
58.8% implied
↑ best 1.75
DRAW
3.95
25.3% implied
↑ best 4.12
NOTTINGHAM FORES WIN
4.85
20.6% implied
↑ best 5.30

Market favors Chelsea. AI projects NOTTINGHAM FOREST 97%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NOTTINGHAM FOREST 97% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER CHE X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.66 3.90 4.80 +76.2%
1xBet 1.75 4.12 4.98 +76.9%
888Sport 1.70 3.80 4.60 +75.3%
Bet365 1.70 3.90 4.75 +75.9%
Betano 1.70 4.00 5.30 +78.1%
Betfair 1.70 3.90 5.00 +77.0%
BetVictor 1.67 4.10 4.80 +76.2%
Dafabet 1.68 4.10 4.90 +76.6%
Marathonbet 1.71 4.05 5.00 +77.0%
Pinnacle 1.72 4.00 5.01 +77.0%
SBO 1.69 3.78 4.53 +74.9%
Unibet 1.70 3.90 4.80 +76.2%
William Hill 1.70 3.80 4.60 +75.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.17
2.5 O 1.71 U 2.15
3.5 O 2.71 U 1.44
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.67 10 bks
NO
2.12 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.63
Away -0.5 2.18
Away -0.75 1.96
Away -1 1.69
Away -1.25 1.53
Away -1.5 1.42
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.