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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · CHARLOTTE 52%
CONF 44 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 15 · SAT, 16 MAY · 23:30 LOCAL
CHARLOTTE
5TH · 32 PTS · LAST 5:
W D W L W
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
TORONTO FC
W D W D L
· 10TH · 24 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 19' Wilfried Zaha ⚽ 35' David Schnegg
GOALS
⚽ 22' Derrick Etienne Jr.
P. Biel
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
P. Biel
Charlotte · 84 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 34% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Charlotte vs Toronto FC
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

78%
BALL POSSESSION %
83%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
12
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
374%
PASS ACCURACY %
439%
7
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 16 events
  1. 19'
    Goal · 1-0
    Wilfried Zaha · assist Kerwin Vargas
    CHA
  2. 22'
    Goal · 1-1
    Derrick Etienne Jr. · assist Jonathan Osorio 
    TOR
  3. 30'
    Var
    Jackson Gilman
    TOR
  4. 35'
    Goal · 2-1
    David Schnegg · assist Kerwin Vargas
    CHA
  5. 49'
    Card · Foul
    Pep Biel
    CHA
  6. 54'
    Card · Foul
    Malik Henry
    TOR
  7. 58'
    Subst
    Nicksoen Gomis  · assist Raheem Edwards
    TOR
  8. 66'
    Subst
    Djibril Diani · assist Brandt Bronico
    CHA
  9. 66'
    Subst
    Rodolfo Aloko · assist Kerwin Vargas
    CHA
  10. 75'
    Subst
    Archie Goodwin · assist Idan Toklomati
    CHA
  11. 75'
    Subst
    Will Cleary · assist Nathan Byrne
    CHA
  12. 78'
    Subst
    Fletcher Bank · assist Malik Henry
    TOR
  13. 83'
    Card · Foul
    Jonathan Osorio 
    TOR
  14. 84'
    Penalty · 3-1
    Pep Biel
    CHA
  15. 87'
    Subst
    Luca de la Torre · assist Pep Biel
    CHA
  16. 90'+2
    Card · Time wasting
    CHA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CHARLOTTE AVG 7.6
TORONTO FC AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
6.0
ON TARGET
4.0
8.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
4.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
78.0%
POSSESSION %
83.0%
424.0
PASSES
501.0
374.0%
PASS ACCURACY
439.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
3.0
16.0
OFFSIDES
14.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
13.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CHARLOTTE 10 shots
Wilfried Zaha
2/6
David Schnegg
2/2
P. Biel
1/1
Morrison Agyemang
0/1
TORONTO FC 3 shots
Alonso Coello
0/1
D. Etienne
1/1
Walker Zimmerman
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 63%
37% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
KRISTIJAN
 7.3
23
DAVID SCH
4
ANDREW PR
 7.7
44
MORRISON
14
NATHAN BY
 7.7
8
A. WESTWO
13
B. BRONIC
 7.6
10
WILFRIED
 7.9
16
P. BIEL
18
KERWIN CA
9
IDAN TOKL
 6.6
1
LUKA GAVR
44
RAHEEM ED
38
J. GILMAN
 6.9
25
WALKER ZI
19
KOBE FRAN
21
JONATHAN
 7.0
14
ALONSO CO
 6.9
11
D. ETIENN
20
D. SALLOI
78
MALIK HEN
17
EMILIO AR
SUBSTITUTES · CHARLOTTE
7
Archie Goodw...
F
48
Aron John
M
28
Djibril Dian...
M
11
Liel Abada
F
17
L. de la Tor...
M
22
Henry Kessle...
D
35
W. Cleary
D
21
Tyler Miller
G
37
R. Aloko
F
COACH: Dean Smith
SUBSTITUTES · TORONTO FC
79
Fletcher Ban...
F
15
N. Gomis
D
98
Stefan Kapor
D
74
Luca Costabi...
D
77
Adisa De Ros...
G
23
William Yarb...
G
91
Dekwon Barro...
F
COACH: Robin Fraser
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CHA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

TOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Chapman
—
CHA MANAGER
Dean Smith
head coach
TOR MANAGER
Robin Fraser
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
CHA WINS
1
DRAWS
3
TOR WINS
55.6%
11.1%
33.3%
15 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 9 MEETINGS
3.00
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 9
19 Aug 2026
Toronto FC
3 – 3
Charlotte
D
26 Jul 2025
Charlotte
2 – 0
Toronto FC
W
31 May 2025
Toronto FC
0 – 2
Charlotte
W
13 Apr 2024
Charlotte
3 – 2
Toronto FC
W
09 Mar 2024
Toronto FC
1 – 0
Charlotte
L
CHARLOTTE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W L W
TORONTO FC LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W D L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
CHARLOTTE #5
Won · already at 32 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
TORONTO FC #10
Lost · already at 24 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 20 12 4 4 +27 40
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 21 15 4 2 +26 49
W W W D L
2 Houston Dynamo 21 12 2 7 +4 38
L W W W W
2 Inter Miami 21 11 6 4 +9 39
L D L D W
3 Los Angeles FC 22 10 5 7 +14 35
D L L D W
3 Chicago Fire 20 11 3 6 +11 36
D W W W L
4 New England Revolution 21 10 4 7 +7 34
D W L L D
4 San Jose Earthquakes 21 10 3 8 +6 33
L L L L D
5 FC Dallas 21 9 6 6 +4 33
L W W D L
5 Charlotte 21 9 5 7 +6 32
W D W L W
6 St. Louis City 21 9 6 6 +3 33
W D W D W
6 FC Cincinnati 21 8 7 6 +2 31
D W D W L
7 Colorado Rapids 21 9 1 11 +2 28
L W W W L
7 New York City FC 21 7 6 8 +5 27
D L L D W
8 New York Red Bulls 21 7 5 9 -12 26
D L L W L
8 Real Salt Lake 20 8 4 8 +2 28
L L D D L
9 Portland Timbers 21 8 4 9 +1 28
D W L W W
9 Orlando City SC 21 7 3 11 -17 24
W L D L W
10 Minnesota United FC 21 7 7 7 -2 28
W L D D D
10 Toronto FC 21 5 9 7 -6 24
W D W D L
11 San Diego 21 7 6 8 +5 27
W L W D W
11 DC United 21 5 9 7 -8 24
L L D D W
12 Philadelphia Union 21 5 6 10 -7 21
D D W W W
12 Los Angeles Galaxy 22 6 8 8 -5 26
D W L D D
13 Seattle Sounders 20 7 4 9 -5 25
D L L L L
13 CF Montreal 21 5 6 10 -10 21
D W D D L
14 Austin 21 5 6 10 -14 21
D W L L L
14 Columbus Crew 21 5 5 11 -6 20
L L L D W
15 Sporting Kansas City 20 4 3 13 -30 15
D L L L W
15 Atlanta United FC 20 5 3 12 -12 18
W W L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Card · Time wasting
    4th Yellowcard
  • 87'
    Subst · Luca de la Torre
    7th Substitution
  • 84'
    Penalty · 3-1 · Pep Biel
    1st Penalty
  • 83'
    Card · Foul · Jonathan Osorio 
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 78'
    Subst · Fletcher Bank
    6th Substitution
  • 75'
    Subst · Will Cleary
    4th Substitution
  • 75'
    Subst · Archie Goodwin
    5th Substitution
  • 66'
    Subst · Rodolfo Aloko
    2nd Substitution
  • 66'
    Subst · Djibril Diani
    3rd Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Nicksoen Gomis 
    1st Substitution
  • 54'
    Card · Foul · Malik Henry
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 49'
    Card · Foul · Pep Biel
    1st Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 35'
    Goal · 2-1 · David Schnegg
    3rd Goal
  • 30'
    Var · Jackson Gilman
    Goal disallowed
  • 22'
    Goal · 1-1 · Derrick Etienne Jr.
    2nd Goal
  • 19'
    Goal · 1-0 · Wilfried Zaha
    1st Goal
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
CHARLOTTE WIN
1.71
58.5% implied
↑ best 1.74
DRAW
3.89
25.7% implied
↑ best 4.06
TORONTO FC WIN
4.50
22.2% implied
↑ best 4.75

Market favors Charlotte. AI projects CHARLOTTE 52%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHARLOTTE 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.73 3.80 4.40 -0.3%
Bet365 1.73 4.00 4.50 +1.0%
Betano 1.72 3.95 4.75 +0.9%
Betfair 1.70 3.90 4.50 +0.4%
BetVictor 1.73 3.80 4.33 -0.3%
Dafabet 1.74 4.00 4.60 +1.0%
Marathonbet 1.68 3.90 4.55 +0.4%
Pinnacle 1.74 4.06 4.65 +1.4%
SBO 1.69 3.78 4.34 -0.5%
Unibet 1.72 3.85 4.50 +0.0%
William Hill 1.67 3.70 4.40 -0.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.18
2.5 O 1.71 U 2.12
3.5 O 2.76 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.67 8 bks
NO
2.10 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.55
Away -0.5 2.14
Away -0.75 1.89
Away -1 1.64
Away -1.25 1.50
Away -1.5 1.39
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.