Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 14 · WED, 13 MAY · 23:15 LOCAL
← Match Page
CHARLOTTE
⏱ KICK-OFF IN
--
HOURS
:
--
MINS
:
--
SECS
Bank of America Stadium
NEW YORK CITY FC
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
PRE-MATCH MODEL
CONF 48/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
CHA
1 1
NEW
most likely scoreline · 14.6% probability
AI PICKS CHARLOTTE TO WIN 46%
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

PRE-MATCH
CHA WIN 46%
DRAW 28%
NEW WIN 26%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 74% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 74% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Evenly matched mid-table sides; Charlotte's home record and recent form tilt slightly home, but NYFC's road strength and recent win are real. Draw is live.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY CHARLOTTE FAVORED
46%
Evenly matched mid-table sides; Charlotte's home record and recent form tilt slightly home, but NYFC's road strength and recent win are real. Draw is live.
+30.0%
Charlotte home form DLLLW vs NYFC away form LWWWL — split roughly even, slight Charlotte edge
+25.0%
H2H shows volatility (2-1 Charlotte win last; 3-1 NYFC win prior) — no dominance pattern
+20.0%
WHY NEW YORK CITY FC CHALLENGED
26%
Both teams 15 pts, 7th/8th position — quality matched; no xG data but GF/GA nearly identical
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Both teams 15 pts, 7th/8th position — quality matched; no xG data but GF/GA nearly identical
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 0 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.6%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.5
5.7
1.8
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.6
13.5
6.2
1.9
0.4
0.1
·
2
7.9
7.3
3.3
1.0
0.2
·
·
3
2.8
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.8
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.6%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.5%
2 — 0 7.9%
Top 5 = 61.9% · rest 38.1%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
HOME to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.20
46.0%
2.17
+1.4%
HOME or Draw (1X)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.36
74.0%
1.35
+0.6%
Draw
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.48
28.0%
3.57
-2.5%
Both Teams Score — YES
15 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.59
58.0%
1.72
-7.8%
HOME or AWAY (12)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.28
72.0%
1.39
-8.2%
Over 2.5 Goals
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.71
52.0%
1.92
-11.1%
Draw or AWAY (X2)
9 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.64
54.0%
1.85
-11.6%
AWAY to Win
31 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.99
26.0%
3.85
-22.3%
18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.