GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · CHARLEROI 38%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Jupiler Pro League · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SUN, 09 AUG · 14:00 LOCAL
CHARLEROI
3RD · 34 PTS · LAST 5:
W D L W W
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 1-1
OH LEUVEN
L D W L D
· 6TH · 23 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 24' Parfait Guiagon (P) ⚽ 59' Kevin Van Den Kerkhof ⚽ 79' Freddy Mbemba
GOALS
⚽ 39' Óscar Gil
Dani van den Heuvel
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Dani van den Heuvel
OH Leuven · 90 mins
· 18% pass acc
RATING
8.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.99
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.29
59%
BALL POSSESSION %
41%
23
TOTAL SHOTS
12
10
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
6
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 20'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Abdoul Karim Traoré
    OH
  2. 24'
    Goal · Penalty
    Parfait Guiagon
    CHA
  3. 30'
    Card · Red Card
    Abdoul Karim Traoré
    OH
  4. 31'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Aiham Ousou
    CHA
  5. 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Óscar Gil · assist W. George
    OH
  6. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
    OH
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Amine Boukamir · assist Isaac Ismaël Cissé
    CHA
  8. 47'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Cheick Keita
    CHA
  9. 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
    CHA
  10. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Henok Teklab · assist Takuya Ogiwara
    OH
  11. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Óscar Gil · assist Davis Opoku
    OH
  12. 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Patrick Pflücke · assist Adama Bojang
    CHA
  13. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    W. George · assist Łukasz Łakomy
    OH
  14. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Aurélien Scheidler · assist Jakob Napoleon Romsaas
    CHA
  15. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Parfait Guiagon · assist Freddy Mbemba
    CHA
  16. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    William Balikwisha · assist Kyan Vaesen
    OH
  17. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi · assist Shin Yamada
    OH
  18. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Freddy Mbemba · assist Isaac Ismaël Cissé
    CHA
  19. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Antoine Bernier · assist Antoine Colassin
    CHA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CHARLEROI AVG 8.0
OH LEUVEN AVG 7.4
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
3.0
xG
1.3
23.0
TOTAL SHOTS
12.0
10.0
ON TARGET
3.0
7.0
OFF TARGET
6.0
6.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
59.0%
POSSESSION %
41.0%
474.0
PASSES
325.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
2.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
13.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
6.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CHARLEROI 6 shots
Parfait Guiagon
2/3
Freddy Mbemba
1/1
Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
1/1
Antoine Bernier
0/1
OH LEUVEN 5 shots
Óscar Gil
1/3
Siebe Schrijvers
0/2
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.99 – 1.29
2.4 1.8 1.2 0.6 3.0 0.0 HT 24' 59' 79' 39' H 2.99 A 1.29 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-3
4-2-3-1
3-4-3
30
MOHAMED K
24
MARDOCHEE
95
CHEICK KE
 7.9
4
AIHAM OUS
 7.9
3
KEVIN VAN
18
YASSINE K
6
AMINE BOU
 8.2
10
PARFAIT G
14
PATRICK P
 7.9
17
ANTOINE B
21
AURéLIEN
 8.9
16
DANI VAN
34
ROGGERIO
3
NOë DUSSE
28
EWOUD PLE
11
HENOK TEK
 6.9
8
SIEBE SCH
 6.9
6
WOUTER GE
 7.3
27
ÓSCAR GIL
9
ABDOUL KA
19
CHUKWUBUI
 6.9
21
WILLIAM B
SUBSTITUTES · CHARLEROI
20
Freddy Mbemb...
F
8
Jakob Napole...
M
33
Noah Solheid
D
65
Rafaël Teuge...
D
44
Massamba Sow
D
1
Martin Delav...
G
9
Adama Bojang
F
19
Isaac Ismaël...
M
25
Antoine Cola...
F
COACH: Mario Kohnen
SUBSTITUTES · OH LEUVEN
17
Kyan Vaesen
F
4
Birger Verst...
M
72
Sebastian Mu...
M
48
Bryang Kayo
M
24
Łukasz Łakom...
M
5
Jamie Lawren...
D
1
Tobe Leysen
G
99
Davis Opoku
D
26
Takuya Ogiwa...
D
20
Shin Yamada
F
COACH: Felice Mazzu
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CHA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

OH · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Michiel Allaerts, Belgium
—
CHA MANAGER
Mario Kohnen
head coach
OH MANAGER
Felice Mazzu
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
CHA WINS
4
DRAWS
4
OH WINS
20%
40%
40%
7 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
19 May 2026
Charleroi
1 – 1
OH Leuven
D
25 Apr 2026
OH Leuven
0 – 2
Charleroi
W
14 Mar 2026
Charleroi
0 – 2
OH Leuven
L
27 Jul 2025
OH Leuven
2 – 2
Charleroi
D
24 May 2025
Charleroi
2 – 1
OH Leuven
W
CHARLEROI LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L W W
OH LEUVEN LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W L D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
CHARLEROI #3
Won · already at 34 pts
OH LEUVEN #6
Lost · already at 23 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Club Brugge KV 40 28 4 8 +46 57
W D W W W
1 Zulte Waregem 36 13 9 14 0 48
W W W W W
1 Union St. Gilloise 30 19 9 2 +33 66
W D L W L
1 Genk 40 15 14 11 +4 38
L W D D W
2 Standard Liege 40 16 9 15 -2 37
L W D W W
2 Club Brugge KV 30 20 3 7 +23 63
W D W W W
2 Cercle Brugge 36 10 11 15 -5 41
L L W W W
2 Union St. Gilloise 40 25 11 4 +39 53
W D L W L
3 Charleroi 40 14 9 17 0 34
W D L W W
3 St. Truiden 30 18 3 9 +12 57
W L D L W
3 RAAL La Louvière 36 7 13 16 -15 34
W L L L L
3 St. Truiden 40 22 5 13 +15 43
W L D L W
4 Anderlecht 40 15 10 15 -3 33
L W D D L
4 Dender 36 5 10 21 -31 25
D L L W L
4 Gent 30 13 6 11 +6 45
W L D D D
4 KVC Westerlo 40 14 10 16 -7 33
L L W L D
5 Antwerp 40 13 9 18 -5 31
W D L L L
5 KV Mechelen 30 12 9 9 +2 45
L D D L W
5 Gent 40 13 12 15 -4 29
W L D D D
6 KV Mechelen 40 13 12 15 -13 29
L D D L W
6 Anderlecht 30 12 8 10 +4 44
L W D D L
6 OH Leuven 40 10 10 20 -19 23
L D W L D
7 Genk 30 11 9 10 -1 42
L W D D W
8 Standard Liege 30 11 7 12 -8 40
L W D W W
9 KVC Westerlo 30 10 9 11 -4 39
L L W L D
10 Antwerp 30 9 8 13 -1 35
W D L L L
11 Charleroi 30 9 7 14 -4 34
W D L W W
12 OH Leuven 30 9 7 14 -11 34
L D W L D
13 Zulte Waregem 30 8 8 14 -9 32
W W W W W
14 Cercle Brugge 30 7 10 13 -8 31
L L W W W
15 RAAL La Louvière 30 6 13 11 -7 31
W L L L L
16 Dender 30 3 10 17 -27 19
D L L W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Antoine Bernier
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Freddy Mbemba
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · William Balikwisha
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Parfait Guiagon
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Aurélien Scheidler
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · W. George
  • 68'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Patrick Pflücke
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Óscar Gil
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Henok Teklab
  • 59'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Kevin Van Den Kerkhof
  • 47'
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Cheick Keita
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Amine Boukamir
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 1
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · Chukwubuikem Ikwuemesi
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 39'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Óscar Gil
  • 31'
    Card · Yellow Card · Aiham Ousou
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 30'
    Card · Red Card · Abdoul Karim Traoré
    Unsportsmanlike conduct
  • 24'
    Goal · Penalty · Parfait Guiagon
  • 20'
    Card · Yellow Card · Abdoul Karim Traoré
    Diving
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
CHARLEROI WIN
1.76
56.8% implied
↑ best 1.83
DRAW
3.62
27.6% implied
↑ best 3.85
OH LEUVEN WIN
4.39
22.8% implied
↑ best 4.70

Market favors Charleroi. AI projects CHARLEROI 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CHARLEROI 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.77 3.65 4.33 +7.6%
1xBet 1.76 3.85 4.56 +9.0%
888Sport 1.75 3.50 4.20 +6.4%
Bet365 1.75 3.60 4.10 +7.2%
Betano 1.80 3.65 4.45 +7.6%
Betfair 1.67 3.50 4.50 +6.4%
BetVictor 1.75 3.70 4.50 +8.0%
Dafabet 1.82 3.60 4.40 +7.2%
Marathonbet 1.72 3.78 4.45 +8.5%
Pinnacle 1.78 3.77 4.70 +8.5%
SBO 1.77 3.37 4.09 +5.3%
Superbet 1.83 3.60 4.40 +7.2%
Unibet 1.75 3.55 4.60 +6.8%
William Hill 1.75 3.50 4.20 +6.4%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.27 U 3.54
2.5 O 1.89 U 1.90
3.5 O 3.22 U 1.32
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.80 11 bks
NO
1.93 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.44
Away -0.5 2.04
Away -0.75 1.81
Away -1 1.56
Away -1.25 1.43
Away -1.5 1.35
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.