GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CF MONTREAL 38%
CONF 24 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SAT, 25 APR · 18:30 LOCAL
CF MONTREAL
11TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5:
D L D W L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
NEW YORK CITY FC
L D W W L
· 8TH · 19 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 18' Prince Owusu
GOALS
Matthew Longstaff
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Matthew Longstaff
CF Montreal · 90 mins
🅰 1 assist · 35% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.01
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.40
36%
BALL POSSESSION %
64%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
5
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
3
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Prince Owusu · assist Matthew Longstaff
    CF
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    N. Streit · assist Olger Escobar
    CF
  3. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Samuel Piette
    CF
  4. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Keaton Parks · assist Raul Gustavo
    NEW
  5. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Agustin Ojeda · assist Seymour Garfield-Reid
    NEW
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Arnau Farnos · assist Talles Magno
    NEW
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Samuel Piette · assist Fabian Herbers
    CF
  8. 74'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tayvon Gray
    NEW
  9. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Prince Owusu · assist Daniel Rios
    CF
  10. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tayvon Gray
    NEW
  11. 77'
    Card · Red Card
    Tayvon Gray
    NEW
  12. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Olger Escobar
    CF
  13. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nicolás Fernández
    NEW
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Maxi Moralez · assist Andrés Perea
    NEW
  15. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brayan Vera
    CF
  16. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jalen Neal · assist Efraín Morales
    CF
  17. 87'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matthew Longstaff
    CF
  18. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dawid Bugaj
    CF
  19. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kai Trewin
    NEW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CF MONTREAL AVG 7.3
NEW YORK CITY FC AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
0.4
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
4.0
ON TARGET
2.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
36.0%
POSSESSION %
64.0%
347.0
PASSES
627.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
1.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
18.0
FOULS
15.0
5.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CF MONTREAL 2 shots
Prince Owusu
1/1
Brayan Vera
1/1
NEW YORK CITY FC 2 shots
Nicolás Fernández
1/1
Aiden O'Neill
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.01 – 0.40
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.0 HT 18' H 1.01 A 0.40 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
7.0
31
THOMAS GI
13
LUCA PETR
 6.9
4
BRAYAN VE
 7.0
2
JALEN NEA
27
DAWID BUG
 8.2
8
MATTHEW L
6
SAMUEL PI
22
VICTOR LO
10
IVáN JAIM
 7.6
9
PRINCE OW
23
NOAH STRE
49
MATTHEW F
22
K. O&APOS
 6.9
5
KAI TREWI
 6.9
13
THIAGO MA
24
TAYVON GR
 6.9
21
AIDEN O'N
55
KEATON PA
87
ARNAU FA
10
MAXI MORA
26
AGUSTIN O
 7.3
7
NICOLáS F
SUBSTITUTES · CF MONTREAL
17
Dagur Dan Þó...
M
26
I. Losenko
M
5
Brandan Crai...
D
1
Sebastian Br...
G
24
Efraín Moral...
D
14
Daniel Rios
F
21
Fabian Herbe...
F
29
Olger Escoba...
F
7
Kwadwo Opoku
F
COACH: Philippe Eullaffroy
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK CITY FC
29
Máximo Carri...
M
19
Strahinja Ta...
D
2
Nico Cavallo
D
30
Tomás Romero
G
8
Andrés Perea
M
99
Seymour Garf...
F
11
Talles Magno
F
34
Raul Gustavo
D
32
Jonathan Sho...
M
COACH: Pascal Jansen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CF · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Touchan
—
CF MANAGER
Philippe Eullaffroy
head coach
NEW MANAGER
Pascal Jansen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
CF WINS
1
DRAWS
6
NEW WINS
30%
10%
60%
6 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
28 Jun 2025
CF Montreal
1 – 0
New York City FC
W
10 May 2025
New York City FC
0 – 1
CF Montreal
W
20 Oct 2024
CF Montreal
2 – 0
New York City FC
W
03 Jul 2024
New York City FC
2 – 0
CF Montreal
L
30 Aug 2023
New York City FC
2 – 0
CF Montreal
L
CF MONTREAL LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D W L
NEW YORK CITY FC LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
CF MONTREAL #11
Won · already at 14 pts
NEW YORK CITY FC #8
Lost · already at 19 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Kai Trewin
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dawid Bugaj
  • 87'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matthew Longstaff
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jalen Neal
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brayan Vera
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Maxi Moralez
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nicolás Fernández
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Olger Escobar
  • 77'
    Card · Red Card · Tayvon Gray
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tayvon Gray
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Prince Owusu
  • 74'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tayvon Gray
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Samuel Piette
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Arnau Farnos
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Agustin Ojeda
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Keaton Parks
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Samuel Piette
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · N. Streit
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Prince Owusu
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CF MONTREAL WIN
2.90
34.5% implied
↑ best 3.11
DRAW
3.41
29.3% implied
↑ best 3.50
NEW YORK CITY FC WIN
2.33
42.9% implied
↑ best 2.40

Market favors New York City FC. AI projects CF MONTREAL 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CF MONTREAL 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.92 3.45 2.28 +3.8%
888Sport 2.70 3.30 2.40 +1.7%
Bet365 2.90 3.50 2.38 +3.5%
Betano 2.95 3.45 2.37 +4.1%
Betfair 2.88 3.50 2.25 +3.4%
BetVictor 2.88 3.40 2.30 +3.3%
Dafabet 3.10 3.50 2.32 +5.7%
Marathonbet 2.89 3.34 2.34 +3.4%
Pinnacle 3.11 3.46 2.36 +5.8%
SBO 2.78 3.29 2.34 +2.0%
Unibet 2.88 3.50 2.32 +3.4%
William Hill 2.80 3.25 2.30 +2.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.24 U 3.83
2.5 O 1.81 U 1.98
3.5 O 2.99 U 1.37
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.62 9 bks
NO
2.17 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.51
Away -0.5 1.41
Away -0.75 1.28
Away -1 1.16
Away -1.25 1.11
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.