GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CF MONTREAL 38%
CONF 24 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SAT 25 APR · 18:30 LOCAL
CF MONTREAL
12TH · 9 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W W L
FT
1 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
NEW YORK CITY FC
D L L L L
· 7TH · 12 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 18' Prince-Osei Owusu
GOALS
Matthew Longstaff
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Matthew Longstaff
CF Montreal · 90 mins
🅰 1 assist · 35% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap

awaiting upload
Goals, key moments, post-match interviews
Highlightly publishes 30 min – 6 h after final whistle
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.01
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.40
36%
BALL POSSESSION %
64%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
5
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
80%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
3
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Prince-Osei Owusu · assist Matthew Longstaff
    CF
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    N. Streit · assist Olger Escobar
    CF
  3. 63'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Samuel Piette
    CF
  4. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Keaton Parks · assist Raul Gustavo
    NEW
  5. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Agustin Ojeda · assist Seymour Garfield-Reid
    NEW
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Arnau Farnos · assist Talles Magno
    NEW
  7. 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Samuel Piette · assist Fabian Herbers
    CF
  8. 74'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tayvon Gray
    NEW
  9. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Prince-Osei Owusu · assist Daniel Rios
    CF
  10. 77'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Tayvon Gray
    NEW
  11. 77'
    Card · Red Card
    Tayvon Gray
    NEW
  12. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Olger Escobar
    CF
  13. 81'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Nicolás Fernández
    NEW
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Maxi Moralez · assist Andrés Perea
    NEW
  15. 84'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brayan Vera
    CF
  16. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jalen Neal · assist Efraín Morales
    CF
  17. 87'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Matthew Longstaff
    CF
  18. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Dawid Bugaj
    CF
  19. 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Kai Trewin
    NEW
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CF MONTREAL AVG 7.3
NEW YORK CITY FC AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
0.4
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
5.0
4.0
ON TARGET
2.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
36.0%
POSSESSION %
64.0%
347.0
PASSES
627.0
80.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
1.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
18.0
FOULS
15.0
5.0
YELLOW CARDS
4.0
0.0
RED CARDS
1.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CF MONTREAL 2 shots
Prince-Osei Owusu
1/1
Victor Loturi
0/1
NEW YORK CITY FC 2 shots
Nicolás Fernández
1/1
Aiden O'Neill
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.01 – 0.40
0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 1.0 0.0 HT 18' H 1.01 A 0.40 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
7.0
31
THOMAS GI
13
LUCA PETR
4
BRAYAN VE
 7.0
2
JALEN NEA
27
DAWID BUG
 8.2
8
MATTHEW L
6
SAMUEL PI
 6.9
22
VICTOR LO
10
IVáN JAIM
 7.6
9
PRINCE-OS
23
NOAH STRE
49
MATTHEW F
22
KEVIN O'T
 6.9
5
KAI TREWI
 6.9
13
THIAGO MA
24
TAYVON GR
 6.9
21
AIDEN O'N
55
KEATON PA
87
ARNAU FA
10
MAXI MORA
26
AGUSTIN O
 7.3
7
NICOLáS F
SUBSTITUTES · CF MONTREAL
17
Dagur Dan Þó...
M
26
Ivan Losenko
M
5
Brandan Crai...
D
1
Sebastian Br...
G
24
Efraín Moral...
D
14
Daniel Rios
F
21
Fabian Herbe...
F
29
Olger Escoba...
F
7
Kwadwo Opoku
F
COACH: Philippe Eullaffroy
SUBSTITUTES · NEW YORK CITY FC
29
Máximo Carri...
M
19
Strahinja Ta...
D
2
Nico Cavallo
D
30
Tomás Romero
G
8
Andrés Perea
M
99
Seymour Garf...
F
11
Talles Magno
F
34
Raul Gustavo
D
32
Jonathan Sho...
M
COACH: Pascal Jansen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CF · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NEW · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ramy Touchan, USA
—
CF MANAGER
Philippe Eullaffroy
head coach
NEW MANAGER
Pascal Jansen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
CF WINS
1
DRAWS
6
NEW WINS
30%
10%
60%
6 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
28 Jun 25
CF Montreal
1 – 0
New York City FC
W
10 May 25
New York City FC
0 – 1
CF Montreal
W
20 Oct 24
CF Montreal
2 – 0
New York City FC
W
03 Jul 24
New York City FC
2 – 0
CF Montreal
L
30 Aug 23
New York City FC
2 – 0
CF Montreal
L
CF MONTREAL LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W W L
NEW YORK CITY FC LAST 5 OVERALL
D L L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–0 · result locked
CF MONTREAL #12
Won · already at 9 pts
NEW YORK CITY FC #7
Lost · already at 12 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 San Jose Earthquakes 10 9 0 1 +19 27
W W W W W
1 Nashville SC 9 7 1 1 +15 22
W W W L W
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 9 8 0 1 +20 24
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 10 5 4 1 +4 19
D W W D D
3 Los Angeles FC 10 6 2 2 +11 20
W D L L W
3 Chicago Fire 9 5 2 2 +9 17
W D W W W
4 New England Revolution 9 5 1 3 +5 16
D W W W W
4 Seattle Sounders 8 6 1 1 +8 19
W W W D W
5 Minnesota United FC 10 5 2 3 -3 17
L W W W W
5 Charlotte 10 4 2 4 0 14
L L W L W
6 Real Salt Lake 9 5 1 3 +3 16
L L W W D
6 Toronto FC 10 3 4 3 -2 13
L D D D W
7 Colorado Rapids 10 4 1 5 +4 13
L D L W L
7 New York City FC 10 3 3 4 +3 12
L D L L D
8 Columbus Crew 10 3 3 4 +1 12
W W L D W
8 FC Dallas 10 3 4 3 +3 13
L L D D W
9 Houston Dynamo 9 4 0 5 -6 12
L W W L L
9 FC Cincinnati 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D D L
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 10 3 3 4 -1 12
W L D W L
10 DC United 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D L L
11 San Diego 10 3 2 5 0 11
L L L L L
11 New York Red Bulls 10 3 3 4 -9 12
L D L D W
12 CF Montreal 9 3 0 6 -7 9
W W L L L
12 Portland Timbers 9 3 1 5 -6 10
W L W L D
13 Austin 10 2 4 4 -5 10
W L D L D
13 Atlanta United FC 10 2 1 7 -8 7
W L L L L
14 St. Louis City 9 1 3 5 -7 6
L L D D W
14 Orlando City SC 10 2 1 7 -17 7
L W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 9 1 1 7 -18 4
L L L L L
15 Philadelphia Union 10 1 2 7 -8 5
L D D W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Kai Trewin
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Dawid Bugaj
  • 87'
    Card · Yellow Card · Matthew Longstaff
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jalen Neal
  • 84'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brayan Vera
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Maxi Moralez
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Nicolás Fernández
  • 81'
    Card · Yellow Card · Olger Escobar
  • 77'
    Card · Red Card · Tayvon Gray
  • 77'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tayvon Gray
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Prince-Osei Owusu
  • 74'
    Card · Yellow Card · Tayvon Gray
  • 70'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Samuel Piette
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Arnau Farnos
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Agustin Ojeda
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Keaton Parks
  • 63'
    Card · Yellow Card · Samuel Piette
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · N. Streit
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 18'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Prince-Osei Owusu
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CF MONTREAL WIN
2.90
34.5% implied
↑ best 3.11
DRAW
3.41
29.3% implied
↑ best 3.50
NEW YORK CITY FC WIN
2.33
42.9% implied
↑ best 2.40

Market favors New York City FC. AI projects CF MONTREAL 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CF MONTREAL 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.92 3.45 2.28 +3.8%
888Sport 2.70 3.30 2.40 +1.7%
Bet365 2.90 3.50 2.38 +3.5%
Betano 2.95 3.45 2.37 +4.1%
Betfair 2.88 3.50 2.25 +3.4%
BetVictor 2.88 3.40 2.30 +3.3%
Dafabet 3.10 3.50 2.32 +5.7%
Marathonbet 2.89 3.34 2.34 +3.4%
Pinnacle 3.11 3.46 2.36 +5.8%
SBO 2.78 3.29 2.34 +2.0%
Unibet 2.88 3.50 2.32 +3.4%
William Hill 2.80 3.25 2.30 +2.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.24 U 3.83
2.5 O 1.81 U 1.98
3.5 O 2.99 U 1.37
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.62 9 bks
NO
2.17 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.51
Away -0.5 1.41
Away -0.75 1.28
Away -1 1.16
Away -1.25 1.11
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.