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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · CEREZO OSAKA 48%
CONF 38 FULL ANALYSIS →
J1 League · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SAT, 08 AUG · 10:00 LOCAL
CEREZO OSAKA
2ND · 31 PTS · LAST 5:
D W W W D
54'
2 – 1
HT · 2-1
FAGIANO OKAYAMA
W D L W W
· 6TH · 26 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 20' Solomon Sakuragawa ⚽ 24' Yumeki Yokoyama
GOALS
⚽ 8' Noah Kenshin Browne
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Fagiano Okayama · 46'

LIVE
FAGIANO CEREZO O

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

CEREZO O FAGIANO
⚽ 24' CEREZO OSA FAGIANO OK 24' 39' 54'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 54'

54%
BALL POSSESSION %
46%
4
TOTAL SHOTS
14
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
76%
PASS ACCURACY %
71%
4
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 4 events
  1. 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Noah Kenshin Browne · assist Yoshitake Suzuki
    FAG
  2. 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Solomon Sakuragawa · assist Kosei Okazawa
    CER
  3. 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Yumeki Yokoyama · assist Shinji Kagawa
    CER
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Masaya Matsumoto · assist Oberdan Alionço
    FAG
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
4.0
TOTAL SHOTS
14.0
3.0
ON TARGET
4.0
0.0
OFF TARGET
9.0
1.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
54.0%
POSSESSION %
46.0%
215.0
PASSES
177.0
76.0%
PASS ACCURACY
71.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
6.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CEREZO OSAKA 3 shots
Solomon Sakuragawa
1/1
Yumeki Yokoyama
1/1
Shunta Tanaka
1/1
FAGIANO OKAYAMA 6 shots
Yoshitake Suzuki
1/3
Noah Kenshin Browne
2/2
Hiroshi Omori
1/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
2
EVENTS LOGGED
2
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
3-4-2-1
23
KOSUKE NA
 7.3
4
RIKITO IN
44
SHINNOSUK
27
DION COOL
22
NIKO TAKA
 6.9
10
SHUNTA TA
 6.9
28
KOSEI OKA
2
TAKUMI NA
 7.7
14
YUMEKI YO
8
SHINJI KA
 8.2
9
SOLOMON S
13
SHUN MATS
 6.5
43
YOSHITAKE
48
YUGO TATS
 6.7
6
HIROSHI O
 7.5
79
NOAH KENS
 7.2
41
EIJI MIYA
28
MASAYA MA
 6.9
51
KOSUKE SH
8
ATARU ESA
10
SANG-HO N
99
LUCãO
SUBSTITUTES · CEREZO OSAKA
5
Hinata Kida
M
11
Thiago Andra...
F
77
Lucas Fernan...
M
41
Yota Komi
F
97
Travis Takah...
D
66
Ayumu Ohata
D
16
Hayato Okuda
D
31
Koto Abe
G
7
Satoki Uejo
M
COACH: Pablo Machin
SUBSTITUTES · FAGIANO OKAYAMA
20
Kota Kawano
F
80
Oberdan Alio...
M
17
Rui Sueyoshi
M
44
Soichiro Mor...
D
33
Yuta Kamiya
M
88
Towa Yamane
M
77
Goro Kawanam...
G
22
Kazunari Ich...
F
COACH: Takashi Kiyama
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CER · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

FAG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
TBA
~24h before kick-off
CER MANAGER
Pablo Machin
head coach
FAG MANAGER
Takashi Kiyama
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
6
CER WINS
3
DRAWS
1
FAG WINS
60%
30%
10%
15 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 4 / 10
24 May 2026
Fagiano Okayama
2 – 3
Cerezo Osaka
W
18 Mar 2026
Cerezo Osaka
1 – 2
Fagiano Okayama
L
18 Oct 2025
Fagiano Okayama
1 – 2
Cerezo Osaka
W
02 Apr 2025
Cerezo Osaka
2 – 1
Fagiano Okayama
W
CEREZO OSAKA LAST 5 OVERALL
D W W W D
FAGIANO OKAYAMA LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L W W
LIVE IMPACT Currently 2–1 · scenario projection
CEREZO OSAKA #2
If win holds: 34 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
FAGIANO OKAYAMA #5
If loss holds: 26 pts
Promotion - J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
1 Kashima 17 14 0 3 +19 42
W W W W L
1 Vissel Kobe 17 10 0 7 +3 32
L W L W L
1 Kashima 18 15 0 3 +20 45
W W W W W
1 Vissel Kobe 18 11 0 7 +4 35
W L W L W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
W W W L W
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
L W W L W
2 Nagoya Grampus 17 10 0 7 +4 31
L W W W L
2 FC Tokyo 17 13 0 4 +15 37
W W L W W
2 Cerezo Osaka 18 11 0 7 +9 31
2 FC Tokyo 18 13 0 5 +14 37
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
L L W W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Cerezo Osaka 17 10 0 7 +8 28
W W L W W
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
W L W W W
3 Nagoya Grampus 18 10 0 8 +2 31
3 Machida Zelvia 18 13 0 5 +6 37
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
W W W L L
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
W W L W L
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 17 9 0 8 +6 27
W W L L L
4 Tokyo Verdy 17 10 0 7 +2 28
W L L L W
4 Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 10 0 8 +8 30
4 Kawasaki Frontale 18 10 0 8 -2 28
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
W L L W L
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
L W L L L
5 Fagiano Okayama 17 8 0 9 -2 26
W W L W W
5 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
5 Gamba Osaka 18 10 0 8 +6 28
5 Tokyo Verdy 18 10 0 8 -4 28
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
L W W L W
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
L L W W W
6 Gamba Osaka 17 9 0 8 +5 25
L L W L W
6 Kawasaki Frontale 17 9 0 8 -4 25
W L W L L
6 Fagiano Okayama 18 8 0 10 -3 26
6 Urawa 18 7 0 11 +3 25
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
L L W W W
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
W L L L L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 17 8 0 9 -1 24
L W W W L
7 Mito Hollyhock 17 6 0 11 -14 18
L L L W L
7 Shimizu S-pulse 18 8 0 10 -2 24
7 Yokohama F. Marinos 18 6 0 12 -3 20
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
W L L L L
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
W W W L L
8 V-varen Nagasaki 17 7 0 10 -7 21
W L W L W
8 Kashiwa Reysol 17 6 0 11 -4 17
W W L L L
8 Kyoto Sanga 18 8 0 10 -6 23
8 Kashiwa Reysol 18 7 0 11 -2 20
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
L W L W L
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
L L L L W
9 Avispa Fukuoka 17 7 0 10 -9 21
L W L W L
9 Yokohama F. Marinos 17 5 0 12 -9 17
L L L L W
9 V-varen Nagasaki 18 7 0 11 -8 21
9 Mito Hollyhock 18 6 0 12 -16 18
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
10 JEF United Chiba 17 3 0 14 -14 12
L L W L L
10 Kyoto Sanga 17 7 0 10 -7 20
L L L L L
10 JEF United Chiba 18 3 0 15 -16 12
L L L W L
10 Avispa Fukuoka 18 7 0 11 -10 21
L L W L W
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Masaya Matsumoto
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 24'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Yumeki Yokoyama
  • 20'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Solomon Sakuragawa
  • 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Noah Kenshin Browne
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
CEREZO OSAKA WIN
2.07
48.3% implied
↑ best 2.15
DRAW
3.38
29.6% implied
↑ best 3.59
FAGIANO OKAYAMA WIN
3.42
29.2% implied
↑ best 3.60

Market favors Cerezo Osaka. AI projects CEREZO OSAKA 48%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CEREZO OSAKA 48% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.10 3.40 3.35 +2.6%
1xBet 2.12 3.48 3.48 +3.3%
888Sport 2.05 3.25 3.30 +1.2%
Bet365 2.10 3.25 3.40 +1.2%
Betano 2.10 3.30 3.40 +1.7%
Betfair 2.05 3.40 3.40 +2.6%
BetVictor 2.15 3.50 3.30 +3.4%
Dafabet 2.14 3.45 3.50 +3.0%
Marathonbet 2.05 3.42 3.42 +2.8%
Pinnacle 2.12 3.59 3.45 +4.1%
SBO 1.85 3.24 3.57 +1.1%
Superbet 2.12 3.40 3.45 +2.6%
Unibet 1.94 3.45 3.60 +3.0%
William Hill 2.05 3.25 3.30 +1.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.26 U 3.54
2.5 O 1.87 U 1.90
3.5 O 3.13 U 1.33
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.70 11 bks
NO
2.03 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.03
Away -0.5 1.78
Away -0.75 1.57
Away -1 1.37
Away -1.25 1.32
Away -1.5 1.24
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.