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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · CELTA VIGO 87%
CONF 81 FULL ANALYSIS →
La Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · SUN, 03 MAY · 12:00 LOCAL
CELTA VIGO
6TH · 54 PTS · LAST 5:
W D L W L
FT
3 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
ELCHE
D W L D W
· 15TH · 43 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 14' Hugo Álvarez ⚽ 30' — ⚽ 85' Borja Iglesias
GOALS
Hugo Álvarez
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Hugo Álvarez
Celta Vigo · 71 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 14% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
7.9
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

61%
BALL POSSESSION %
135%
6
TOTAL SHOTS
15
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
235%
PASS ACCURACY %
536%
4
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 17 events
  1. 14'
    Goal · 1-0
    Hugo Álvarez · assist Javi Rueda
    CEL
  2. 28'
    Card · Foul
    Gonzalo Villar
    ELC
  3. 30'
    Goal · 2-0
    CEL
  4. 41'
    Card · Foul
    Javi Rueda
    CEL
  5. 46'
    Subst
    Manu Fernández · assist Javi Rueda
    CEL
  6. 58'
    Subst
    Víctor Chust · assist David Affengruber
    ELC
  7. 58'
    Subst
    Martim Neto · assist Gonzalo Villar
    ELC
  8. 63'
    Subst
    Jones El-Abdellaoui
    CEL
  9. 69'
    Subst
    Héctor Fort · assist Tete Morente
    ELC
  10. 69'
    Subst
    Josan · assist Adrià Pedrosa
    ELC
  11. 71'
    Subst
    Williot Swedberg · assist Hugo Álvarez
    CEL
  12. 71'
    Subst
    Borja Iglesias · assist Ferran Jutglà
    CEL
  13. 77'
    Subst
    Lucas Cepeda · assist Marc Aguado
    ELC
  14. 78'
    Subst
    Óscar Mingueza · assist Álvaro Núñez
    CEL
  15. 82'
    Penalty · 2-1
    André Silva
    ELC
  16. 83'
    Card · Foul
    Yoel Lago
    CEL
  17. 85'
    Goal · 3-1
    Borja Iglesias · assist Williot Swedberg
    CEL
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CELTA VIGO AVG 7.6
ELCHE AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
6.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
4.0
ON TARGET
4.0
1.0
OFF TARGET
8.0
1.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
61.0%
POSSESSION %
135.0%
308.0
PASSES
596.0
235.0%
PASS ACCURACY
536.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
2.0
21.0
OFFSIDES
13.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
15.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
3.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CELTA VIGO 4 shots
Hugo Álvarez
1/1
Borja Iglesias
1/1
Iago Aspas
1/1
Ferran Jutglà
1/1
ELCHE 3 shots
André Silva
3/3
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 59%
41% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 3-4-1-2
3-4-2-1
3-4-1-2
13
IONUț RAD
14
ALVARO Nú
29
YOEL LAGO
32
JAVI RODR
5
SERGIO CA
6
ILAIX MOR
8
FER LóPEZ
 7.2
17
JAVIER RU
 7.9
23
HUGO ÁLVA
 7.7
10
IAGO ASPA
 7.7
9
FERRAN JU
 6.9
1
MATíAS DI
6
PEDRO BIG
22
DAVID AFF
18
JOHN NWAN
3
ADRIà PED
 7.0
14
ALEIX FEB
8
MARC AGUA
15
TETE MORE
 7.3
12
GONZALO V
 7.3
9
ANDRé SIL
20
ÁLVARO RO
SUBSTITUTES · CELTA VIGO
24
Carlos Domín...
D
3
Óscar Mingue...
D
36
Andrés Antañ...
M
22
Hugo Sotelo
M
21
Mihailo Rist...
D
4
Joseph Aidoo
D
1
Iván Villar
G
7
Borja Iglesi...
F
19
Williot Swed...
M
39
Jones El-Abd...
F
12
Manu Fernánd...
D
18
Pablo Durán
F
COACH: Claudio Giraldez
SUBSTITUTES · ELCHE
19
Grady Dianga...
F
21
Léo Pétrot
D
42
Buba Sangare
D
45
Alejandro It...
G
13
Iñaki Peña
G
17
Josan
M
39
Hector Fort
D
16
Martim Neto
M
23
Víctor Chust
D
24
Lucas Cepeda
F
COACH: Eder Sarabia
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CEL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ELC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. De Burgos
—
CEL MANAGER
Claudio Giraldez
head coach
ELC MANAGER
Eder Sarabia
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
CEL WINS
2
DRAWS
3
ELC WINS
50%
20%
30%
10 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
28 Sep 2025
Elche
2 – 1
Celta Vigo
L
26 Apr 2023
Celta Vigo
1 – 0
Elche
W
06 Jan 2023
Elche
0 – 1
Celta Vigo
W
15 May 2022
Celta Vigo
1 – 0
Elche
W
03 Oct 2021
Elche
1 – 0
Celta Vigo
L
CELTA VIGO LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L W L
ELCHE LAST 5 OVERALL
D W L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–1 · result locked
CELTA VIGO #6
Won · already at 54 pts
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
ELCHE #15
Lost · already at 43 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Barcelona 38 31 1 6 +59 94
L W L W W
2 Real Madrid 38 27 5 6 +42 86
W W W L W
3 Villarreal 38 22 6 10 +26 72
W L L D W
4 Atletico Madrid 38 21 6 11 +18 69
L W W L W
5 Real Betis 38 15 15 8 +11 60
W L W D W
6 Celta Vigo 38 14 12 12 +5 54
W D L W W
7 Getafe 38 15 6 17 -6 51
W L W D L
8 Rayo Vallecano 38 12 14 12 -3 50
W W D D W
9 Valencia 38 13 10 15 -9 49
W W D W L
10 Real Sociedad 38 11 13 14 -2 46
D L D D L
11 Espanyol 38 12 10 16 -12 46
D W W L L
12 Athletic Club 38 13 6 19 -15 45
L D L L W
13 Sevilla 38 12 7 19 -14 43
L L W W W
14 Alaves 38 11 10 17 -12 43
L W W D L
15 Elche 38 10 13 15 -8 43
D W L D L
16 Levante 38 11 9 18 -14 42
L W W W L
17 Osasuna 38 11 9 18 -6 42
L L L L L
18 Mallorca 38 11 9 18 -10 42
W L L D W
19 Girona 38 9 14 15 -16 41
D L D D L
20 Oviedo 38 6 11 21 -34 29
L L L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 85'
    Goal · 3-1 · Borja Iglesias
    3rd Goal
  • 83'
    Card · Foul · Yoel Lago
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 82'
    Penalty · 2-1 · André Silva
    1st Penalty
  • 78'
    Subst · Óscar Mingueza
    10th Substitution
  • 77'
    Subst · Lucas Cepeda
    9th Substitution
  • 71'
    Subst · Borja Iglesias
    7th Substitution
  • 71'
    Subst · Williot Swedberg
    8th Substitution
  • 69'
    Subst · Josan
    6th Substitution
  • 69'
    Subst · Héctor Fort
    5th Substitution
  • 63'
    Subst · Jones El-Abdellaoui
    4th Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Martim Neto
    3rd Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Víctor Chust
    2nd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Manu Fernández
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 41'
    Card · Foul · Javi Rueda
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 30'
    Goal · 2-0
    2nd Goal
  • 28'
    Card · Foul · Gonzalo Villar
    1st Yellowcard
  • 14'
    Goal · 1-0 · Hugo Álvarez
    1st Goal
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
CELTA VIGO WIN
1.73
57.8% implied
↑ best 1.78
DRAW
3.92
25.5% implied
↑ best 4.04
ELCHE WIN
4.65
21.5% implied
↑ best 4.88

Market favors Celta Vigo. AI projects CELTA VIGO 87%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CELTA VIGO 87% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.70 3.80 4.55 +28.2%
1xBet 1.78 4.04 4.88 +30.8%
Bet365 1.70 3.90 4.75 +28.2%
Betano 1.78 4.00 4.80 +30.8%
Betfair 1.67 3.90 4.75 +27.1%
BetVictor 1.70 4.00 4.60 +28.2%
Dafabet 1.73 4.00 4.70 +29.2%
Marathonbet 1.75 3.98 4.80 +29.9%
Pinnacle 1.75 4.03 4.73 +29.9%
SBO 1.69 3.71 4.24 +27.8%
Unibet 1.72 3.90 4.60 +28.9%
William Hill 1.73 3.75 4.40 +29.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.16
2.5 O 1.70 U 2.17
3.5 O 2.70 U 1.44
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.65 9 bks
NO
2.14 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.55
Away -0.5 2.15
Away -0.75 1.90
Away -1 1.65
Away -1.25 1.50
Away -1.5 1.40
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.