GOALSENSE
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Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 26 · THU, 23 APR · 18:00 LOCAL
CASA PIA
16TH · 30 PTS · LAST 5:
D D W L L
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
SC BRAGA
D D L D W
· 4TH · 59 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 37' Pau Victor
Gustaf Lagerbielke
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Gustaf Lagerbielke
SC Braga · 90 mins
· 81% pass acc
RATING
7.6
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

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Primeira Liga: Casa Pia AC vs SC Braga
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Primeira Liga: Casa Pia AC vs SC Braga
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.48
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.47
31%
BALL POSSESSION %
69%
7
TOTAL SHOTS
8
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
71%
PASS ACCURACY %
88%
4
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 18'
    Card · Yellow Card
    David Sousa
    CAS
  2. 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Pau Victor · assist E. Tıknaz
    SC
  3. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    André Geraldes
    CAS
  4. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Pau Victor
    SC
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Claudio Mendes · assist Cassiano
    CAS
  6. 47'
    Card · Yellow Card
    João Moutinho
    SC
  7. 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Dailon Rocha Livramento · assist Oluwakorede Osundina
    CAS
  8. 62'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lukáš Horníček
    SC
  9. 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Pau Victor · assist R. Zalazar
    SC
  10. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Gabriel Martínez · assist Leonardo Lelo
    SC
  11. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Lawrence Ofori · assist Sebastián Pérez
    CAS
  12. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Iyad Mohamed · assist Rafael Brito
    CAS
  13. 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    João Moutinho · assist Fran Navarro
    SC
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CASA PIA AVG 6.8
SC BRAGA AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.5
xG
0.5
7.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
1.0
ON TARGET
2.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
2.0
BLOCKED
2.0
POSSESSION
31.0%
POSSESSION %
69.0%
312.0
PASSES
730.0
71.0%
PASS ACCURACY
88.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
5.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
9.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
1.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CASA PIA 1 shots
Gaizka Larrazabal
1/1
SC BRAGA 2 shots
E. Tıknaz
1/1
Pau Victor
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.48 – 0.47
0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.0 HT 37' H 0.48 A 0.47 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 46%
54% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 3-4-2-1 vs 3-4-1-2
3-4-2-1
3-4-1-2
6.7
1
PATRICK S
43
DAVID SOU
18
ANDRé GER
 6.9
4
JOãO GOUL
75
PEDRO ROS
 6.6
80
LAWRENCE
24
IYAD MOHA
 7.2
72
GAIZKA LA
10
DAILON RO
29
JéRéMY LI
99
CLAUDIO M
1
LUKáš HOR
 7.3
17
GABRIEL M
15
PAULO OLI
 7.6
14
GUSTAF LA
77
GABRIEL M
 7.2
8
JOãO MOUT
29
JEAN-BAPT
2
VICTOR Gó
 7.2
34
E. TıKNAZ
21
RICARDO H
 7.0
18
PAU VICTO
SUBSTITUTES · CASA PIA
19
Kevin Prieto
F
8
Rafael Brito
M
90
Cassiano
F
13
Oluwakorede...
F
21
Tiago Morais
F
32
Kiki Silva
F
42
Sebastián Pé...
M
95
Ivan Mandić
G
3
Domingos Jos...
D
COACH: Alvaro Pacheco
SUBSTITUTES · SC BRAGA
9
Amine El Oua...
F
10
R. Zalazar
M
39
Fran Navarro
F
20
Mario Dorgel...
M
41
Yanis da Roc...
M
5
Leonardo Lel...
D
6
Vítor Carval...
M
12
Tiago Sá
G
90
Luís Pinto
M
COACH: Carlos Vicens
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

SC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
F. Verissimo
—
CAS MANAGER
Alvaro Pacheco
head coach
SC MANAGER
Carlos Vicens
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
3
CAS WINS
1
DRAWS
6
SC WINS
30%
10%
60%
10 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
26 Oct 2025
SC Braga
4 – 0
Casa Pia
L
10 May 2025
Casa Pia
2 – 1
SC Braga
W
29 Dec 2024
SC Braga
1 – 2
Casa Pia
W
05 May 2024
SC Braga
4 – 3
Casa Pia
L
30 Dec 2023
Casa Pia
1 – 3
SC Braga
L
CASA PIA LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W L L
SC BRAGA LAST 5 OVERALL
D D L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
CASA PIA #16
Lost · already at 30 pts
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
SC BRAGA #4
Won · already at 59 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · João Moutinho
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Iyad Mohamed
  • 71'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Lawrence Ofori
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Gabriel Martínez
  • 62'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Pau Victor
  • 62'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lukáš Horníček
    Time wasting
  • 61'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Dailon Rocha Livramento
  • 47'
    Card · Yellow Card · João Moutinho
    Foul
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Claudio Mendes
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · Pau Victor
    Foul
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · André Geraldes
    Argument
  • 37'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Pau Victor
  • 18'
    Card · Yellow Card · David Sousa
    Time wasting
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
CASA PIA WIN
5.48
18.2% implied
↑ best 6.20
DRAW
3.87
25.8% implied
↑ best 4.10
SC BRAGA WIN
1.61
62.1% implied
↑ best 1.66
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
10Bet 5.75 3.85 1.57
1xBet 5.67 4.00 1.66
888Sport 5.00 3.75 1.62
Bet365 5.25 3.90 1.62
Betano 6.20 4.10 1.62
Betfair 5.50 3.90 1.57
BetVictor 5.25 3.70 1.57
Dafabet 5.60 3.95 1.64
Marathonbet 5.45 3.84 1.59
Pinnacle 5.71 4.03 1.63
SBO 5.32 3.73 1.58
Unibet 5.60 3.75 1.60
William Hill 5.00 3.75 1.62

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.31 U 3.27
2.5 O 1.99 U 1.80
3.5 O 3.49 U 1.27
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.96 10 bks
NO
1.76 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.16
Away -0.5 1.15
Away -0.75 1.06
Away -1 1.01
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.20
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.