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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · BENFICA 40%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 2 · MON, 17 AUG · 19:15 LOCAL
CASA PIA
16TH · 30 PTS · LAST 5:
L D D W L
82'
0 – 7
HT · 0-2
BENFICA
D D W W L
· 3RD · 80 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 3' Gianluca Prestianni ⚽ 14' Rafa Silva ⚽ 47' Vangelis Pavlidis ⚽ 49' Vangelis Pavlidis ⚽ 54' Vangelis Pavlidis ⚽ 58' Lawrence Ofori (OG) ⚽ 61' Jhon Durán
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Casa Pia · 80'

LIVE
BENFICA CASA PIA

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

CASA PIA BENFICA
⚽ 54' ⚽ 58' ⚽ 61' CASA PIA BENFICA 52' 67' 82'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 82'

0.11
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
3.02
35%
BALL POSSESSION %
65%
2
TOTAL SHOTS
19
0
SHOTS ON TARGET
8
78%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
1
CORNERS
3
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 3'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gianluca Prestianni
    BEN
  2. 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Rafa Silva · assist Vangelis Pavlidis
    BEN
  3. 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Vangelis Pavlidis
    BEN
  4. 49'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Vangelis Pavlidis
    BEN
  5. 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Vangelis Pavlidis · assist Leandro Barreiro
    BEN
  6. 58'
    Goal · Own Goal
    Lawrence Ofori
    BEN
  7. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Kevin Prieto · assist Oluwakorede Osundina
    CAS
  8. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Gabi Pereira · assist Alassana Jatta
    CAS
  9. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Vangelis Pavlidis · assist Jhon Durán
    BEN
  10. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tomás Araújo · assist Manu Silva
    BEN
  11. 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Rafa Silva · assist Andreas Schjelderup
    BEN
  12. 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jhon Durán · assist Alexander Bah
    BEN
  13. 62'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Sebastián Pérez
    CAS
  14. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Sebastián Pérez · assist Selvi Clúa
    CAS
  15. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Enzo Barrenechea · assist Richard Ríos
    BEN
  16. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Henrique Araújo · assist Pedro Rosas
    CAS
  17. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Rochinha · assist Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
    CAS
  18. 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Georgiy Sudakov · assist Dodi Lukebakio
    BEN
  19. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
    CAS
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.1
xG
3.0
2.0
TOTAL SHOTS
19.0
0.0
ON TARGET
8.0
2.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
0.0
BLOCKED
7.0
POSSESSION
35.0%
POSSESSION %
65.0%
295.0
PASSES
544.0
78.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
1.0
CORNERS
3.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
9.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CASA PIA 0 shots

No shots recorded.

BENFICA 8 shots
Vangelis Pavlidis
3/3
Gianluca Prestianni
1/3
Rafa Silva
1/1
Jhon Durán
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.11 – 3.02
2.4 1.8 1.2 0.6 3.0 0.0 HT 3' 14' 47' 49' 54' 58' 61' H 0.11 A 3.02 KO 30' 60' 82'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 37%
63% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
12
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-2-3-1
4-3-3
4-2-3-1
31
ANDRé GOM
5
ABDU CONT
43
DAVID SOU
4
JOãO GOUL
18
ANDRé GER
8
GABI PERE
80
LAWRENCE
24
SEBASTIáN
10
ROCHINHA
 6.3
9
HENRIQUE
 6.2
19
KEVIN PRI
24
SAMUEL SO
26
SAMUEL DA
 7.3
2
CLéMENT L
44
TOMáS ARA
6
ALEXANDER
5
ENZO BARR
18
LEANDRO B
 8.3
25
GIANLUCA
10
GEORGIY S
 7.7
27
RAFA SILV
 10.0
14
VANGELIS
SUBSTITUTES · CASA PIA
11
Raúl Blanco
M
99
Claudio Mend...
F
13
Oluwakorede...
F
20
Alassana Jat...
F
16
Selvi Clúa
M
59
Abdu Dafe
M
27
Kaique Rocha
D
75
Pedro Rosas
D
3
Domingos Jos...
D
22
Daniel Azeve...
G
95
Ivan Mandić
G
90
Cassiano
F
COACH: Filipe Coelho
SUBSTITUTES · BENFICA
13
Jakub Kamińs...
M
11
Dodi Lukebak...
F
21
Andreas Schj...
F
72
Anísio Cabra...
F
20
Richard Ríos
M
16
Manu Silva
M
73
Miguel Figue...
M
58
Daniel Banja...
D
62
José Neto
D
33
Gabriel Indi...
D
1
Anatoliy Tru...
G
22
Jhon Durán
F
COACH: Marco Silva
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CAS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

BEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Joao Pedro Pinheiro, Portugal
—
CAS MANAGER
Filipe Coelho
head coach
BEN MANAGER
Marco Silva
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
CAS WINS
3
DRAWS
4
BEN WINS
12.5%
37.5%
50%
7 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 8
06 Apr 2026
Casa Pia
1 – 1
Benfica
D
09 Nov 2025
Benfica
2 – 2
Casa Pia
D
25 Jan 2025
Casa Pia
3 – 1
Benfica
W
17 Aug 2024
Benfica
3 – 0
Casa Pia
L
17 Mar 2024
Casa Pia
0 – 1
Benfica
L
CASA PIA LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D W L
BENFICA LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W W L
LIVE IMPACT Currently 0–7 · scenario projection
CASA PIA #16
If loss holds: 30 pts
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
BENFICA #3
If win holds: 83 pts
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 34 28 4 2 +48 88
W L W W W
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 +65 82
W W W D D
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 +49 80
W D D W W
4 SC Braga 34 16 11 7 +28 59
D D D L W
5 Famalicao 34 15 11 8 +13 56
W D D W D
6 GIL Vicente 34 13 11 10 +9 50
L L D W L
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 -12 43
D L W L W
8 Arouca 34 12 6 16 -17 42
W W D L W
9 Guimaraes 34 12 6 16 -12 42
L L L W W
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 -3 39
L D D L L
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 -17 39
L D L W L
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 -22 36
D L D L D
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 -9 36
L W D W D
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 -8 34
W L L W W
15 Estrela 34 6 12 16 -18 30
D D L L L
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 -26 30
D W L L L
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 -28 28
L W W D L
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 -40 21
D W W D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Domingos Jose Gabriel Bandeira
    Roughing
  • 78'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Georgiy Sudakov
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Rochinha
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Henrique Araújo
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Enzo Barrenechea
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Sebastián Pérez
  • 62'
    Card · Yellow Card · Sebastián Pérez
    Foul
  • 61'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jhon Durán
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Rafa Silva
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tomás Araújo
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Vangelis Pavlidis
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Gabi Pereira
  • 59'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Kevin Prieto
  • 58'
    Goal · Own Goal · Lawrence Ofori
  • 54'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Vangelis Pavlidis
  • 49'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Vangelis Pavlidis
  • 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Vangelis Pavlidis
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 2
  • 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Rafa Silva
  • 3'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gianluca Prestianni
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
CASA PIA WIN
13.97
7.2% implied
↑ best 16.50
DRAW
6.51
15.4% implied
↑ best 7.47
BENFICA WIN
1.19
84% implied
↑ best 1.23

Market favors Benfica. AI projects BENFICA 40%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BENFICA 40% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 13.00 6.20 1.20 +20.3%
1xBet 16.50 7.47 1.19 +21.9%
888Sport 13.00 6.50 1.18 +20.3%
Bet365 15.00 6.50 1.18 +21.3%
Betano 16.50 6.70 1.23 +21.9%
Betfair 15.00 6.50 1.18 +21.3%
BetVictor 13.00 6.00 1.17 +20.3%
Dafabet 14.00 7.00 1.21 +20.9%
Marathonbet 14.75 6.55 1.18 +21.2%
Pinnacle 14.72 7.05 1.20 +21.2%
SBO 10.12 5.61 1.21 +18.1%
Unibet 13.00 6.00 1.22 +20.3%
William Hill 13.00 6.50 1.18 +20.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.15 U 4.85
2.5 O 1.53 U 2.38
3.5 O 2.36 U 1.56
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.19 10 bks
NO
1.61 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away +0 1.03
Away +0.25 1.09
Away +0.5 1.20
Away +0.75 1.21
Away +1 1.26
Away +1.25 1.44
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.