GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · CAMBUUR 38%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Eredivisie · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · FRI, 07 AUG · 18:00 LOCAL
CAMBUUR
3'
0 – 0
EXCELSIOR
GOALS
⚽ 17' Irakli Yegoian ⚽ 31' Noah Naujoks ⚽ 42' D. Garden ⚽ 69' Noah Naujoks
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Excelsior · 90'

LIVE
EXCELSIO CAMBUUR

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

CAMBUUR EXCELSIO
CAMBUUR EXCELSIOR 0' 1' 3'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 3'

0.70
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
3.35
46%
BALL POSSESSION %
54%
11
TOTAL SHOTS
19
2
SHOTS ON TARGET
10
84%
PASS ACCURACY %
82%
5
CORNERS
8
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Irakli Yegoian · assist Gyan de Regt
    EXC
  2. 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Noah Naujoks · assist Irakli Yegoian
    EXC
  3. 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    D. Garden · assist Simon Janssen
    EXC
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ryan van de Pavert · assist Sami Bouhoudane
    CAM
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Rik Mulders · assist Morgan Costarelli
    CAM
  6. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Lucas Jetten · assist Ethan Apkakou
    CAM
  7. 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Noah Naujoks · assist Simon Janssen
    EXC
  8. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    D. Garden · assist Nesto Groen
    EXC
  9. 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Nolan Martens · assist Casper Widell
    EXC
  10. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Irakli Yegoian · assist Aymen Sliti
    EXC
  11. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Simon Janssen · assist Osman Turay
    EXC
  12. 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Skye Vink · assist Wessel van der Goot
    CAM
  13. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Gyan de Regt · assist Ilano Silva Timas
    EXC
  14. 90'+2
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside
    Ilano Silva Timas
    EXC
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.7
xG
3.4
11.0
TOTAL SHOTS
19.0
2.0
ON TARGET
10.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
4.0
3.0
BLOCKED
5.0
POSSESSION
46.0%
POSSESSION %
54.0%
377.0
PASSES
431.0
84.0%
PASS ACCURACY
82.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
8.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
6.0
FOULS
11.0
5.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CAMBUUR 3 shots
Iwan Henstra
1/2
Skye Vink
0/1
EXCELSIOR 7 shots
David Garden
2/3
Noah Naujoks
2/3
Irakli Yegoian
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.70 – 3.35
2.7 2 1.3 0.7 3.4 0.0 HT 17' 31' 42' 69' H 0.70 A 3.35 KO 30' 60' 3'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 29%
71% A
4
EVENTS LOGGED
10
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-3-3 vs 4-3-3
4-3-3
4-3-3
7.5
1
THIJS JAN
23
LUCAS JET
6
JAMAL AMO
4
ISMAëL BA
16
RIK MULDE
 6.9
8
NICKY SOU
10
RAFIK EL
14
RYAN VAN
 7.2
11
ILYES HAM
 6.6
9
SKYE VINK
 7.5
29
IWAN HENS
 7.7
1
STIJN VAN
 8.3
15
SIMON JAN
14
JAN PLUG
3
RICK MEIS
17
NOLAN MAR
20
LENNARD H
 8.2
10
NOAH NAUJ
6
DANIEL VA
11
GYAN DE R
 8.2
19
DAVID GAR
 8.6
8
IRAKLI YE
SUBSTITUTES · CAMBUUR
40
Wessel van d...
M
18
Wiebe van de...
M
48
Damian Weste...
M
15
Fabian Kvam
F
3
Jorn Berkhou...
D
33
Buddy Vogelz...
D
24
Matthijs Kal...
G
21
Jasper Meijs...
G
17
Ethan Apkako...
M
7
Sami Bouhoud...
F
28
Morgan Costa...
D
13
Nicolas Bind...
F
COACH: Johan Plat
SUBSTITUTES · EXCELSIOR
5
Stan Henderi...
D
21
Ilano Silva...
F
34
Noa el Hamda...
M
18
Valentin Sul...
M
24
Giuliano Cai...
M
22
Osman Turay
D
16
Celton Biai
G
7
Aymen Sliti
F
28
Nesto Groen
F
4
Casper Widel...
D
23
Yaqub Finey
M
COACH: Ruben den Uil
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CAM · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

EXC · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
—
CAM MANAGER
Johan Plat
head coach
EXC MANAGER
Ruben den Uil
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
CAM WINS
1
DRAWS
4
EXC WINS
50%
10%
40%
16 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.90
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 2 / 10
19 Mar 2023
Excelsior
4 – 1
Cambuur
L
06 Aug 2022
Cambuur
0 – 2
Excelsior
L
CAMBUUR LAST 5 OVERALL
L L
EXCELSIOR LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W D
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 PSV Eindhoven 34 27 3 4 +56 84
W W D W W
2 Feyenoord 34 19 8 7 +26 65
W D W W D
3 NEC Nijmegen 34 16 11 7 +24 59
W L D D D
4 Twente 34 15 13 6 +19 58
L W D D W
5 Ajax 34 14 14 6 +21 56
D L D W W
6 Utrecht 34 15 8 11 +13 53
W W W L W
7 AZ Alkmaar 34 14 10 10 +7 52
D D D D W
8 Heerenveen 34 14 9 11 +4 51
D L W W L
9 Groningen 34 14 6 14 +4 48
W W L L D
10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 12 7 15 -22 43
L L D L L
11 Fortuna Sittard 34 11 6 17 -14 39
L W L L D
12 GO Ahead Eagles 34 8 14 12 +1 38
L L D D D
13 Excelsior 34 10 8 16 -13 38
W D W W D
14 Telstar 34 9 10 15 -6 37
W W D W L
15 PEC Zwolle 34 9 10 15 -27 37
L L W L D
16 FC Volendam 34 8 8 18 -20 32
L D L W L
17 NAC Breda 34 6 11 17 -23 29
D W L L D
18 Heracles 34 5 4 25 -50 19
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 90'+2
    Var · Goal Disallowed - offside · Ilano Silva Timas
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Gyan de Regt
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Skye Vink
  • 81'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Simon Janssen
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Irakli Yegoian
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Nolan Martens
  • 74'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · D. Garden
  • 69'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Noah Naujoks
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Lucas Jetten
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Rik Mulders
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ryan van de Pavert
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 3
  • 42'
    Goal · Normal Goal · D. Garden
  • 31'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Noah Naujoks
  • 17'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Irakli Yegoian
14 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 14 BOOKMAKERS
CAMBUUR WIN
2.57
38.9% implied
↑ best 2.68
DRAW
3.40
29.4% implied
↑ best 3.65
EXCELSIOR WIN
2.59
38.6% implied
↑ best 2.70

Market favors Cambuur. AI projects CAMBUUR 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS CAMBUUR 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.56 3.45 2.56 +3.0%
1xBet 2.66 3.44 2.67 +2.9%
888Sport 2.50 3.25 2.50 +1.2%
Bet365 2.62 3.40 2.62 +2.6%
Betano 2.67 3.30 2.67 +1.7%
Betfair 2.60 3.40 2.55 +2.6%
BetVictor 2.60 3.60 2.60 +4.2%
Dafabet 2.50 3.65 2.70 +4.6%
Marathonbet 2.60 3.35 2.57 +2.1%
Pinnacle 2.68 3.51 2.63 +3.5%
SBO 2.33 3.31 2.51 +1.8%
Superbet 2.60 3.40 2.67 +2.6%
Unibet 2.60 3.35 2.55 +2.1%
William Hill 2.50 3.25 2.50 +1.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.21 U 4.09
2.5 O 1.73 U 2.08
3.5 O 2.76 U 1.42
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.56 11 bks
NO
2.29 11 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.65
Away -0.5 1.49
Away -0.75 1.34
Away -1 1.20
Away -1.25 1.15
Away -1.5 1.13
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.