Tercera División RFEF - Group 18
·
·
CALVO SOTELO
FT
1
–
0
FULL TIME
CAZALEGAS
⚽ 90+4' Malano
GOALS
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 54/100
MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
CAL
CAZ
most likely scoreline · 13.4% probability
FT
1 – 0
→
🤖
AI PROJECTED FT
2 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN
HOW AI SEES THE MATCH
FINAL · VERIFIED
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
CALVO SOTELO TO WIN
AI consensus across 62% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.
CONF 62%
OVER 1.5 ✓
4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS
Early 0-0 but Calvo Sotelo's strong home record and H2H dominance favours home win.
🤖 AI REASONING
why AI picked this
WHY CALVO SOTELO FAVORED
Calvo Sotelo unbeaten at home (WW) vs Cazalegas poor away form (LL)
CONTEXT
H2H strongly favours home (4 of last 5 meetings won by Calvo Sotelo)
CONTEXT
Only 12 minutes played; early scoreline neutral but form/history favour home
CONTEXT
WHY CAZALEGAS CHALLENGED
Calvo Sotelo unbeaten at home (WW) vs Cazalegas poor away form (LL)
CONTEXT
H2H strongly favours home (4 of last 5 meetings won by Calvo Sotelo)
CONTEXT
Only 12 minutes played; early scoreline neutral but form/history favour home
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
- Calvo Sotelo unbeaten at home (WW) vs Cazalegas poor away form (LL)
- H2H strongly favours home (4 of last 5 meetings won by Calvo Sotelo)
- Only 12 minutes played; early scoreline neutral but form/history favour home
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE
PROBABILITY TIMELINE
How AI re-projects after each event
H
DRAW
A
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 1 event marked
→ Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX
SCORELINE PROBABILITY
All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0%
13.4%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.5
3.8
1.3
0.3
·
·
·
1
12.2
8.4
2.9
0.7
0.1
·
·
2
13.4
9.3
3.2
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
9.9
6.8
2.4
0.5
0.1
·
·
4
5.5
3.8
1.3
0.3
·
·
·
5
2.4
1.7
0.6
0.1
·
·
·
6+
0.9
0.6
0.2
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0
13.4%
1 — 0
12.2%
3 — 0
9.9%
2 — 1
9.3%
1 — 1
8.4%
Top 5 = 53.2% · rest 46.8%