GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–2 · ATALANTA 49%
CONF 58 FULL ANALYSIS →
Serie A · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · MON, 27 APR · 16:30 LOCAL
CAGLIARI
14TH · 43 PTS · LAST 5:
W W L D L
FT
3 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 2-2
ATALANTA
D L W D D
· 7TH · 59 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 1' Paul Mendy ⚽ 8' Paul Mendy ⚽ 47' Gennaro Borrelli
GOALS
⚽ 40' Gianluca Scamacca ⚽ 45' Gianluca Scamacca
Gianluca Scamacca
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Gianluca Scamacca
Atalanta · 93 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 17% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 6 CLIPS

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📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

1.51
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.16
27%
BALL POSSESSION %
73%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
9
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
68%
PASS ACCURACY %
87%
4
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 1'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Paul Mendy · assist Michel Adopo
    CAG
  2. 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Paul Mendy
    CAG
  3. 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gianluca Scamacca
    ATA
  4. 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gianluca Scamacca · assist Giorgio Scalvini
    ATA
  5. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Paul Mendy · assist Gennaro Borrelli
    CAG
  6. 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Gennaro Borrelli
    CAG
  7. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Alessandro Deiola · assist Sulemana
    CAG
  8. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Sebastiano Esposito · assist Marco Palestra
    CAG
  9. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Raoul Bellanova · assist Nikola Krstović
    ATA
  10. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Davide Zappacosta · assist Nicola Zalewski
    ATA
  11. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Juan Rodríguez · assist Alberto Dossena
    CAG
  12. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    S. Kolašinac · assist Odilon Kossounou
    ATA
  13. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Marten de Roon · assist Éderson
    ATA
  14. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Charles De Ketelaere · assist Lazar Samardžić
    ATA
  15. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Gennaro Borrelli · assist Andrea Belotti
    CAG
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
CAGLIARI AVG 7.4
ATALANTA AVG 7.2
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.5
xG
1.2
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
4.0
ON TARGET
5.0
3.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
2.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
27.0%
POSSESSION %
73.0%
265.0
PASSES
735.0
68.0%
PASS ACCURACY
87.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
5.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
3.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
11.0
4.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
CAGLIARI 4 shots
Paul Mendy
2/2
Gennaro Borrelli
1/2
ATALANTA 5 shots
Gianluca Scamacca
3/4
Berat Djimsiti
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.51 – 1.16
1.2 0.9 0.6 0.3 1.5 0.0 HT 1' 8' 47' 40' 45' H 1.51 A 1.16 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-3-2 vs 3-4-2-1
5-3-2
3-4-2-1
1
ELIA CAPR
33
ADAM OBER
15
JUAN RODR
26
YERRY MIN
32
Zé PEDRO
 7.2
8
MICHEL AD
90
MICHAEL F
14
ALESSANDR
 7.3
10
GIANLUCA
 8.3
31
PAUL MEND
94
SEBASTIAN
 6.9
29
MARCO CAR
 6.7
23
S. KOLAšI
 6.9
19
BERAT DJI
 7.0
42
GIORGIO S
77
DAVIDE ZA
8
M. PAšALI
15
MARTEN DE
16
RAOUL BEL
18
GIACOMO R
17
CHARLES D
 8.5
9
GIANLUCA
SUBSTITUTES · CAGLIARI
28
Gabriele Zap...
D
27
Joseph Litet...
M
20
Agustín Alba...
F
19
Andrea Belot...
F
37
Yael Trepy
F
18
Othniël Rate...
D
24
Giuseppe Cio...
G
12
Alen Sherri
G
22
Alberto Doss...
D
2
Marco Palest...
D
25
Sulemana
M
29
Gennaro Borr...
F
9
Semih Kılıçs...
F
COACH: Fabio Pisacane
SUBSTITUTES · ATALANTA
4
Isak Hien
D
3
Odilon Kosso...
D
10
Lazar Samard...
M
6
Yunus Musah
M
13
Éderson
M
69
Honest Ahano...
D
40
R. Obrić
D
5
Mitchel Bakk...
D
57
Marco Sporti...
G
50
P. Pardel
G
90
Nikola Krsto...
F
59
Nicola Zalew...
M
7
Kamaldeen Su...
F
COACH: Raffaele Palladino
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
CAG · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ATA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. L. Sacchi
—
CAG MANAGER
Fabio Pisacane
head coach
ATA MANAGER
Raffaele Palladino
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
CAG WINS
1
DRAWS
7
ATA WINS
20%
10%
70%
9 – 18
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.70
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
13 Dec 2025
Atalanta
2 – 1
Cagliari
L
15 Feb 2025
Atalanta
0 – 0
Cagliari
D
14 Dec 2024
Cagliari
0 – 1
Atalanta
L
07 Apr 2024
Cagliari
2 – 1
Atalanta
W
24 Sep 2023
Atalanta
2 – 0
Cagliari
L
CAGLIARI LAST 5 OVERALL
W W L D L
ATALANTA LAST 5 OVERALL
D L W D D
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–2 · result locked
CAGLIARI #14
Won · already at 43 pts
ATALANTA #7
Lost · already at 59 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Inter 38 27 6 5 +54 87
D D W W D
2 Napoli 38 23 7 8 +22 76
W W L D W
3 AS Roma 38 23 4 11 +28 73
W W W W W
4 Como 38 20 11 7 +36 71
W W W D W
5 AC Milan 38 20 10 8 +18 70
L W L L D
6 Juventus 38 19 12 7 +27 69
D L W D D
7 Atalanta 38 15 14 9 +15 59
D L W D L
8 Bologna 38 16 8 14 +3 56
D W W D L
9 Lazio 38 14 12 12 +1 54
W L L W D
10 Udinese 38 14 8 16 -3 50
L L W W D
11 Sassuolo 38 14 7 17 -4 49
L L L W D
12 Torino 38 12 9 17 -19 45
D L W L D
13 Parma 38 11 12 15 -18 45
W L L L W
14 Cagliari 38 11 10 17 -13 43
W W L D W
15 Fiorentina 38 9 15 14 -9 42
D W D L D
16 Genoa 38 10 11 17 -10 41
L L D D L
17 Lecce 38 10 8 20 -22 38
W W L W D
18 Cremonese 38 8 10 20 -25 34
L W W L L
19 Hellas Verona 38 3 12 23 -36 21
L D L D D
20 Pisa 38 2 12 24 -45 18
L L L L L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Gennaro Borrelli
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Charles De Ketelaere
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Marten de Roon
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · S. Kolašinac
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Juan Rodríguez
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Davide Zappacosta
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Raoul Bellanova
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Sebastiano Esposito
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Alessandro Deiola
  • 47'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gennaro Borrelli
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Paul Mendy
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 2
  • 45'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gianluca Scamacca
  • 40'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Gianluca Scamacca
  • 8'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Paul Mendy
  • 1'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Paul Mendy
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
CAGLIARI WIN
4.66
21.5% implied
↑ best 4.85
DRAW
3.77
26.5% implied
↑ best 3.96
ATALANTA WIN
1.74
57.5% implied
↑ best 1.81

Market favors Atalanta. AI projects ATALANTA 49%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS ATALANTA 49% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 4.85 3.65 1.69 +3.4%
1xBet 4.75 3.96 1.81 +2.9%
888Sport 4.40 3.60 1.73 +1.3%
Bet365 4.75 3.75 1.73 +2.9%
Betano 4.85 3.95 1.78 +3.4%
Betfair 4.75 3.75 1.70 +2.9%
BetVictor 4.60 3.80 1.73 +2.3%
Dafabet 4.70 3.80 1.76 +2.7%
Marathonbet 4.65 3.88 1.77 +2.5%
Pinnacle 4.80 3.95 1.77 +3.2%
SBO 4.42 3.64 1.74 +1.4%
Unibet 4.70 3.70 1.71 +2.7%
William Hill 4.40 3.60 1.73 +1.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.26 U 3.72
2.5 O 1.83 U 1.98
3.5 O 3.01 U 1.36
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.76 10 bks
NO
1.99 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.23
Away -0.5 1.19
Away -0.75 1.10
Away -1 1.02
Away -1.5 1.02
Away +0 1.29
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.