Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
·
·
CABEZA BUEY
FT
2
–
1
FULL TIME
MONTEHERMOSO
⚽ 34' J. Cadavid
⚽ 66' S. Muela
GOALS
⚽ 4' —
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 35/100
LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
CAB
MON
most likely scoreline · 14.2% probability
AI PICKS
DRAW TO WIN
38%
FT
2 – 1
→
🤖
AI PROJECTED FT
1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN
HOW AI SEES THE MATCH
FINAL · VERIFIED
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 12
Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 62% of outcomes with smaller payout.
CONF 62%
avoid: 1X2 single
4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS
Montehermoso scored early (6'); thin data on both teams limits confidence. Draw most likely given early 0-0 pattern.
🤖 AI REASONING
why AI picked this
WHY CABEZA BUEY CHALLENGED
Montehermoso early goal (6') gives away momentum edge
CONTEXT
H2H split — Cabeza won 3-0 away in Dec 2025, now tied at home
CONTEXT
Tercera División data sparse — no season stats, form limited to 1 game each
CONTEXT
WHY MONTEHERMOSO CHALLENGED
Montehermoso early goal (6') gives away momentum edge
CONTEXT
H2H split — Cabeza won 3-0 away in Dec 2025, now tied at home
CONTEXT
Tercera División data sparse — no season stats, form limited to 1 game each
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
- Montehermoso early goal (6') gives away momentum edge
- H2H split — Cabeza won 3-0 away in Dec 2025, now tied at home
- Tercera División data sparse — no season stats, form limited to 1 game each
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE
PROBABILITY TIMELINE
How AI re-projects after each event
H
DRAW
A
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 3 events marked
→ Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX
SCORELINE PROBABILITY
All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0%
14.2%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
14.2
7.5
2.6
0.7
0.1
·
1
12.9
13.5
7.1
2.5
0.7
0.1
·
2
6.1
6.4
3.4
1.2
0.3
0.1
·
3
1.9
2.0
1.1
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 1
14.2%
0 — 0
13.5%
1 — 1
13.5%
1 — 0
12.9%
0 — 2
7.5%
Top 5 = 61.6% · rest 38.4%