GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · BURNLEY 38%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SUN, 16 AUG · 15:00 LOCAL
BURNLEY
LAST 5:
D L D L L
89'
1 – 2
HT · 0-1
WEST HAM
W L L L W
· LAST 5
⚽ 83' Zian Flemming (P)
GOALS
⚽ 10' Max Kilman ⚽ 72' Manor Solomon
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · West Ham · 87'

LIVE
WEST HAM BURNLEY

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

BURNLEY WEST HAM
⚽ 72' ⚽ 83' BURNLEY WEST HAM 59' 74' 89'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 89'

1.15
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.65
42%
BALL POSSESSION %
58%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
9
3
SHOTS ON TARGET
2
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
89%
4
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 12 events
  1. 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Max Kilman · assist Jarrod Bowen
    WES
  2. 33'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mohamadou Kanté
    WES
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Pablo Felipe · assist James Ward-Prowse
    WES
  4. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Ugo Raghouber · assist Josh Laurent
    BUR
  5. 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Hannibal Mejbri · assist Zeki Amdouni
    BUR
  6. 67'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Valentín Castellanos
    WES
  7. 72'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Manor Solomon
    WES
  8. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Aaron Ramsey · assist Armando Broja
    BUR
  9. 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Bashir Humphreys · assist Lucas Pires
    BUR
  10. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jacob Bruun Larsen · assist Mike Trésor
    BUR
  11. 83'
    Goal · Penalty
    Zian Flemming
    BUR
  12. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Oliver Scarles · assist El Hadji Malick Diouf
    WES
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.2
xG
0.7
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
3.0
ON TARGET
2.0
10.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
0.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
42.0%
POSSESSION %
58.0%
291.0
PASSES
409.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
89.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
5.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
9.0
FOULS
7.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BURNLEY 4 shots
Aaron Ramsey
1/3
Hannibal Mejbri
0/1
WEST HAM 2 shots
Max Kilman
1/1
Konstantinos Mavropanos
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.15 – 0.65
0.9 0.7 0.5 0.2 1.2 0.0 HT 83' 10' 72' H 1.15 A 0.65 KO 30' 60' 89'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
6
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
1
MAX WEISS
6
BASHIR HU
3
MAX ALLEY
 6.9
2
KYLE WALK
22
OLIVER SO
8
UGO RAGHO
 6.7
28
HANNIBAL
 7.2
7
JACOB BRU
 6.9
21
AARON RAM
 6.9
10
MARCUS ED
19
ZIAN FLEM
 7.5
1
MADS HERM
 7.6
30
OLIVER SC
 7.9
3
MAX KILMA
 7.3
15
KONSTANTI
2
KYLE WALK
10
MANOR SOL
17
MOHAMADOU
61
LEWIS ORF
 7.2
20
JARROD BO
11
VALENTíN
19
PABLO FEL
SUBSTITUTES · BURNLEY
11
Zeki Amdouni
F
17
Andreas Houn...
F
29
Josh Laurent
M
31
Mike Trésor
F
20
Shurandy Sam...
D
23
Lucas Pires
D
4
Joe Worrall
D
13
Ben Amos
G
27
Armando Broj...
F
COACH: Nicky Hayen
SUBSTITUTES · WEST HAM
66
Joshua Ajala
F
8
James Ward-P...
M
40
George Earth...
M
34
Joël Veltman
D
63
Ezra Mayers
D
12
El Hadji Mal...
D
58
Airidas Gola...
D
23
Alphonse Aré...
G
48
Josh Landers
F
COACH: Nuno Espirito Santo
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BUR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

WES · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Josh Smith, England
—
BUR MANAGER
Nicky Hayen
head coach
WES MANAGER
Nuno Espirito Santo
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
BUR WINS
3
DRAWS
5
WES WINS
20%
30%
50%
11 – 13
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
07 Feb 2026
Burnley
0 – 2
West Ham
L
08 Nov 2025
West Ham
3 – 2
Burnley
L
10 Mar 2024
West Ham
2 – 2
Burnley
D
25 Nov 2023
Burnley
1 – 2
West Ham
L
17 Apr 2022
West Ham
1 – 1
Burnley
D
BURNLEY LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D L L
WEST HAM LAST 5 OVERALL
W L L L W
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
Standings not yet available for this league.
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Oliver Scarles
  • 83'
    Goal · Penalty · Zian Flemming
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jacob Bruun Larsen
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Bashir Humphreys
  • 76'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Aaron Ramsey
  • 72'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Manor Solomon
  • 67'
    Card · Yellow Card · Valentín Castellanos
    Foul
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Hannibal Mejbri
  • 57'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Ugo Raghouber
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Pablo Felipe
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 33'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mohamadou Kanté
    Foul
  • 10'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Max Kilman
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BURNLEY WIN
3.18
31.4% implied
↑ best 3.35
DRAW
3.43
29.2% implied
↑ best 3.55
WEST HAM WIN
2.18
45.9% implied
↑ best 2.23

Market favors West Ham. AI projects BURNLEY 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BURNLEY 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 3.10 3.45 2.18 +6.0%
1xBet 3.22 3.40 2.16 +6.9%
888Sport 3.10 3.30 2.15 +5.7%
Bet365 3.20 3.50 2.15 +6.8%
Betano 3.25 3.50 2.20 +7.2%
Betfair 3.30 3.40 2.15 +7.7%
BetVictor 3.30 3.40 2.15 +7.7%
Dafabet 3.25 3.55 2.23 +7.2%
Marathonbet 3.22 3.40 2.14 +6.9%
Pinnacle 3.35 3.55 2.21 +8.1%
SBO 3.06 3.28 2.18 +5.3%
Unibet 2.95 3.50 2.23 +6.4%
William Hill 3.10 3.30 2.15 +5.7%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.88
2.5 O 1.78 U 2.02
3.5 O 2.88 U 1.39
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.61 10 bks
NO
2.22 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.43
Away -0.5 1.35
Away -0.75 1.23
Away -1 1.10
Away -1.25 1.08
Away -1.5 1.08
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.