GOALSENSE
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Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · WED, 22 APR · 19:00 LOCAL
BURNLEY
19TH · 22 PTS · LAST 5:
D L D L L
FT
0 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 0-1
MANCHESTER CITY
L D W W D
· 2ND · 78 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 5' Erling Haaland
Martin Dúbravka
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Martin Dúbravka
Burnley · 90 mins
· 28% pass acc
RATING
9.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 2 CLIPS

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Premier League: Burnley vs Manchester City
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Premier League: Burnley vs Manchester City
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.63
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
3.36
35%
BALL POSSESSION %
65%
9
TOTAL SHOTS
28
1
SHOTS ON TARGET
9
79%
PASS ACCURACY %
90%
3
CORNERS
11
KEY EVENTS 8 events
  1. 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Erling Haaland · assist Jérémy Doku
    MAN
  2. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    R. Aït-Nouri · assist Nico González
    MAN
  3. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Antoine Semenyo · assist Savinho
    MAN
  4. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Loum Tchaouna · assist Lyle Foster
    BUR
  5. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Zian Flemming · assist Armando Broja
    BUR
  6. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Bashir Humphreys · assist Florentino Luís
    BUR
  7. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Jaidon Anthony · assist Mike Trésor
    BUR
  8. 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Josh Laurent · assist Marcus Edwards
    BUR
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BURNLEY AVG 7.6
MANCHESTER CITY AVG 7.5
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.6
xG
3.4
9.0
TOTAL SHOTS
28.0
1.0
ON TARGET
9.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
9.0
4.0
BLOCKED
10.0
POSSESSION
35.0%
POSSESSION %
65.0%
356.0
PASSES
689.0
79.0%
PASS ACCURACY
90.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
11.0
4.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
12.0
8.0
GK SAVES
1.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BURNLEY 1 shots
Quilindschy Hartman
0/1
MANCHESTER CITY 8 shots
Erling Haaland
2/4
Rayan Cherki
2/4
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.63 – 3.36
2.7 2 1.3 0.7 3.4 0.0 HT 5' H 0.63 A 3.36 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 63%
37% A
5
EVENTS LOGGED
3
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 5-4-1 vs 4-2-3-1
5-4-1
4-2-3-1
9.3
1
MARTIN Dú
 7.2
3
QUILINDSC
 7.2
5
MAXIME ES
18
HJALMAR E
12
BASHIR HU
 6.9
2
KYLE WALK
11
JAIDON AN
29
JOSH LAUR
 7.3
20
JAMES WAR
17
LOUM TCHA
19
ZIAN FLEM
25
GIANLUIGI
21
R. AïT-NO
 7.2
15
MARC GUéH
 7.6
45
A. KHUSAN
27
MATHEUS N
33
NICO O'RE
 7.2
20
BERNARDO
11
JéRéMY DO
 7.6
10
RAYAN CHE
42
ANTOINE S
 7.7
9
ERLING HA
SUBSTITUTES · BURNLEY
16
Florentino L...
M
10
Marcus Edwar...
F
23
Lucas Pires
D
8
Lesley Ugoch...
M
27
Armando Broj...
F
4
Joe Worrall
D
31
Mike Trésor
F
13
Max Weiss
G
9
Lyle Foster
F
COACH: Scott Parker
SUBSTITUTES · MANCHESTER CITY
14
Nico Gonzále...
M
7
Omar Marmous...
F
47
Phil Foden
M
6
Nathan Aké
D
5
John Stones
D
8
Mateo Kovači...
M
4
Tijjani Reij...
M
1
James Traffo...
G
26
Savinho
F
COACH: Pep Guardiola
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BUR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MAN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Madley
—
BUR MANAGER
Scott Parker
head coach
MAN MANAGER
Pep Guardiola
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
BUR WINS
0
DRAWS
10
MAN WINS
100%
2 – 32
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
27 Sep 2025
Manchester City
5 – 1
Burnley
L
31 Jan 2024
Manchester City
3 – 1
Burnley
L
11 Aug 2023
Burnley
0 – 3
Manchester City
L
02 Apr 2022
Burnley
0 – 2
Manchester City
L
16 Oct 2021
Manchester City
2 – 0
Burnley
L
BURNLEY LAST 5 OVERALL
D L D L L
MANCHESTER CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W W D
MATCH IMPACT Final 0–1 · result locked
BURNLEY #19
Lost · already at 22 pts
Relegation - Championship
MANCHESTER CITY #2
Won · already at 78 pts
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 +44 85
W W W W W
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 +42 78
L D W W D
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 +19 71
W W D W W
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 +7 65
W W D L L
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 +10 60
D L D L W
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
D D W W D
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 -6 54
W W D D L
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 +6 53
L L W L W
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 +3 53
D D L W L
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 +6 52
L W D L L
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 -4 52
W D L L W
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 -2 49
L W D W L
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 -3 49
L L D D L
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 -7 47
L W D W D
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 -10 45
L D L D L
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 -3 44
D L D W W
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 -9 41
W L D W W
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 -19 39
W L L L W
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 -37 22
D L D L L
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 -41 20
D D L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Josh Laurent
  • 87'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Jaidon Anthony
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Bashir Humphreys
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Zian Flemming
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Loum Tchaouna
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Antoine Semenyo
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · R. Aït-Nouri
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 5'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Erling Haaland
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BURNLEY WIN
18.43
5.4% implied
↑ best 23.00
DRAW
9.11
11% implied
↑ best 10.00
MANCHESTER CITY WIN
1.14
87.7% implied
↑ best 1.16
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2
10Bet 16.00 7.00 1.16
1xBet 21.00 9.95 1.15
888Sport 15.00 8.50 1.14
Bet365 17.00 9.00 1.14
Betano 19.50 9.25 1.16
Betfair 20.00 9.50 1.13
BetVictor 19.00 9.50 1.12
Dafabet 18.00 9.40 1.14
Marathonbet 22.00 9.70 1.13
Pinnacle 18.25 9.48 1.14
SBO 15.88 8.68 1.12
Unibet 23.00 10.00 1.10
William Hill 15.00 8.50 1.14

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.07 U 7.67
2.5 O 1.30 U 3.42
3.5 O 1.80 U 2.03
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.99 10 bks
NO
1.76 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.75 1.00
Away +0 1.04
Away +0.25 1.06
Away +0.5 1.12
Away +0.75 1.20
Away +1 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.