GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · BRISTOL CITY 38%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SAT, 15 AUG · 14:00 LOCAL
BRISTOL CITY
12TH · 62 PTS · LAST 5:
W L D L D
82'
0 – 2
HT · 0-1
MILLWALL
L D W D W
· 3RD · 83 PTS · LAST 5
GOALS
⚽ 41' Josh Coburn ⚽ 50' Josh Coburn
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Millwall · 64'

LIVE
MILLWALL BRISTOL

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

BRISTOL MILLWALL
BRISTOL CI MILLWALL 52' 67' 82'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 82'

0.50
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
2.77
38%
BALL POSSESSION %
62%
8
TOTAL SHOTS
18
0
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
60%
PASS ACCURACY %
81%
6
CORNERS
4
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 15'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Josh Coburn
    MIL
  2. 23'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Adam Randell
    BRI
  3. 29'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Femi Azeez · assist Kyrell Lisbie
    MIL
  4. 36'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Adam Randell
    BRI
  5. 36'
    Card · Red Card
    Adam Randell
    BRI
  6. 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Josh Coburn
    MIL
  7. 45'
    Card · Yellow Card
    J. Metcalfe
    MIL
  8. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Yu Hirakawa · assist Joe Williams
    BRI
  9. 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Josh Coburn · assist J. Metcalfe
    MIL
  10. 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Lisav Naif Eissat · assist Rio Cardines
    BRI
  11. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Lorent Tolaj · assist Sam Bell
    BRI
  12. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Sam Greenwood · assist Emil Riis Jacobsen
    BRI
  13. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Dominic Ballard · assist Jed Wallace
    BRI
  14. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Tairyk Arconte · assist Luke Cundle
    MIL
  15. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    J. Metcalfe · assist Mark Sykes
    MIL
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
0.5
xG
2.8
8.0
TOTAL SHOTS
18.0
0.0
ON TARGET
3.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
9.0
2.0
BLOCKED
6.0
POSSESSION
38.0%
POSSESSION %
62.0%
229.0
PASSES
366.0
60.0%
PASS ACCURACY
81.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
4.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
8.0
FOULS
11.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
RED CARDS
0.0
2.0
GK SAVES
0.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BRISTOL CITY 1 shots
Yu Hirakawa
0/1
MILLWALL 4 shots
Josh Coburn
3/3
Jake Cooper
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.50 – 2.77
2.2 1.7 1.1 0.6 2.8 0.0 HT 41' 50' H 0.50 A 2.77 KO 30' 60' 82'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
1
SAM TICKL
2
LISAV NAI
5
ROBERT AT
16
ROB DICKI
 6.5
19
GEORGE TA
4
ADAM RAND
 6.9
12
JASON KNI
20
SAM GREEN
23
DOMINIC B
 6.6
7
YU HIRAKA
9
LORENT TO
1
LUKAS JEN
 7.3
3
ZAK STURG
 7.2
5
JAKE COOP
6
CALEB TAY
 7.2
18
RYAN LEON
24
CASPER DE
14
JENSON ME
7
TAIRYK AR
10
CAMIEL NE
11
FEMI AZEE
 8.9
19
JOSH COBU
SUBSTITUTES · BRISTOL CITY
11
Sam Bell
F
18
Emil Riis Ja...
F
10
Scott Twine
M
8
Joe Williams
M
27
Gibson Yah
M
17
Jed Wallace
M
38
Noah Eile
D
40
Brad Collins
G
21
Rio Cardines
D
COACH: Roy Hodgson
SUBSTITUTES · MILLWALL
31
Raees Bangur...
M
16
Daniel Kelly
M
17
Mark Sykes
M
25
Luke Cundle
M
12
Elkan Baggot...
D
23
Danny Batth
D
15
Max Crocombe
G
22
Kyrell Lisbi...
F
13
Lyndon Dykes
F
COACH: Alex Neil
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BRI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MIL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Lewis Smith, England
—
BRI MANAGER
Roy Hodgson
head coach
MIL MANAGER
Alex Neil
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
4
BRI WINS
1
DRAWS
5
MIL WINS
40%
10%
50%
12 – 12
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.40
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
29 Dec 2025
Millwall
2 – 1
Bristol City
L
06 Dec 2025
Bristol City
0 – 1
Millwall
L
04 Mar 2025
Millwall
0 – 2
Bristol City
W
17 Aug 2024
Bristol City
4 – 3
Millwall
W
01 Jan 2024
Bristol City
0 – 1
Millwall
L
BRISTOL CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
W L D L D
MILLWALL LAST 5 OVERALL
L D W D W
LIVE IMPACT Currently 0–2 · scenario projection
BRISTOL CITY #12
If loss holds: 62 pts
MILLWALL #3
If win holds: 86 pts
Promotion Playoffs
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
L D W D W
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D W D D
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
L L D D W
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W W D W L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · J. Metcalfe
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Tairyk Arconte
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Dominic Ballard
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Sam Greenwood
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Lorent Tolaj
  • 56'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Lisav Naif Eissat
  • 50'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Josh Coburn
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Yu Hirakawa
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 1
  • 45'
    Card · Yellow Card · J. Metcalfe
    Handling
  • 41'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Josh Coburn
  • 36'
    Card · Red Card · Adam Randell
    Foul
  • 36'
    Card · Yellow Card · Adam Randell
    Foul
  • 29'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Femi Azeez
  • 23'
    Card · Yellow Card · Adam Randell
    Foul
  • 15'
    Card · Yellow Card · Josh Coburn
    Diving
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BRISTOL CITY WIN
2.56
39.1% implied
↑ best 2.63
DRAW
3.31
30.2% implied
↑ best 3.46
MILLWALL WIN
2.70
37% implied
↑ best 2.80

Market favors Bristol City. AI projects BRISTOL CITY 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BRISTOL CITY 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.56 3.35 2.62 +5.1%
1xBet 2.54 3.30 2.67 +4.7%
888Sport 2.50 3.20 2.70 +3.8%
Bet365 2.55 3.40 2.75 +5.6%
Betano 2.57 3.25 2.80 +4.2%
Betfair 2.63 3.30 2.63 +4.7%
BetVictor 2.55 3.40 2.70 +5.6%
Dafabet 2.60 3.45 2.75 +6.0%
Marathonbet 2.54 3.30 2.67 +4.7%
Pinnacle 2.63 3.46 2.75 +6.1%
SBO 2.52 3.20 2.63 +3.8%
Unibet 2.55 3.25 2.70 +4.2%
William Hill 2.50 3.20 2.70 +3.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.29 U 3.38
2.5 O 1.94 U 1.84
3.5 O 3.31 U 1.30
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.70 10 bks
NO
2.06 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.66
Away -0.5 1.51
Away -0.75 1.34
Away -1 1.19
Away -1.25 1.14
Away -1.5 1.12
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.