GOALSENSE
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Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 34 · TUE, 21 APR · 19:00 LOCAL
BRIGHTON
8TH · 53 PTS · LAST 5:
L L W L D
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 1-0
CHELSEA
L W D L L
· 10TH · 52 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 3' Ferdi Kadıoğlu ⚽ 56' Jack Hinshelwood ⚽ 90' Danny Welbeck
GOALS
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
Brighton · 90 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 37% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.14
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.37
53%
BALL POSSESSION %
47%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
6
9
SHOTS ON TARGET
0
86%
PASS ACCURACY %
84%
6
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 14 events
  1. 3'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Ferdi Kadıoğlu
    BRI
  2. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Wesley Fofana
    CHE
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Mats Wieffer · assist Joël Veltman
    BRI
  4. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Wesley Fofana · assist Alejandro Garnacho
    CHE
  5. 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jack Hinshelwood · assist Georginio Rutter
    BRI
  6. 58'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Yankuba Minteh
    BRI
  7. 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Liam Delap · assist Marc Guiu
    CHE
  8. 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Roméo Lavia · assist Dário Essugo
    CHE
  9. 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Yankuba Minteh · assist Maxim De Cuyper
    BRI
  10. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kaoru Mitoma · assist Yasin Ayari
    BRI
  11. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Georginio Rutter · assist Danny Welbeck
    BRI
  12. 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Danny Welbeck · assist Maxim De Cuyper
    BRI
  13. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Jack Hinshelwood · assist Matt O'Riley
    BRI
  14. 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Malo Gusto · assist Josh Acheampong
    CHE
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BRIGHTON AVG 7.9
CHELSEA AVG 6.8
MATCH STATS H vs CHE
ATTACK
2.1
xG
0.4
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
6.0
9.0
ON TARGET
0.0
4.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
2.0
BLOCKED
4.0
POSSESSION
53.0%
POSSESSION %
47.0%
532.0
PASSES
475.0
86.0%
PASS ACCURACY
84.0%
SET PIECES
6.0
CORNERS
5.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
4.0
DISCIPLINE
15.0
FOULS
6.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
1.0
0.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BRIGHTON 9 shots
Ferdi Kadıoğlu
3/3
Kaoru Mitoma
1/3
Jan Paul van Hecke
1/2
Danny Welbeck
1/1
CHELSEA 1 shots
Roméo Lavia
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.14 – 0.37
1.7 1.3 0.9 0.4 2.1 0.0 HT 3' 56' 90' H 2.14 CHE 0.37 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 64%
36% CHE
9
EVENTS LOGGED
5
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 5-4-1
4-2-3-1
5-4-1
1
BART VERB
 9.0
24
FERDI KAD
21
OLIVIER B
 7.6
6
JAN PAUL
27
MATS WIEF
17
CARLOS BA
30
PASCAL GR
 7.7
22
KAORU MIT
13
JACK HINS
11
YANKUBA M
10
GEORGINIO
 7.2
1
ROBERT Sá
3
MARC CUCU
 6.7
21
JORREL HA
23
TREVOH CH
29
WESLEY FO
 6.6
27
MALO GUST
8
ENZO FERN
 6.7
25
MOISéS CA
 6.9
45
ROMéO LAV
7
PEDRO NET
9
LIAM DELA
SUBSTITUTES · BRIGHTON
19
Charalampos...
F
26
Yasin Ayari
M
33
Matt O'Riley
M
3
Igor Júlio
D
5
Lewis Dunk
D
34
Joël Veltman
D
18
Danny Welbec...
F
23
Jason Steele
G
29
Maxim De Cuy...
D
COACH: Fabian Hurzeler
SUBSTITUTES · CHELSEA
34
Josh Acheamp...
D
14
Dário Essugo
M
4
Tosin Adarab...
D
38
Marc Guiu
F
19
Mamadou Sarr
D
17
Andrey Santo...
M
49
Alejandro Ga...
F
28
Teddy Sharma...
G
55
Jesse Derry
F
COACH: Liam Rosenior
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BRI · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CHE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
C. Pawson
—
BRI MANAGER
Fabian Hurzeler
head coach
CHE MANAGER
Liam Rosenior
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
BRI WINS
0
DRAWS
5
CHE WINS
50%
50%
21 – 17
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
3.80
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
27 Sep 2025
Chelsea
1 – 3
Brighton
W
14 Feb 2025
Brighton
3 – 0
Chelsea
W
28 Sep 2024
Chelsea
4 – 2
Brighton
L
15 May 2024
Brighton
1 – 2
Chelsea
L
03 Dec 2023
Chelsea
3 – 2
Brighton
L
BRIGHTON LAST 5 OVERALL
L L W L D
CHELSEA LAST 5 OVERALL
L W D L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
BRIGHTON #8
Won · already at 53 pts
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
CHELSEA #10
Lost · already at 52 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 +44 85
W W W W W
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 +42 78
L D W W D
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 +19 71
W W D W W
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 +7 65
W W D L L
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 +10 60
D L D L W
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
D D W W D
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 -6 54
W W D D L
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 +6 53
L L W L W
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 +3 53
D D L W L
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 +6 52
L W D L L
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 -4 52
W D L L W
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 -2 49
L W D W L
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 -3 49
L L D D L
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 -7 47
L W D W D
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 -10 45
L D L D L
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 -3 44
D L D W W
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 -9 41
W L D W W
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 -19 39
W L L L W
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 -37 22
D L D L L
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 -41 20
D D L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Malo Gusto
  • 90'+2
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Jack Hinshelwood
  • 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Danny Welbeck
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Georginio Rutter
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kaoru Mitoma
  • 77'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Yankuba Minteh
  • 73'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Roméo Lavia
  • 72'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Liam Delap
  • 58'
    Card · Yellow Card · Yankuba Minteh
    Foul
  • 56'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jack Hinshelwood
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Wesley Fofana
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Mats Wieffer
  • HALF TIME · 1 – 0
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Wesley Fofana
    Foul
  • 3'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Ferdi Kadıoğlu
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BRIGHTON WIN
2.37
42.2% implied
↑ best 2.48
DRAW
3.52
28.4% implied
↑ best 3.70
CHELSEA WIN
2.89
34.6% implied
↑ best 3.08
MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
BOOKMAKER 1 X CHE
10Bet 2.42 3.40 2.76
1xBet 2.42 3.66 3.04
888Sport 2.30 3.40 2.80
Bet365 2.30 3.60 2.90
Betano 2.37 3.65 2.82
Betfair 2.38 3.50 2.90
BetVictor 2.38 3.40 3.00
Dafabet 2.48 3.70 2.70
Marathonbet 2.38 3.58 3.02
Pinnacle 2.36 3.59 3.08
SBO 2.32 3.28 2.89
Unibet 2.40 3.55 2.80
William Hill 2.30 3.40 2.80

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.25 U 3.88
2.5 O 1.79 U 2.05
3.5 O 2.95 U 1.39
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.61 10 bks
NO
2.23 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.80
Away -0.5 1.59
Away -0.75 1.44
Away -1 1.25
Away -1.25 1.21
Away -1.5 1.16
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.