GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 0–2 · NORWAY 95%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
World Cup · ROUND OF 16 · SUN, 05 JUL · 20:00 LOCAL
BRAZIL
1ST · 7 PTS · LAST 5:
W W W D L
FT
1 – 2
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
NORWAY
L W L W W
· 2ND · 6 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 14' Bruno Guimarães (P) ⚽ 90+10' Neymar (P)
GOALS
⚽ 79' Erling Haaland ⚽ 90' Erling Haaland
Erling Haaland
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Erling Haaland
Norway · 90 mins
⚽ 2 goals · 12% pass acc · 3 shots on
RATING
9.0
PREDICTIONS
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.73
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.84
34%
BALL POSSESSION %
66%
14
TOTAL SHOTS
9
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
91%
5
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 13 events
  1. 14'
    Goal · Missed Penalty
    Bruno Guimarães · assist Bruno Guimarães
    BRA
  2. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Alexander Sørloth · assist Oscar Bobb
    NOR
  3. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Antonio Nusa · assist Andreas Schjelderup
    NOR
  4. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Matheus Cunha · assist Endrick
    BRA
  5. 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Julian Ryerson · assist Fredrik Aursnes
    NOR
  6. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Gabriel Martinelli · assist Neymar
    BRA
  7. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Rayan · assist Danilo Santos
    BRA
  8. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Bruno Guimarães · assist Éderson
    BRA
  9. 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Erling Haaland · assist Andreas Schjelderup
    NOR
  10. 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Erling Haaland · assist Andreas Schjelderup
    NOR
  11. 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4
    David Møller Wolfe · assist L. Østigård
    NOR
  12. 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card
    Neymar
    BRA
  13. 90'+10
    Goal · Penalty
    Neymar
    BRA
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BRAZIL AVG 7.2
NORWAY AVG 7.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.7
xG
0.8
14.0
TOTAL SHOTS
9.0
4.0
ON TARGET
5.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
4.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
34.0%
POSSESSION %
66.0%
329.0
PASSES
680.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
91.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
5.0
1.0
OFFSIDES
1.0
DISCIPLINE
7.0
FOULS
6.0
1.0
YELLOW CARDS
0.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BRAZIL 4 shots
Vinícius Júnior
1/2
Rayan
1/2
NORWAY 5 shots
Erling Haaland
3/4
Andreas Schjelderup
1/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.73 – 0.84
2.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 2.7 0.0 HT 14' 90' 79' 90' H 2.73 A 0.84 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 54%
46% A
7
EVENTS LOGGED
6
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-3-3
4-4-2
4-3-3
1
ALISSON
16
DOUGLAS S
3
GABRIEL M
4
MARQUINHO
13
DANILO
 7.5
22
GABRIEL M
 7.2
5
CASEMIRO
8
BRUNO GUI
 7.0
26
RAYAN
 7.2
7
VINíCIUS
9
MATHEUS C
 7.9
1
Ø. NYLAND
 7.3
5
DAVID MøL
17
TORBJøRN
3
KRISTOFFE
26
JULIAN RY
6
PATRICK B
 7.2
8
SANDER BE
10
M. ØDEGAA
20
ANTONIO N
 9.0
9
ERLING HA
7
ALEXANDER
SUBSTITUTES · BRAZIL
15
Léo Pereira
D
24
Roger Ibañez
D
17
Fabinho
M
11
Raphinha
F
21
Luiz Henriqu...
F
14
Bremer
D
6
Alex Sandro
D
23
Ederson
G
12
Weverton
G
2
Éderson
M
10
Neymar
F
18
Danilo Santo...
M
19
Endrick
F
25
Thiago
F
COACH: Carlo Ancelotti
SUBSTITUTES · NORWAY
25
H. Falchener
D
2
Morten Thors...
M
18
K. Thorstved...
M
19
T. Aasgaard
M
23
Jens Petter...
M
24
Sondre Langå...
D
15
Fredrik Andr...
D
13
Egil Selvik
G
12
Sander Tangv...
G
4
L. Østigård
D
14
Fredrik Aurs...
M
22
Oscar Bobb
M
21
Andreas Schj...
F
11
J. Strand La...
F
COACH: Stale Solbakken
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BRA · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

NOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Ismail Elfath, USA
—
BRA MANAGER
Carlo Ancelotti
head coach
NOR MANAGER
Stale Solbakken
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
0
BRA WINS
1
DRAWS
0
NOR WINS
100%
BRAZIL LAST 5 OVERALL
W W W D L
NORWAY LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 1–2 · result locked
BRAZIL #1
Lost · already at 7 pts
Round of 32
NORWAY #2
Won · already at 6 pts
Round of 32
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Mexico 3 3 0 0 +6 9
L W W W W
1 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
1 England 3 2 1 0 +4 7
W L W W W
1 Colombia 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W D W W
1 Argentina 3 3 0 0 +7 9
L W W W W
1 France 3 3 0 0 +8 9
L L W W W
1 Spain 3 2 1 0 +5 7
W W W W W
1 Belgium 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L W W W D
1 Netherlands 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W D
1 Germany 3 2 0 1 +6 6
L L W W
1 USA 3 2 0 1 +4 6
L W L W W
1 Brazil 3 2 1 0 +6 7
L W W W D
1 Switzerland 3 2 1 0 +4 7
L W W W W
2 Norway 3 2 0 1 +1 6
L W W L W
2 Austria 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Portugal 3 1 2 0 +5 5
L W D W D
2 Croatia 3 2 0 1 0 6
L W W L
2 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Cape Verde Islands 3 0 3 0 0 3
L D D D
2 Egypt 3 1 2 0 +2 5
L W D W D
2 Japan 3 1 2 0 +4 5
L D W D
2 Ivory Coast 3 2 0 1 +2 6
L W L W
2 Australia 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
2 Morocco 3 2 1 0 +3 7
L W W W W
2 Canada 3 1 1 1 +5 4
L W L W D
2 South Africa 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W D L
3 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
3 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
3 Congo DR 3 1 1 1 +1 4
L W L D
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Ghana 3 1 1 1 0 4
L L D W
3 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
3 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
3 Sweden 3 1 1 1 0 4
L D L W
3 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
3 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
3 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
3 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
3 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
4 Iraq 3 0 0 3 -11 0
L L L
4 Jordan 3 0 0 3 -5 0
L L L
4 Uzbekistan 3 0 0 3 -9 0
L L L
4 Panama 3 0 0 3 -4 0
L L L
4 Ecuador 3 1 1 1 0 4
L W D L
4 Saudi Arabia 3 0 2 1 -4 2
D L D
4 New Zealand 3 0 1 2 -6 1
L L D
4 Tunisia 3 0 0 3 -10 0
L L L
4 Czech Republic 3 0 1 2 -4 1
L D L
4 Qatar 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L L D
4 Haiti 3 0 0 3 -6 0
L L L
4 Türkiye 3 1 0 2 -2 3
W L L
4 Curaçao 3 0 1 2 -8 1
L D L
5 Bosnia & Herzegovina 3 1 1 1 -1 4
L W L D
5 New Zealand 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Spain 1 0 1 0 0 1
D
6 Algeria 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L D W L
7 Croatia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
W L
7 Portugal 1 0 1 0 0 1
W D
7 Paraguay 3 1 1 1 -2 4
L W D W L
8 Senegal 3 1 0 2 +2 3
L W L L
9 Czech Republic 2 0 1 1 -1 1
D L
9 Saudi Arabia 2 0 1 1 -4 1
L D
9 Iran 3 0 3 0 0 3
D D D
10 South Korea 3 1 0 2 -1 3
L L W
10 Cape Verde Islands 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
10 Belgium 2 0 2 0 0 2
D D
11 Scotland 3 1 0 2 -3 3
L L W
11 Panama 1 0 0 1 -1 0
L
11 Jordan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
L
12 Uruguay 3 0 2 1 -1 2
L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+10
    Goal · Penalty · Neymar
  • 90'+6
    Card · Yellow Card · Neymar
    Tripping
  • 90'+5
    Subst · Substitution 4 · David Møller Wolfe
  • 90'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Erling Haaland
  • 79'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Erling Haaland
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Bruno Guimarães
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Rayan
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Gabriel Martinelli
  • 63'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Julian Ryerson
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Matheus Cunha
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Antonio Nusa
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Alexander Sørloth
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 14'
    Goal · Missed Penalty · Bruno Guimarães
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BRAZIL WIN
1.80
55.6% implied
↑ best 1.92
DRAW
3.70
27% implied
↑ best 3.80
NORWAY WIN
4.50
22.2% implied
↑ best 4.90

Market favors Brazil. AI projects NORWAY 95%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS NORWAY 95% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.76 3.65 4.35 +72.0%
1xBet 1.85 3.80 4.74 +73.9%
888Sport 1.75 3.75 4.00 +70.0%
Bet365 1.75 3.70 4.75 +73.9%
Betano 1.87 3.65 4.70 +73.7%
Betfair 1.75 3.70 4.75 +73.9%
BetVictor 1.75 3.70 4.50 +72.8%
Dafabet 1.92 3.55 4.30 +71.7%
Marathonbet 1.79 3.68 4.60 +73.3%
Pinnacle 1.81 3.74 4.87 +74.5%
SBO 1.86 3.67 4.00 +70.0%
Unibet 1.74 3.70 4.90 +74.6%
William Hill 1.75 3.80 4.00 +70.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.32
2.5 O 1.67 U 2.21
3.5 O 2.55 U 1.48
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.59 10 bks
NO
2.25 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.42
Away -0.5 2.06
Away -0.75 1.81
Away -1 1.59
Away -1.25 1.46
Away -1.5 1.38
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.