GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–1 · BOURNEMOUTH 52%
CONF 48 FULL ANALYSIS →
Premier League · REGULAR SEASON - 35 · SUN, 03 MAY · 13:00 LOCAL
BOURNEMOUTH
6TH · 57 PTS · LAST 5:
D D W D W
FT
3 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
CRYSTAL PALACE
L D L D W
· 15TH · 45 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 10' Jefferson Lerma ⚽ 77' Rayan
GOALS
Marcos Senesi
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Marcos Senesi
Bournemouth · 94 mins
· 50% pass acc
RATING
8.2
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Premier League: Bournemouth vs Crystal Palace
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

101%
BALL POSSESSION %
86%
16
TOTAL SHOTS
7
5
SHOTS ON TARGET
1
313%
PASS ACCURACY %
309%
7
CORNERS
1
KEY EVENTS 15 events
  1. 6'
    Card · Foul
    Jaydee Canvot
    CRY
  2. 10'
    Goal · 1-0
    Jefferson Lerma
    BOU
  3. 32'
    Penalty · 2-0
    Eli Kroupi
    BOU
  4. 38'
    Card · Foul
    Maxence Lacroix
    CRY
  5. 46'
    Subst
    Tyrick Mitchell · assist Daniel Muñoz
    CRY
  6. 46'
    Subst
    Ismaïla Sarr · assist Yéremy Pino
    CRY
  7. 46'
    Subst
    Adam Wharton · assist Daichi Kamada
    CRY
  8. 65'
    Subst
    Jean-Philippe Mateta · assist Jørgen Strand Larsen
    CRY
  9. 69'
    Subst
    David Brooks · assist Eli Kroupi
    BOU
  10. 70'
    Subst
    Ryan Christie · assist Tyler Adams
    BOU
  11. 76'
    Subst
    Chris Richards · assist Chadi Riad
    CRY
  12. 77'
    Goal · 3-0
    Rayan · assist David Brooks
    BOU
  13. 80'
    Subst
    Enes Ünal · assist Evanilson
    BOU
  14. 86'
    Subst
    Amine Adli · assist Rayan
    BOU
  15. 86'
    Subst
    Ben Gannon-Doak · assist Marcus Tavernier
    BOU
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BOURNEMOUTH AVG 7.6
CRYSTAL PALACE AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
16.0
TOTAL SHOTS
7.0
5.0
ON TARGET
1.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
6.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
101.0%
POSSESSION %
86.0%
382.0
PASSES
398.0
313.0%
PASS ACCURACY
309.0%
SET PIECES
7.0
CORNERS
1.0
17.0
OFFSIDES
22.0
DISCIPLINE
10.0
FOULS
11.0
0.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
1.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BOURNEMOUTH 5 shots
Rayan
1/4
Alex Scott
1/1
CRYSTAL PALACE 0 shots

No shots recorded.

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 53%
47% A
8
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 3-4-3
4-2-3-1
3-4-3
1
ĐORđE PET
3
ADRIEN TR
 8.2
5
MARCOS SE
 7.5
23
JAMES HIL
 7.2
20
ÁLEX JIMé
12
TYLER ADA
 7.0
8
ALEX SCOT
16
MARCUS TA
22
ELI JUNIO
 7.9
37
RAYAN
9
EVANILSON
1
DEAN HEND
34
CHADI RIA
 6.5
5
MAXENCE L
23
JAYDEE CA
 6.9
55
J. DEVENN
18
D. KAMADA
8
JEFFERSON
2
DANIEL MU
 6.6
10
YéREMY PI
22
JøRGEN ST
11
B. JOHNSO
SUBSTITUTES · BOURNEMOUTH
21
Amine Adli
F
27
Alex Tóth
M
11
Ben Gannon-D...
F
18
Bafodé Diaki...
D
15
Adam Smith
D
29
Christos Man...
G
7
David Brooks
M
10
Ryan Christi...
M
26
Enes Ünal
F
COACH: Andoni Iraola
SUBSTITUTES · CRYSTAL PALACE
17
Nathaniel Cl...
D
31
Remi Matthew...
G
44
Walter Benít...
G
26
Chris Richar...
D
14
Jean Philipp...
F
7
Ismaïla Sarr
F
20
Adam Wharton
M
3
Tyrick Mitch...
D
59
Rio Cardines
M
COACH: Oliver Glasner
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

CRY · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
R. Jones
—
BOU MANAGER
Andoni Iraola
head coach
CRY MANAGER
Oliver Glasner
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
BOU WINS
4
DRAWS
4
CRY WINS
20%
40%
40%
6 – 10
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
1.60
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
18 Oct 2025
Crystal Palace
3 – 3
Bournemouth
D
19 Apr 2025
Crystal Palace
0 – 0
Bournemouth
D
26 Dec 2024
Bournemouth
0 – 0
Crystal Palace
D
02 Apr 2024
Bournemouth
1 – 0
Crystal Palace
W
06 Dec 2023
Crystal Palace
0 – 2
Bournemouth
W
BOURNEMOUTH LAST 5 OVERALL
D D W D W
CRYSTAL PALACE LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L D W
MATCH IMPACT Final 3–0 · result locked
BOURNEMOUTH #6
Won · already at 57 pts
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
CRYSTAL PALACE #15
Lost · already at 45 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Arsenal 38 26 7 5 +44 85
W W W W W
2 Manchester City 38 23 9 6 +42 78
L D W W D
3 Manchester United 38 20 11 7 +19 71
W W D W W
4 Aston Villa 38 19 8 11 +7 65
W W D L L
5 Liverpool 38 17 9 12 +10 60
D L D L W
6 Bournemouth 38 13 18 7 +4 57
D D W W D
7 Sunderland 38 14 12 12 -6 54
W W D D L
8 Brighton 38 14 11 13 +6 53
L L W L W
9 Brentford 38 14 11 13 +3 53
D D L W L
10 Chelsea 38 14 10 14 +6 52
L W D L L
11 Fulham 38 15 7 16 -4 52
W D L L W
12 Newcastle 38 14 7 17 -2 49
L W D W L
13 Everton 38 13 10 15 -3 49
L L D D L
14 Leeds 38 11 14 13 -7 47
L W D W D
15 Crystal Palace 38 11 12 15 -10 45
L D L D L
16 Nottingham Forest 38 11 11 16 -3 44
D L D W W
17 Tottenham 38 10 11 17 -9 41
W L D W W
18 West Ham 38 10 9 19 -19 39
W L L L W
19 Burnley 38 4 10 24 -37 22
D L D L L
20 Wolves 38 3 11 24 -41 20
D D L D L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 86'
    Subst · Ben Gannon-Doak
    10th Substitution
  • 86'
    Subst · Amine Adli
    9th Substitution
  • 80'
    Subst · Enes Ünal
    8th Substitution
  • 77'
    Goal · 3-0 · Rayan
    1st Goal
  • 76'
    Subst · Chris Richards
    7th Substitution
  • 70'
    Subst · Ryan Christie
    6th Substitution
  • 69'
    Subst · David Brooks
    5th Substitution
  • 65'
    Subst · Jean-Philippe Mateta
    4th Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Adam Wharton
    3rd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Ismaïla Sarr
    2nd Substitution
  • 46'
    Subst · Tyrick Mitchell
    1st Substitution
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 38'
    Card · Foul · Maxence Lacroix
    2nd Yellowcard
  • 32'
    Penalty · 2-0 · Eli Kroupi
    1st Penalty
  • 10'
    Goal · 1-0 · Jefferson Lerma
    1st Own Goal
  • 6'
    Card · Foul · Jaydee Canvot
    1st Yellowcard
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BOURNEMOUTH WIN
1.64
61% implied
↑ best 1.68
DRAW
4.07
24.6% implied
↑ best 4.26
CRYSTAL PALACE WIN
5.07
19.7% implied
↑ best 5.43

Market favors Bournemouth. AI projects BOURNEMOUTH 52%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BOURNEMOUTH 52% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.64 4.00 4.80 +1.2%
1xBet 1.68 4.26 5.43 +3.6%
888Sport 1.65 3.90 4.75 +0.9%
Bet365 1.62 4.00 5.25 +3.0%
Betano 1.67 4.25 5.20 +2.8%
Betfair 1.62 4.10 5.00 +2.0%
BetVictor 1.62 4.10 5.25 +3.0%
Dafabet 1.65 4.20 5.20 +2.8%
Marathonbet 1.68 4.15 5.10 +2.4%
Pinnacle 1.65 4.20 5.30 +3.1%
SBO 1.62 3.77 4.68 +0.6%
Unibet 1.62 4.10 5.20 +2.8%
William Hill 1.62 3.90 4.80 +1.2%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.20 U 4.21
2.5 O 1.67 U 2.20
3.5 O 2.67 U 1.45
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.68 10 bks
NO
2.10 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 2.75
Away -0.5 2.27
Away -0.75 2.03
Away -1 1.76
Away -1.25 1.58
Away -1.5 1.46
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.