GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–0 · BOLTON 45%
CONF 35 FULL ANALYSIS →
Championship · REGULAR SEASON - 1 · SAT, 15 AUG · 11:30 LOCAL
BOLTON
LAST 5:
L D L D L
90'
2 – 1
HT · 2-0
PRESTON
L W L L W
· 14TH · 60 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 14' Sam Dalby ⚽ 25' Thierry Gale
GOALS
⚽ 86' Jusef Erabi
PREDICTIONS
⚡ LIVE TRACKER

Last action · Bolton · 88'

LIVE
PRESTON BOLTON

Last event marker · ball-position telemetry not available for this league

📈 MOMENTUM · ATTACK WAVE

Last 30 minutes · who has the upper hand

BOLTON PRESTON
⚽ 86' BOLTON PRESTON 60' 75' 90'
Event density · 3-min buckets
📊 LIVE STATS

Updates every refresh · Minute 90'

1.10
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.81
56%
BALL POSSESSION %
44%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
8
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
3
78%
PASS ACCURACY %
72%
5
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 13'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Ali McCann
    PRE
  2. 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Sam Dalby
    BOL
  3. 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Thierry Gale · assist John McAtee
    BOL
  4. 27'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Jordan Thompson
    PRE
  5. 42'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Pol Valentín
    PRE
  6. 48'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Josh Sheehan
    BOL
  7. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jordan Thompson · assist Leo Leroy
    PRE
  8. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Callum Lang · assist Jusef Erabi
    PRE
  9. 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Pol Valentín · assist Odeluga Offiah
    PRE
  10. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    John McAtee · assist Ryan Hardie
    BOL
  11. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Gaizka Larrazabal · assist Samuel Iling Junior
    BOL
  12. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Andrew Hughes · assist Andrija Vukčević
    PRE
  13. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Delano Burgzorg · assist Thierry Small
    PRE
  14. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Max Conway · assist Eoin Toal
    BOL
  15. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Thierry Gale · assist Kyliane Dong
    BOL
  16. 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Luca Stephenson · assist Lewis Brunt
    BOL
  17. 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jusef Erabi · assist Andrija Vukčević
    PRE
  18. 88'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Chris Forino
    BOL
LIVE STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.1
xG
0.8
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
6.0
ON TARGET
3.0
9.0
OFF TARGET
2.0
1.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
56.0%
POSSESSION %
44.0%
391.0
PASSES
312.0
78.0%
PASS ACCURACY
72.0%
SET PIECES
5.0
CORNERS
2.0
3.0
OFFSIDES
7.0
DISCIPLINE
11.0
FOULS
11.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
3.0
2.0
GK SAVES
3.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BOLTON 8 shots
Josh Sheehan
1/4
Thierry Gale
1/3
Chris Forino
1/1
PRESTON 0 shots

No shots recorded.

📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 1.10 – 0.81
0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.0 HT 14' 25' 86' H 1.10 A 0.81 KO 30' 60' 90'

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 50%
50% A
9
EVENTS LOGGED
9
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
4-2-3-1
7.2
1
JACK BONH
25
MAX CONWA
14
AKIN FAME
 7.3
3
CHRIS FOR
27
LUCA STEP
 7.3
21
ETHAN ERH
 7.5
8
JOSH SHEE
 8.3
11
THIERRY G
45
JOHN MCAT
22
GAIZKA LA
10
SAM DALBY
1
DANIEL IV
16
ANDREW HU
 7.2
6
LIAM LIND
14
JORDAN ST
2
POL VALEN
 6.9
15
JORDAN TH
 6.7
8
ALI MCCAN
37
DELANO BU
10
CALLUM LA
7
ALFIE DEV
28
MILUTIN O
SUBSTITUTES · BOLTON
12
David Watson
M
7
Kyliane Dong
F
16
Samuel Iling...
F
5
Lewis Brunt
D
6
Ben Davies
D
29
Cyrus Christ...
D
18
Eoin Toal
D
23
David Harrin...
G
39
Ryan Hardie
F
COACH: Steven Schumacher
SUBSTITUTES · PRESTON
30
George Gryba
F
23
Andrew Moran
M
11
Thierry Smal...
D
27
Leo Leroy
M
24
Odeluga Offi...
D
3
Andrija Vukč...
D
32
Ed Nolan
D
21
Lee Nicholls
G
9
Jusef Erabi
F
COACH: Paul Heckingbottom
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BOL · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

PRE · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Adam Herczeg, England
—
BOL MANAGER
Steven Schumacher
head coach
PRE MANAGER
Paul Heckingbottom
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
2
BOL WINS
3
DRAWS
3
PRE WINS
25%
37.5%
37.5%
8 – 9
TOTAL GOALS · 8 MEETINGS
2.13
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 8
09 Feb 2019
Bolton
1 – 2
Preston
L
01 Sep 2018
Preston
2 – 2
Bolton
D
03 Mar 2018
Bolton
1 – 3
Preston
L
17 Nov 2017
Preston
0 – 0
Bolton
D
12 Mar 2016
Bolton
1 – 2
Preston
L
BOLTON LAST 5 OVERALL
L D L D L
PRESTON LAST 5 OVERALL
L W L L W
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Coventry 46 28 11 7 +52 95
W W W D D
2 Ipswich 46 23 15 8 +33 84
W D D W D
3 Millwall 46 24 11 11 +15 83
L D W D W
4 Southampton 46 22 14 10 +26 80
W D W D D
5 Middlesbrough 46 22 14 10 +25 80
L L D D W
6 Hull City 46 21 10 15 +4 73
W W D W L
7 Wrexham 46 19 14 13 +4 71
D L W W L
8 Derby 46 20 9 17 +8 69
L W L W L
9 Norwich 46 19 8 19 +7 65
L D W W L
10 Birmingham 46 17 13 16 +1 64
D W W D W
11 Swansea 46 18 10 18 -2 64
W D W L W
12 Bristol City 46 17 11 18 0 62
W L D L D
13 Sheffield Utd 46 18 6 22 0 60
W L L W W
14 Preston 46 15 15 16 -7 60
L W L L W
15 QPR 46 16 10 20 -12 58
L L L L D
16 Watford 46 14 15 17 -12 57
L L L L L
17 Stoke City 46 15 10 21 -5 55
L L L L D
18 Portsmouth 46 14 13 19 -15 55
D W L W W
19 Charlton 46 13 14 19 -14 53
L W L D L
20 Blackburn 46 13 13 20 -14 52
L W D L D
21 West Brom 46 13 14 19 -10 51
L D W W D
22 Oxford United 46 11 14 21 -14 47
L W L L W
23 Leicester 46 12 16 18 -10 46
W D D L L
24 Sheffield Wednesday 46 2 12 32 -60 0
W L L D D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
LIVE COMMENTARY LIVE
  • 88'
    Card · Yellow Card · Chris Forino
    Foul
  • 86'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jusef Erabi
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Luca Stephenson
  • 85'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Thierry Gale
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Max Conway
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Delano Burgzorg
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Andrew Hughes
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Gaizka Larrazabal
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · John McAtee
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Pol Valentín
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Callum Lang
  • 64'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jordan Thompson
  • 48'
    Card · Yellow Card · Josh Sheehan
    Foul
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 42'
    Card · Yellow Card · Pol Valentín
    Foul
  • 27'
    Card · Yellow Card · Jordan Thompson
    Foul
  • 25'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Thierry Gale
  • 14'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Sam Dalby
  • 13'
    Card · Yellow Card · Ali McCann
    Foul
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BOLTON WIN
2.25
44.4% implied
↑ best 2.31
DRAW
3.25
30.8% implied
↑ best 3.35
PRESTON WIN
3.21
31.2% implied
↑ best 3.35

Market favors Bolton. AI projects BOLTON 45%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BOLTON 45% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.20 3.25 3.25 -0.5%
1xBet 2.24 3.24 3.20 +0.4%
888Sport 2.25 3.10 3.10 +0.6%
Bet365 2.25 3.25 3.20 +0.6%
Betano 2.30 3.25 3.25 +1.5%
Betfair 2.25 3.30 3.25 +0.6%
BetVictor 2.25 3.30 3.20 +0.6%
Dafabet 2.31 3.35 3.25 +1.7%
Marathonbet 2.22 3.24 3.20 0.0%
Pinnacle 2.31 3.35 3.32 +1.7%
SBO 2.26 3.15 3.04 +0.8%
Unibet 2.12 3.35 3.35 +0.1%
William Hill 2.25 3.10 3.10 +0.6%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.31 U 3.23
2.5 O 2.01 U 1.78
3.5 O 3.47 U 1.27
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.76 10 bks
NO
1.97 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.88
Away -0.5 1.66
Away -0.75 1.46
Away -1 1.27
Away -1.25 1.21
Away -1.5 1.17
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.