GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · BENFICA 65%
CONF 28 FULL ANALYSIS →
Primeira Liga · REGULAR SEASON - 31 · SAT 25 APR · 17:00 LOCAL
BENFICA
2ND · 75 PTS · LAST 5:
W W D W W
FT
4 – 1
FULL TIME HT · 2-1
MOREIRENSE
W D L L L
· 8TH · 39 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 2' Leandro Barreiro ⚽ 29' Richard Ríos ⚽ 89' Franjo Ivanović ⚽ 90+2' Franjo Ivanović
GOALS
⚽ 26' Diogo Travassos
Leandro Barreiro
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Leandro Barreiro
Benfica · 95 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 🅰 1 assist · 19% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.5
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 6 CLIPS

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Primeira Liga: Benfica vs Moreirense
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Primeira Liga: Benfica vs Moreirense
Primeira Liga: Benfica vs Moreirense
Primeira Liga: Benfica vs Moreirense
Primeira Liga: Benfica vs Moreirense
Primeira Liga: Benfica vs Moreirense
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

2.69
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
0.43
58%
BALL POSSESSION %
42%
18
TOTAL SHOTS
8
8
SHOTS ON TARGET
4
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
78%
9
CORNERS
2
KEY EVENTS 19 events
  1. 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Leandro Barreiro · assist António Silva
    BEN
  2. 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Diogo Travassos · assist André Ferreira
    MOR
  3. 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Richard Ríos · assist Leandro Barreiro
    BEN
  4. 32'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fredrik Aursnes
    BEN
  5. 40'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Afonso Assis
    MOR
  6. 41'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Richard Ríos
    BEN
  7. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Afonso Assis · assist Nile John
    MOR
  8. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Alexander Bah · assist Amar Dedić
    BEN
  9. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Rafa Silva · assist Andreas Schjelderup
    BEN
  10. 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Dodi Lukebakio · assist Gianluca Prestianni
    BEN
  11. 60'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Fabiano Souza
    MOR
  12. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Landerson · assist Kiko
    MOR
  13. 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Kiko Bondoso · assist Cedric Teguia
    MOR
  14. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Vangelis Pavlidis · assist Franjo Ivanović
    BEN
  15. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Alan · assist Luís Semedo
    MOR
  16. 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Mateja Stjepanović · assist Yan Maranhão
    MOR
  17. 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Franjo Ivanović · assist Richard Ríos
    BEN
  18. 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Richard Ríos · assist Manuel Silva
    BEN
  19. 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Franjo Ivanović · assist Amar Dedić
    BEN
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
BENFICA AVG 8.3
MOREIRENSE AVG 6.7
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
2.7
xG
0.4
18.0
TOTAL SHOTS
8.0
8.0
ON TARGET
4.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
3.0
4.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
58.0%
POSSESSION %
42.0%
481.0
PASSES
353.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
78.0%
SET PIECES
9.0
CORNERS
2.0
2.0
OFFSIDES
0.0
DISCIPLINE
13.0
FOULS
14.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
3.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
BENFICA 9 shots
Franjo Ivanović
2/3
António Silva
1/3
Richard Ríos
2/2
Leandro Barreiro
1/1
MOREIRENSE 3 shots
Kiko Bondoso
1/1
Alan
1/1
Afonso Assis
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 2.69 – 0.43
2.2 1.6 1.1 0.5 2.7 0.0 HT 2' 29' 89' 90' 26' H 2.69 A 0.43 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 58%
42% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-2-3-1 vs 4-4-2
4-2-3-1
4-4-2
1
ANATOLIY
26
SAMUEL DA
30
NICOLáS O
 7.9
4
ANTóNIO S
6
ALEXANDER
8
FREDRIK A
 8.5
20
RICHARD R
27
RAFA SILV
 8.5
18
LEANDRO B
11
DODI LUKE
14
VANGELIS
13
ANDRé FER
2
DIOGO TRA
26
MARACáS
66
GILBERTO
70
FABIANO S
78
LANDERSON
 6.5
25
AFONSO AS
8
MATEJA ST
 7.2
10
KIKO BOND
21
RODRIGO A
 6.6
11
ALAN
SUBSTITUTES · BENFICA
10
Georgiy Suda...
M
5
Enzo Barrene...
M
24
Samuel Soare...
G
16
Manuel Silva
M
9
Franjo Ivano...
F
21
Andreas Schj...
F
25
Gianluca Pre...
F
17
Amar Dedić
D
7
Bruma
F
COACH: Jose Mourinho
SUBSTITUTES · MOREIRENSE
4
Kevyn Montei...
D
71
Leandro Sant...
D
22
Caio Secco
G
9
Luís Semedo
F
99
Yan Maranhão
F
7
Cedric Tegui...
F
27
Kiko
D
23
Nile John
M
30
Jimi Gower
M
COACH: Vasco Costa
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
BEN · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

MOR · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
Vasilica Iancu, Portugal
—
BEN MANAGER
Jose Mourinho
head coach
MOR MANAGER
Vasco Costa
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
BEN WINS
5
DRAWS
0
MOR WINS
50%
50%
18 – 7
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
14 Dec 25
Moreirense
0 – 4
Benfica
W
08 Feb 25
Benfica
3 – 2
Moreirense
W
30 Aug 24
Moreirense
1 – 1
Benfica
D
14 Apr 24
Benfica
3 – 0
Moreirense
W
03 Dec 23
Moreirense
0 – 0
Benfica
D
BENFICA LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W W
MOREIRENSE LAST 5 OVERALL
W D L L L
MATCH IMPACT Final 4–1 · result locked
BENFICA #2
Won · already at 75 pts
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
MOREIRENSE #8
Lost · already at 39 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 FC Porto 31 26 4 1 +48 82
W W W D W
2 Benfica 31 22 9 0 +47 75
W W W D W
3 Sporting CP 30 22 6 2 +55 72
D L W W W
4 SC Braga 31 16 8 7 +28 56
L W D W W
5 Famalicao 31 14 9 8 +12 51
W D D D W
6 GIL Vicente 30 12 10 8 +13 46
L D W L D
7 Guimaraes 31 12 6 13 -5 42
W W D W L
8 Moreirense 31 11 6 14 -11 39
L W D L L
9 Alverca 31 10 8 13 -15 38
W L W W L
10 Estoril 31 10 7 14 -1 37
L L L L L
11 Arouca 31 10 5 16 -21 35
L W L W W
12 Rio Ave 31 8 10 13 -19 34
L D W L W
13 Santa Clara 31 8 8 15 -10 32
W D L L W
14 Nacional 31 8 7 16 -7 31
W W L W L
15 Estrela 31 6 10 15 -17 28
L L L L W
16 Casa Pia 30 5 11 14 -25 26
L D L D L
17 Tondela 30 4 9 17 -29 21
L L D L D
18 AVS 31 1 11 19 -43 14
D D D L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · Franjo Ivanović
  • 90'+1
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Richard Ríos
  • 89'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Franjo Ivanović
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Mateja Stjepanović
  • 79'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Alan
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Vangelis Pavlidis
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Kiko Bondoso
  • 67'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Landerson
  • 60'
    Card · Yellow Card · Fabiano Souza
    Tripping
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Dodi Lukebakio
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Rafa Silva
  • 58'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Alexander Bah
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Afonso Assis
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 1
  • 41'
    Card · Yellow Card · Richard Ríos
    Tripping
  • 40'
    Card · Yellow Card · Afonso Assis
    Holding
  • 32'
    Card · Yellow Card · Fredrik Aursnes
    Foul
  • 29'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Richard Ríos
  • 26'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Diogo Travassos
  • 2'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Leandro Barreiro
13 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 13 BOOKMAKERS
BENFICA WIN
1.11
90.1% implied
↑ best 1.14
DRAW
9.54
10.5% implied
↑ best 12.60
MOREIRENSE WIN
22.19
4.5% implied
↑ best 32.00

Market favors Benfica. AI projects BENFICA 65%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS BENFICA 65% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 1.11 8.20 21.00 +9.8%
1xBet 1.09 12.60 31.00 +14.1%
888Sport 1.10 10.00 21.00 +12.0%
Bet365 1.11 10.00 17.00 +12.0%
Betano 1.13 9.25 32.00 +11.2%
Betfair 1.08 10.00 23.00 +12.0%
BetVictor 1.08 8.00 20.00 +9.5%
Dafabet 1.12 9.80 22.00 +11.8%
Marathonbet 1.08 9.70 24.00 +11.7%
Pinnacle 1.11 10.66 22.67 +12.6%
SBO 1.12 8.30 16.84 +10.0%
Unibet 1.14 7.50 17.00 +8.7%
William Hill 1.10 10.00 21.00 +12.0%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.10 U 6.24
2.5 O 1.39 U 2.86
3.5 O 2.03 U 1.77
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
2.42 10 bks
NO
1.51 10 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 14.00
Away -0.5 5.63
Away -0.75 5.65
Away -1 5.20
Away -1.25 3.52
Away -1.5 2.85
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.