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Europa Conference League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 06 AUG · 17:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
BEITAR JERUSALEM
56'
1 – 1
AUSTRIA VIENNA
⚽ 19' Noam Muche
GOALS
⚽ 45' Vasilije Markovic
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
LIVE-ADJUSTED
CONF 35/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
BEI
1 – 1
AUS
most likely scoreline · 14.4% probability
AI PICKS BEITAR JERUSALEM TO WIN 38%
LIVE · 56' 1 – 1
→
🤖 AI PROJECTS FT 1 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

LIVE-ADJUSTED
BEI WIN 38%
DRAW 38%
AUS WIN 24%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 76% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 76% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Match at minute 2 with no scoring chances yet; form and away-record data suggest slight lean toward draw or Austria goal.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY BEITAR JERUSALEM FAVORED
38%
Beitar recent form collapse (LW) vs Austria's form strength (WWDLW)
+20.0%
Only 2 minutes elapsed — early scoreline immaterial; probabilities reflect underlying quality gap
+15.0%
WHY AUSTRIA VIENNA CHALLENGED
24%
Austria Vienna's strong away form (WDWWD) vs Beitar's weak home form (L recent)
+25.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Beitar recent form collapse (LW) vs Austria's form strength (WWDLW)
  • Only 2 minutes elapsed — early scoreline immaterial; probabilities reflect underlying quality gap
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 19' NOAM MUCHE ⚽ 45' VASILIJE M 56' PROJECTION
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 2 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 14.4%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
13.5
12.7
6.0
1.9
0.4
0.1
·
1
14.4
13.5
6.3
2.0
0.5
0.1
·
2
7.6
7.2
3.4
1.1
0.3
·
·
3
2.7
2.5
1.2
0.4
0.1
·
·
4
0.7
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.1
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 14.4%
0 — 0 13.5%
1 — 1 13.5%
0 — 1 12.7%
2 — 0 7.6%
Top 5 = 61.7% · rest 38.3%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.19
38.0%
2.63
+21.1%
HOME or Draw (1X)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.33
76.0%
1.32
+0.8%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.60
62.0%
1.61
-0.9%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.00
48.0%
2.08
-4.2%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.75
52.0%
1.92
-8.8%
—
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.21
38.0%
2.63
-15.9%
—
HOME or AWAY (12)
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.31
62.0%
1.61
-18.5%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.15
24.0%
4.17
-24.3%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.