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Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 · GROUP 8 - 32 · SUN 26 APR · 16:00 LOCAL
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BECERRIL CAMPOS
FT
2 – 2
FULL TIME
UD SANTA MARTA
⚽ 46' — ⚽ 90+5' —
GOALS
⚽ 21' — ⚽ 83' —
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 58/100 MED
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
BEC
0 – 1
UD
most likely scoreline · 15.9% probability
AI PICKS UD SANTA MARTA TO WIN 40%
FT 2 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 0 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
BEC WIN 25%
DRAW 35%
UD WIN 40%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — X2

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 75% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 75% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

UD Santa Marta goal at 21' gives visitors early advantage; Becerril Campos poor home form (LWDW) suggests away side favoured.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY BECERRIL CAMPOS CHALLENGED
25%
UD Santa Marta 1-0 up at 21' with 75 minutes to play — early away lead typical advantage
CONTEXT
Becerril Campos home form weak (LWDW), away form trend (LLLWW recent, 2W-3L split) suggests struggling squad
CONTEXT
H2H heavily favours Santa Marta (5-0, 2-1, 2-1 recent wins vs 3-0 home outlier)
CONTEXT
WHY UD SANTA MARTA FAVORED
40%
UD Santa Marta 1-0 up at 21' with 75 minutes to play — early away lead typical advantage
CONTEXT
Becerril Campos home form weak (LWDW), away form trend (LLLWW recent, 2W-3L split) suggests struggling squad
CONTEXT
H2H heavily favours Santa Marta (5-0, 2-1, 2-1 recent wins vs 3-0 home outlier)
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • UD Santa Marta 1-0 up at 21' with 75 minutes to play — early away lead typical advantage
  • Becerril Campos home form weak (LWDW), away form trend (LLLWW recent, 2W-3L split) suggests struggling squad
  • H2H heavily favours Santa Marta (5-0, 2-1, 2-1 recent wins vs 3-0 home outlier)
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 21' ⚽ 46' ⚽ 83' ⚽ 95'
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 4 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 15.9%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
15.9
8.4
3.0
0.8
0.2
·
1
12.6
13.3
7.1
2.5
0.7
0.1
·
2
5.3
5.6
3.0
1.1
0.3
0.1
·
3
1.5
1.6
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
5
·
0.1
·
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
0 — 1 15.9%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.3%
1 — 0 12.6%
0 — 2 8.4%
Top 5 = 65.1% · rest 34.9%