Tercera División RFEF - Group 18 · GROUP 18 - 32 · SUN 26 APR · 15:00 LOCAL
← Match Page
AZUQUECA
FT
4 1
FULL TIME
SONSECA
⚽ 38' — ⚽ 64' — ⚽ 69' — ⚽ 87' —
GOALS
⚽ 60' —
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
FINAL · VERIFIED
CONF 72/100 HIGH
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
AZU
2 1
SON
most likely scoreline · 13.1% probability
AI PICKS AZUQUECA TO WIN 78%
FT 4 – 1
🤖 AI PROJECTED FT 2 – 1
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

FINAL · VERIFIED
AZU WIN 78%
DRAW 16%
SON WIN 6%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
AZUQUECA TO WIN

AI consensus across 78% — strongest pick on the board. Single-result bet recommended over double-chance.

CONF 78% OVER 1.5 ✓ OVER 2.5 ✓ BTTS YES ✓ 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Azuqueca leading 2-1 with 24 minutes remaining; strong favourites to hold on despite Sonseca's goal.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY AZUQUECA FAVORED
78%
1-goal lead at 66' — statistically favours home team in final 24 minutes
CONTEXT
Both teams have scored (increases likelihood of final 2-1 or 3-1 finishes)
CONTEXT
No recent form/xG data available; relying on live-state dominance
CONTEXT
WHY SONSECA CHALLENGED
6%
1-goal lead at 66' — statistically favours home team in final 24 minutes
CONTEXT
Both teams have scored (increases likelihood of final 2-1 or 3-1 finishes)
CONTEXT
No recent form/xG data available; relying on live-state dominance
CONTEXT
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • 1-goal lead at 66' — statistically favours home team in final 24 minutes
  • Both teams have scored (increases likelihood of final 2-1 or 3-1 finishes)
  • No recent form/xG data available; relying on live-state dominance
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT 38' 60' 64' 69' 87'
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 5 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 13.1%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
5.0
3.5
1.3
0.3
·
·
·
1
11.4
8.1
2.9
0.7
0.1
·
·
2
13.1
9.3
3.3
0.8
0.1
·
·
3
10.0
7.1
2.5
0.6
0.1
·
·
4
5.7
4.1
1.4
0.3
0.1
·
·
5
2.6
1.9
0.7
0.2
·
·
·
6+
1.0
0.7
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
2 — 0 13.1%
1 — 0 11.4%
3 — 0 10.0%
2 — 1 9.3%
1 — 1 8.1%
Top 5 = 51.8% · rest 48.2%