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Europa Conference League · 3RD QUALIFYING ROUND · THU, 13 AUG · 18:30 LOCAL
← Match Page
AUSTRIA VIENNA
P
1 – 2
BEITAR JERUSALEM
⚽ 58' Kelvin Boateng ⚽ 120+1' Manfred Fischer
GOALS
⚽ 32' Omer Atzili ⚽ 56' Johnbosco Samuel Kalu ⚽ 120+1' Brayan Carabalí
CLAUDE AI · BLENDED FROM 4 MODELS
LIVE-ADJUSTED
CONF 38/100 LOW
🔮 PREDICTED FULL-TIME SCORE
AUS
1 – 0
BEI
most likely scoreline · 17.1% probability
AI PICKS AUSTRIA VIENNA TO WIN 48%
LIVE · ' 1 – 2
→
🤖 AI PROJECTS FT 1 – 0
🤖 AI BREAKDOWN

HOW AI SEES THE MATCH

LIVE-ADJUSTED
AUS WIN 48%
DRAW 38%
BEI WIN 14%
h + d + a = 100% · stacked share
💰 AI BETTING TIP
DOUBLE CHANCE — 1X

Tight 1X2 — single-side too risky. Double chance covers 86% of outcomes with smaller payout.

CONF 86% avoid: 1X2 single 4 models
🤖 AI ANALYSIS

Only 1 minute in; scoreline and xG unknown. Home slight edge but thin data and away form unknown limits conviction.

🤖 AI REASONING why AI picked this
WHY AUSTRIA VIENNA FAVORED
48%
Austria Vienna home form mixed (WLWWD) and recent form solid (WWWDL)
+20.0%
WHY BEITAR JERUSALEM CHALLENGED
14%
Beitar Jerusalem away form severely limited (1 match: W) — insufficient sample
+15.0%
🤖 CONTEXT · NEUTRAL FACTORS
  • Match in opening minute (0-0) — too early for meaningful in-play signal
🤖 AI LIVE TIMELINE

PROBABILITY TIMELINE

How AI re-projects after each event
H DRAW A
100% 50% 0% KO 15' 30' HT 60' 75' FT ⚽ 32' OMER ATZIL ⚽ 56' JOHNBOSCO ⚽ 58' KELVIN BOA ⚽ 121' MANFRED FI ⚽ 121' BRAYAN CAR
Probabilities re-blended at each event · 5 events marked → Derived from goal events + remaining time
🤖 AI SCORE MATRIX

SCORELINE PROBABILITY

All possible scorelines · Poisson from xG
0% 17.1%+
0
1
2
3
4
5
6+
0
15.0
11.4
4.3
1.1
0.2
·
·
1
17.1
13.0
4.9
1.3
0.2
·
·
2
9.7
7.4
2.8
0.7
0.1
·
·
3
3.7
2.8
1.1
0.3
·
·
·
4
1.1
0.8
0.3
0.1
·
·
·
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
·
·
·
·
6+
·
·
·
·
·
·
·
MOST LIKELY · TOP 5
1 — 0 17.1%
0 — 0 15.0%
1 — 1 13.0%
0 — 1 11.4%
2 — 0 9.7%
Top 5 = 66.1% · rest 33.9%
🤖 AI VALUE FINDER

VALUE BETS

Where AI sees an edge vs bookmaker odds
8 markets · pre-match avg odds
MARKETODDSAI PROBFAIREDGE
Draw
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
3.59
38.0%
2.63
+36.6%
HOME or Draw (1X)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.55
86.0%
1.16
+33.0%
HOME to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.69
48.0%
2.08
+29.2%
HOME or AWAY (12)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.24
62.0%
1.61
-23.0%
—
Draw or AWAY (X2)
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.43
52.0%
1.92
-25.7%
—
Over 2.5 Goals
12 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.66
35.0%
2.86
-41.8%
—
Both Teams Score — YES
11 bookmakers · pre-match avg
1.57
28.0%
3.57
-56.2%
—
AWAY to Win
14 bookmakers · pre-match avg
2.32
14.0%
7.14
-67.6%
—
⚠ 18+ only. Odds change frequently. AI predictions are not guarantees. Bet responsibly.