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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 2–0 · AUSTIN 96%
CONF 88 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 11 · SUN, 03 MAY · 21:30 LOCAL
AUSTIN
14TH · 14 PTS · LAST 5:
L L L D W
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 0-0
ST. LOUIS CITY
W D W W L
· 12TH · 16 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 69' Christian Ramirez ⚽ 81' Myrto Uzuni
GOALS
Mikkel Desler
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Mikkel Desler
Austin · 85 mins
· 47% pass acc
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 1 CLIP

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Austin vs St. Louis City SC
Open in Youtube ↗
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

65%
BALL POSSESSION %
74%
15
TOTAL SHOTS
15
6
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
414%
PASS ACCURACY %
322%
4
CORNERS
6
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 36'
    Card · Handball
    Guilherme Biro
    AUS
  2. 38'
    Var
    AUS
  3. 51'
    Card · Foul
    Timo Baumgartl
    ST.
  4. 58'
    Subst
    Sergio Córdova · assist Eduard Löwen
    ST.
  5. 58'
    Subst
    Mamadou Fall · assist Lukas MacNaughton
    ST.
  6. 66'
    Subst
    Daniel Pereira
    AUS
  7. 68'
    Card · Foul
    Chris Durkin
    ST.
  8. 69'
    Goal · 1-0
    Christian Ramirez · assist Daniel Pereira
    AUS
  9. 73'
    Subst
    MyKhi Joyner · assist Miguel Perez
    ST.
  10. 73'
    Subst
    Fallou Fall · assist Simon Becher
    ST.
  11. 81'
    Goal · 2-0
    Myrto Uzuni · assist Christian Ramirez
    AUS
  12. 82'
    Subst
    Jon Bell · assist Guilherme Biro
    AUS
  13. 82'
    Subst
    Owen Wolff · assist Christian Ramirez
    AUS
  14. 87'
    Subst
    Brendan McSorley · assist Chris Durkin
    ST.
  15. 87'
    Card · Foul
    Brendan Hines-Ike
    AUS
  16. 89'
    Subst
    CJ Fodrey · assist Facundo Torres
    AUS
  17. 89'
    Subst
    Brandon Vazquez · assist Myrto Uzuni
    AUS
  18. 90'+5
    Card
    Brendan McSorley
    ST.
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AUSTIN AVG 8.1
ST. LOUIS CITY AVG 7.3
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
15.0
TOTAL SHOTS
15.0
6.0
ON TARGET
5.0
6.0
OFF TARGET
7.0
3.0
BLOCKED
3.0
POSSESSION
65.0%
POSSESSION %
74.0%
475.0
PASSES
371.0
414.0%
PASS ACCURACY
322.0%
SET PIECES
4.0
CORNERS
6.0
10.0
OFFSIDES
10.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
20.0
2.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
5.0
GK SAVES
4.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AUSTIN 7 shots
Myrto Uzuni
3/4
Christian Ramirez
1/2
Mikkel Desler
0/1
ST. LOUIS CITY 6 shots
Marcel Hartel
1/3
Miguel Perez
1/2
Eduard Löwen
0/1
⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 56%
44% A
10
EVENTS LOGGED
8
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 3-4-2-1
4-4-2
3-4-2-1
8.3
1
BRAD STUV
29
GUILHERME
4
BRENDAN H
5
OLEKSANDR
 8.3
3
MIKKEL DE
17
JON GALLA
6
ILIE SáNC
 7.9
30
JOSEPH RO
11
FACUNDO T
 7.6
10
MYRTO UZU
 8.2
21
CHRISTIAN
 7.2
1
ROMAN BüR
21
DANTE POL
32
TIMO BAUM
 6.9
5
LUKAS MAC
14
TOMAS TOT
8
CHRISTOPH
 7.7
28
MIGUEL PE
6
CONRAD WA
 7.7
17
MARCEL HA
 6.9
10
EDUARD Lö
11
SIMON BEC
SUBSTITUTES · AUSTIN
19
Calvin Fodre...
M
20
Nicolas Dube...
M
14
Besard Sabov...
M
8
Daniel Perei...
M
33
Owen Wolff
M
15
Jonathan Bel...
D
12
Damian Las
G
9
Brandon Vázq...
F
COACH: Nico Estevez
SUBSTITUTES · ST. LOUIS CITY
36
Cedric Teuch...
F
59
Mykhi Joyner
M
80
Brendan McSo...
F
4
Mamadou Mbac...
D
27
Fallou Fall
D
20
Rafael Santo...
D
99
Jaziel Orozc...
D
39
Benjamin Lun...
G
16
Sergio Córdo...
F
COACH: Yoann Damet
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

ST. · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
J. Freemon
—
AUS MANAGER
Nico Estevez
head coach
ST. MANAGER
Yoann Damet
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
1
AUS WINS
1
DRAWS
5
ST. WINS
14.3%
14.3%
71.4%
9 – 16
TOTAL GOALS · 7 MEETINGS
3.57
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 7
23 May 2026
St. Louis City
3 – 0
Austin
L
05 Oct 2025
Austin
1 – 3
St. Louis City
L
30 Mar 2025
St. Louis City
0 – 1
Austin
W
14 Apr 2024
St. Louis City
1 – 0
Austin
L
10 Mar 2024
Austin
2 – 2
St. Louis City
D
AUSTIN LAST 5 OVERALL
L L L D W
ST. LOUIS CITY LAST 5 OVERALL
W D W W L
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
AUSTIN #14
Won · already at 14 pts
ST. LOUIS CITY #12
Lost · already at 16 pts
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 Vancouver Whitecaps 14 10 2 2 +22 32
W L W D D
1 Nashville SC 14 10 3 1 +20 33
W W W D D
2 San Jose Earthquakes 15 10 2 3 +19 32
W L L D D
2 Inter Miami 15 9 4 2 +11 31
W W W W L
3 Real Salt Lake 14 8 2 4 +7 26
D W W L W
3 Chicago Fire 14 8 2 4 +11 26
W W W L L
4 New England Revolution 14 8 1 5 +4 25
L W L W W
4 FC Dallas 15 7 4 4 +8 25
W W L W W
5 Los Angeles FC 15 7 3 5 +7 24
W L L L D
5 New York Red Bulls 15 6 4 5 -7 22
W D W W L
6 Seattle Sounders 13 7 3 3 +6 24
L L W D D
6 Charlotte 15 6 3 6 +1 21
W W L D L
7 Houston Dynamo 14 7 1 6 -4 22
D W L W W
7 FC Cincinnati 15 5 5 5 -1 20
W D L D W
8 New York City FC 15 5 4 6 +4 19
L D W W L
8 Minnesota United FC 15 6 4 5 -4 22
D L L D W
9 Los Angeles Galaxy 15 5 5 5 0 20
D W L W D
9 DC United 15 4 6 5 -4 18
D D L D W
10 San Diego 15 4 5 6 +3 17
L D W D D
10 Columbus Crew 15 4 4 7 -2 16
W D L L L
11 Colorado Rapids 15 5 1 9 +1 16
L L W L L
11 CF Montreal 14 4 2 8 -9 14
D L D W L
12 Orlando City SC 15 4 2 9 -21 14
L D W L W
12 St. Louis City 14 4 4 6 -4 16
W D W W L
13 Portland Timbers 14 4 2 8 -6 14
L L D W L
13 Toronto FC 14 3 5 6 -7 14
L L L D L
14 Austin 15 3 5 7 -12 14
L L L D W
14 Atlanta United FC 14 3 2 9 -9 11
L D L W W
15 Sporting Kansas City 14 3 2 9 -22 11
L W W L D
15 Philadelphia Union 15 1 4 10 -12 7
L D L L D
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 90'+5
    Card · Brendan McSorley
    5th Yellowcard
  • 89'
    Subst · Brandon Vazquez
    10th Substitution
  • 89'
    Subst · CJ Fodrey
    9th Substitution
  • 87'
    Card · Foul · Brendan Hines-Ike
    4th Yellowcard
  • 87'
    Subst · Brendan McSorley
    8th Substitution
  • 82'
    Subst · Owen Wolff
    7th Substitution
  • 82'
    Subst · Jon Bell
    6th Substitution
  • 81'
    Goal · 2-0 · Myrto Uzuni
    2nd Goal
  • 73'
    Subst · Fallou Fall
    4th Substitution
  • 73'
    Subst · MyKhi Joyner
    5th Substitution
  • 69'
    Goal · 1-0 · Christian Ramirez
    1st Goal
  • 68'
    Card · Foul · Chris Durkin
    3rd Yellowcard
  • 66'
    Subst · Daniel Pereira
    3rd Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Mamadou Fall
    2nd Substitution
  • 58'
    Subst · Sergio Córdova
    1st Substitution
  • 51'
    Card · Foul · Timo Baumgartl
    2nd Yellowcard
  • HALF TIME · 0 – 0
  • 38'
    Var
    Var
  • 36'
    Card · Handball · Guilherme Biro
    1st Yellowcard
11 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 11 BOOKMAKERS
AUSTIN WIN
2.65
37.7% implied
↑ best 2.76
DRAW
3.40
29.4% implied
↑ best 3.50
ST. LOUIS CITY WIN
2.56
39.1% implied
↑ best 2.63

Market favors St. Louis City. AI projects AUSTIN 96%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AUSTIN 96% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.56 3.50 2.55 +56.9%
Bet365 2.75 3.30 2.62 +59.6%
Betano 2.70 3.45 2.57 +59.0%
Betfair 2.60 3.40 2.60 +57.5%
BetVictor 2.63 3.50 2.50 +58.0%
Dafabet 2.70 3.50 2.60 +59.0%
Marathonbet 2.64 3.38 2.52 +58.1%
Pinnacle 2.76 3.49 2.60 +59.8%
SBO 2.60 3.28 2.50 +57.5%
Unibet 2.60 3.35 2.63 +57.5%
William Hill 2.62 3.20 2.50 +57.8%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.25 U 3.80
2.5 O 1.81 U 1.99
3.5 O 3.01 U 1.37
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.63 8 bks
NO
2.15 8 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.62
Away -0.5 1.48
Away -0.75 1.32
Away -1 1.19
Away -1.25 1.15
Away -1.5 1.14
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.