GOALSENSE
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AI PREDICTION Projects FT 1–1 · AUSTIN 38%
CONF 18 FULL ANALYSIS →
Major League Soccer · REGULAR SEASON - 10 · SUN 26 APR · 00:30 LOCAL
AUSTIN
13TH · 10 PTS · LAST 5:
L D D L L
FT
2 – 0
FULL TIME HT · 2-0
HOUSTON DYNAMO
W W D W W
· 9TH · 12 PTS · LAST 5
⚽ 13' Jayden Nelson ⚽ 45+2' Myrto Uzuni
GOALS
Jayden Nelson
👑
⭐ PLAYER OF THE MATCH
Jayden Nelson
Austin · 40 mins
⚽ 1 goal · 8% pass acc · 1 shots on
RATING
8.3
PREDICTIONS
▶ MATCH HIGHLIGHTS

Goals, key moments & recap 3 CLIPS

powered by Highlightly
Major League Soccer: Austin vs Houston Dynamo
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Major League Soccer: Austin vs Houston Dynamo
Major League Soccer: Austin vs Houston Dynamo
📊 90 MIN TOTALS

Finalised · Match completed

0.95
⚡ EXPECTED GOALS (xG)
1.09
46%
BALL POSSESSION %
54%
13
TOTAL SHOTS
11
4
SHOTS ON TARGET
5
85%
PASS ACCURACY %
92%
3
CORNERS
5
KEY EVENTS 18 events
  1. 13'
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Jayden Nelson · assist Facundo Torres
    AUS
  2. 27'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Brendan Hines-Ike
    AUS
  3. 40'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Jayden Nelson · assist Jon Gallagher
    AUS
  4. 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card
    Artur
    HOU
  5. 45'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal
    Myrto Uzuni · assist Joseph Rosales
    AUS
  6. 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1
    Agustin Resch · assist Antonio Carlos
    HOU
  7. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Sam Vines · assist Jack McGlynn
    HOU
  8. 55'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Artur · assist Diadié Samassékou
    HOU
  9. 59'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Joseph Rosales
    AUS
  10. 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2
    Ilie Sanchez · assist Nicolas Dubersarsky
    AUS
  11. 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3
    Christian Ramirez · assist Calvin Fodrey
    AUS
  12. 70'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Mikkel Desler
    AUS
  13. 72'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Facundo Torres
    AUS
  14. 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Hector Herrera · assist Nick Markanich
    HOU
  15. 80'
    Card · Yellow Card
    Lawrence Ennali
    HOU
  16. 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Felipe Andrade · assist Ibrahim Aliyu
    HOU
  17. 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4
    Guilherme Biro · assist Jonathan Bell
    AUS
  18. 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5
    Facundo Torres · assist Besard Sabović
    AUS
PLAYER RATINGS · TOP 5 EACH 0–10 scale
AUSTIN AVG 7.7
HOUSTON DYNAMO AVG 7.0
MATCH STATS H vs A
ATTACK
1.0
xG
1.1
13.0
TOTAL SHOTS
11.0
4.0
ON TARGET
5.0
5.0
OFF TARGET
5.0
4.0
BLOCKED
1.0
POSSESSION
46.0%
POSSESSION %
54.0%
427.0
PASSES
508.0
85.0%
PASS ACCURACY
92.0%
SET PIECES
3.0
CORNERS
5.0
0.0
OFFSIDES
2.0
DISCIPLINE
14.0
FOULS
12.0
4.0
YELLOW CARDS
2.0
5.0
GK SAVES
2.0
🎯 SHOT BREAKDOWN

Top shooters · accuracy = on-target / total

player-level shot accuracy · per-shot xG bubbles require xG Advanced tier
AUSTIN 5 shots
Myrto Uzuni
1/3
Jayden Nelson
1/1
Joseph Rosales
1/1
HOUSTON DYNAMO 3 shots
Guilherme
2/2
Erik Sviatchenko
0/1
📈 xG RACE

Cumulative xG over 90 minutes REAL xG

final xG: 0.95 – 1.09
0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.0 HT 13' 45' H 0.95 A 1.09 KO 30' 60' FT

Step chart anchored to real goal minutes · final xG from SportMonks · baseline distributes remaining shots evenly across the match

⚡ ATTACK SHARE

Event activity ratio · attacks/cards/subs

zone-based attack maps require broadcast partner (Q3)
H 61%
39% A
11
EVENTS LOGGED
7
EVENTS LOGGED
LINEUPS 4-4-2 vs 4-4-2
4-4-2
4-4-2
1
BRAD STUV
29
GUILHERME
4
BRENDAN H
5
OLEKSANDR
 7.3
3
MIKKEL DE
 8.3
7
JAYDEN NE
 7.5
30
JOSEPH RO
6
ILIE SANC
 8.2
11
FACUNDO T
21
CHRISTIAN
 7.3
10
MYRTO UZU
31
JONATHAN
13
SAM VINES
34
AGUSTIN R
 6.9
28
ERIK SVIA
36
FELIPE AN
19
MATEUSZ B
16
HECTOR HE
6
ARTUR
11
LAWRENCE
10
EZEQUIEL
 6.9
20
GUILHERME
SUBSTITUTES · AUSTIN
23
Žan Kolmanič
D
35
Mateja Đorđe...
D
12
Damian Las
G
14
Besard Sabov...
M
15
Jonathan Bel...
D
20
Nicolas Dube...
M
19
Calvin Fodre...
M
17
Jon Gallaghe...
D
38
Ervin Torres
M
COACH: Nico Estevez
SUBSTITUTES · HOUSTON DYNAMO
14
Duane Holmes
M
21
Franco Negri
D
1
Jimmy Maurer
G
24
Ibrahim Aliy...
F
17
Nick Markani...
F
18
Diadié Samas...
M
8
Jack McGlynn
M
3
Antonio Carl...
D
30
Agustín Bouz...
M
COACH: Ben Olsen
🏥 UNAVAILABLE PLAYERS
AUS · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

HOU · 0 OUT

No injuries reported · federation feed activates Q3

⚖ MATCH OFFICIALS
REFEREE
A. Da Silva
—
AUS MANAGER
Nico Estevez
head coach
HOU MANAGER
Ben Olsen
head coach
HEAD TO HEAD · ALL-TIME
5
AUS WINS
1
DRAWS
4
HOU WINS
50%
10%
40%
14 – 11
TOTAL GOALS · 10 MEETINGS
2.50
AVG GOALS / MATCH
RECENT MEETINGS SHOWING 5 / 10
10 Aug 25
Austin
2 – 2
Houston Dynamo
D
27 Apr 25
Houston Dynamo
2 – 0
Austin
L
22 Sep 24
Austin
0 – 1
Houston Dynamo
L
16 May 24
Austin
1 – 0
Houston Dynamo
W
21 Apr 24
Houston Dynamo
0 – 1
Austin
W
AUSTIN LAST 5 OVERALL
L D D L L
HOUSTON DYNAMO LAST 5 OVERALL
W W D W W
MATCH IMPACT Final 2–0 · result locked
AUSTIN #13
Won · already at 10 pts
HOUSTON DYNAMO #9
Lost · already at 12 pts
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)
LEAGUE CONTEXT FULL TABLE →
# TEAM P W D L GD PTS FORM
1 San Jose Earthquakes 10 9 0 1 +19 27
W W W W W
1 Nashville SC 9 7 1 1 +15 22
W W W L W
2 Vancouver Whitecaps 9 8 0 1 +20 24
W W W W L
2 Inter Miami 10 5 4 1 +4 19
D W W D D
3 Los Angeles FC 10 6 2 2 +11 20
W D L L W
3 Chicago Fire 9 5 2 2 +9 17
W D W W W
4 New England Revolution 9 5 1 3 +5 16
D W W W W
4 Seattle Sounders 8 6 1 1 +8 19
W W W D W
5 Minnesota United FC 10 5 2 3 -3 17
L W W W W
5 Charlotte 10 4 2 4 0 14
L L W L W
6 Real Salt Lake 9 5 1 3 +3 16
L L W W D
6 Toronto FC 10 3 4 3 -2 13
L D D D W
7 Colorado Rapids 10 4 1 5 +4 13
L D L W L
7 New York City FC 10 3 3 4 +3 12
L D L L D
8 Columbus Crew 10 3 3 4 +1 12
W W L D W
8 FC Dallas 10 3 4 3 +3 13
L L D D W
9 Houston Dynamo 9 4 0 5 -6 12
L W W L L
9 FC Cincinnati 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D D L
10 Los Angeles Galaxy 10 3 3 4 -1 12
W L D W L
10 DC United 10 3 3 4 -4 12
W D D L L
11 San Diego 10 3 2 5 0 11
L L L L L
11 New York Red Bulls 10 3 3 4 -9 12
L D L D W
12 CF Montreal 9 3 0 6 -7 9
W W L L L
12 Portland Timbers 9 3 1 5 -6 10
W L W L D
13 Austin 10 2 4 4 -5 10
W L D L D
13 Atlanta United FC 10 2 1 7 -8 7
W L L L L
14 St. Louis City 9 1 3 5 -7 6
L L D D W
14 Orlando City SC 10 2 1 7 -17 7
L W L D L
15 Sporting Kansas City 9 1 1 7 -18 4
L L L L L
15 Philadelphia Union 10 1 2 7 -8 5
L D D W L
UCL Qualification Europa / Conference Relegation
COMMENTARY
  • 84'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Facundo Torres
  • 83'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Guilherme Biro
  • 82'
    Subst · Substitution 5 · Felipe Andrade
  • 80'
    Card · Yellow Card · Lawrence Ennali
  • 75'
    Subst · Substitution 4 · Hector Herrera
  • 72'
    Card · Yellow Card · Facundo Torres
  • 70'
    Card · Yellow Card · Mikkel Desler
  • 66'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Christian Ramirez
  • 65'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Ilie Sanchez
  • 59'
    Card · Yellow Card · Joseph Rosales
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 3 · Artur
  • 55'
    Subst · Substitution 2 · Sam Vines
  • 46'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Agustin Resch
  • HALF TIME · 2 – 0
  • 45'+2
    Goal · Normal Goal · Myrto Uzuni
  • 45'+1
    Card · Yellow Card · Artur
  • 40'
    Subst · Substitution 1 · Jayden Nelson
  • 27'
    Card · Yellow Card · Brendan Hines-Ike
  • 13'
    Goal · Normal Goal · Jayden Nelson
12 BOOKIES
📊 AVERAGE ACROSS 12 BOOKMAKERS
AUSTIN WIN
2.87
34.8% implied
↑ best 3.06
DRAW
3.40
29.4% implied
↑ best 3.50
HOUSTON DYNAMO WIN
2.37
42.2% implied
↑ best 2.80

Market favors Houston Dynamo. AI projects AUSTIN 38%.

MATCH WINNER ODDS avg across bookmakers
AI SAYS AUSTIN 38% · EDGE column shows AI probability minus market implied probability
BOOKMAKER 1 X 2 EDGE
10Bet 2.92 3.45 2.28 +3.8%
888Sport 2.30 3.30 2.80 +1.7%
Bet365 3.00 3.40 2.30 +4.7%
Betano 3.00 3.45 2.35 +4.7%
Betfair 2.90 3.40 2.30 +3.5%
BetVictor 2.88 3.50 2.30 +3.4%
Dafabet 2.95 3.50 2.42 +4.1%
Marathonbet 2.93 3.35 2.31 +3.9%
Pinnacle 3.06 3.49 2.38 +5.3%
SBO 2.83 3.28 2.31 +2.7%
Unibet 2.80 3.45 2.38 +3.0%
William Hill 2.88 3.25 2.30 +3.3%

Best odds in gold. Edge ≥ +5% (lime) means market under-prices the AI's probability. 18+ only.

📊 OTHER MARKETS

Over/Under · BTTS · Asian Handicap

avg across bookmakers
⚽ GOALS · OVER / UNDER
1.5 O 1.23 U 3.93
2.5 O 1.78 U 2.02
3.5 O 2.92 U 1.38
⚽ BOTH TEAMS SCORE
YES
1.62 9 bks
NO
2.19 9 bks
⚖ ASIAN HANDICAP
Away -0.25 1.51
Away -0.5 1.41
Away -0.75 1.27
Away -1 1.21
Away -1.25 1.15
Away -1.5 1.10
📈 MARKET MOVEMENT

How the market shifted before kick-off

historical line movement
7d ago 3d 1d KICK-OFF

Smoothed line illustration · per-snapshot historical odds storage activates Q3.